Lagoon · British Columbia · Canada
Lake Nitinat
Kite days stay under 30 % in every month.
A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.
- Prime 60 % and more
- Good 40 to 59 %
- Possible 20 to 39 %
- Off under 20 %
- No data hatched
- Ringed: this month
Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.
Confidence highClose model cell, both models agree on the season, 9 full years.
Month by month
- Kite days
- 0 % Offabout 0 of 31 days
- Too light, kiteable, too strong
- Too light 100 %
- Kiteable 0 %
- Too strong 0 %
- Good years
- 0 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
- 10 day trip
- under 1 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 0.1 expected
- Daylight
- 10.8 h
- Air
- 15 °Cdaily maximum, 13 °C during kite hours
- Rain
- 15 of 31with 1 mm or more
- In one sentence
In October, Lake Nitinat averaged 0 kite days out of 31 (0 %). under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
| Kite days% of days | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdictshare plus good years | cold | cold | cold | Off | Off | Off | Off | Off | Off | Off | cold | cold |
| 10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite days | under 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 |
| Good yearsof 9, reached 50 % | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 |
| Daylighth | 8.7 | 10.1 | 11.9 | 13.7 | 15.3 | 16.2 | 15.8 | 14.4 | 12.7 | 10.8 | 9.2 | 8.3 |
| Air°C, daily maximum | 7 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 19 | 21 | 26 | 26 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 7 |
| Rain days1 mm or more | 19 of 31 | 15 of 28 | 17 of 31 | 15 of 30 | 11 of 31 | 10 of 30 | 4 of 31 | 6 of 31 | 10 of 30 | 15 of 31 | 18 of 30 | 21 of 31 |
- In January, Lake Nitinat averaged 0 kite days out of 31 (0 %). under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in January got at least 5 kite days.
- In February, Lake Nitinat averaged 0 kite days out of 28 (0 %). under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in February got at least 5 kite days.
- In March, Lake Nitinat averaged 0 kite days out of 31 (0 %). under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in March got at least 5 kite days.
- In April, Lake Nitinat averaged 0 kite days out of 30 (0 %). under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in April got at least 5 kite days.
- In May, Lake Nitinat averaged 0 kite days out of 31 (0 %). under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in May got at least 5 kite days.
- In June, Lake Nitinat averaged 0 kite days out of 30 (0 %). under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in June got at least 5 kite days.
- In July, Lake Nitinat averaged 0 kite days out of 31 (0 %). under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in July got at least 5 kite days.
- In August, Lake Nitinat averaged 0 kite days out of 31 (0 %). under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in August got at least 5 kite days.
- In September, Lake Nitinat averaged 0 kite days out of 30 (0 %). under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in September got at least 5 kite days.
- In October, Lake Nitinat averaged 0 kite days out of 31 (0 %). under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
- In November, Lake Nitinat averaged 0 kite days out of 30 (0 %). under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in November got at least 5 kite days.
- In December, Lake Nitinat averaged 0 kite days out of 31 (0 %). under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in December got at least 5 kite days.
Good year: at least half the days of that month were kite days. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.
Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds
Trip odds at Lake Nitinat
How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.
- Januaryunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 0.0 expected
- Februaryunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 0.0 expected
- Marchunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 0.0 expected
- Aprilunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 0.0 expected
- Mayunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 0.0 expected
- Juneunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 0.0 expected
- Julyunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 0.0 expected
- Augustunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 0.0 expected
- Septemberunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 0.0 expected
- October (now)under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 0.1 expected
- Novemberunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 0.0 expected
- Decemberunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 0.1 expected
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Trip odds by start week
Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.
Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count
under 1 in 10
trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).
Zero wind trips: 9 in 10
about 0.0 kite days expected out of 10
Kite days per trip, 63 trips
Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).
How the wind behaves
In January, the windiest month
- Too light 100 %
- Kiteable 0 %
- Too strong 0 %
Too light on 100 %, kiteable on 0 %, too strong on 0 % of days.
Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors
Wind steadily from S (180°).
Kitesurfing at Lake Nitinat: quick answers
When is the best time to kitesurf at Lake Nitinat?
Lake Nitinat rarely gets kiteable wind in the model data: every month stays under 20 % kite days from 2017 to 2025.
Is Lake Nitinat windy in October?
Rarely. 0 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 0 days in a typical October. Fewer than 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.
How many kite days does Lake Nitinat get in a year?
About 1 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.
Live forecast
The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.
Live forecast from Windy
The forecast map for Lake Nitinat comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.
Spot facts
- Region
- British Columbia
- Country
- Canada
- Water body
- Lagoon, from Natural Earth map data
- Nearest airport
- Qualicum Beach Airport (XQU), 34 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
- Time zone
- UTC-07:00 in October
- Coordinates
- 49.2162, -124.8160
- Model
- ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Conditions, checked against kite guides
Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.
Not yet checked against kite guides. We research spot conditions one by one and show only what a kite source says.
Nearby kite spots in British Columbia
Kite days in October, % of days
- Rathtrevor Beach
Canada · 30 points more kite days than Lake Nitinat in October
30 %Kite days by month at Rathtrevor Beach: Jan 43 %, Feb 34 %, Mar 33 %, Apr 30 %, May 14 %, Jun 17 %, Jul 6 %, Aug 10 %, Sep 20 %, Oct 30 %, Nov 39 %, Dec 38 % - Bamfield
Canada · 21 points more kite days than Lake Nitinat in October
21 %Kite days by month at Bamfield: Jan 32 %, Feb 31 %, Mar 26 %, Apr 27 %, May 20 %, Jun 14 %, Jul 7 %, Aug 4 %, Sep 12 %, Oct 21 %, Nov 31 %, Dec 26 % - Comox Spit
Canada · 23 points more kite days than Lake Nitinat in October
23 %Kite days by month at Comox Spit: Jan 33 %, Feb 24 %, Mar 29 %, Apr 27 %, May 10 %, Jun 11 %, Jul 9 %, Aug 8 %, Sep 19 %, Oct 23 %, Nov 30 %, Dec 29 % - Wickannish
Canada · 26 points more kite days than Lake Nitinat in October
26 %Kite days by month at Wickannish: Jan 39 %, Feb 32 %, Mar 28 %, Apr 33 %, May 33 %, Jun 30 %, Jul 20 %, Aug 17 %, Sep 16 %, Oct 26 %, Nov 32 %, Dec 30 % - Cox Bay
Canada · 44 points more kite days than Lake Nitinat in October
44 %Kite days by month at Cox Bay: Jan 52 %, Feb 45 %, Mar 46 %, Apr 53 %, May 60 %, Jun 53 %, Jul 42 %, Aug 40 %, Sep 33 %, Oct 44 %, Nov 51 %, Dec 47 % - Jordan River
Canada · 22 points more kite days than Lake Nitinat in October
22 %Kite days by month at Jordan River: Jan 34 %, Feb 42 %, Mar 28 %, Apr 36 %, May 49 %, Jun 48 %, Jul 65 %, Aug 42 %, Sep 20 %, Oct 22 %, Nov 32 %, Dec 29 % - Kitsilano Beach
Canada · 8 points more kite days than Lake Nitinat in October
8 %Kite days by month at Kitsilano Beach: Jan 9 %, Feb 5 %, Mar 3 %, Apr 11 %, May 2 %, Jun 2 %, Jul 1 %, Aug 1 %, Sep 4 %, Oct 8 %, Nov 7 %, Dec 7 % - Squamish Spit
Canada · same kite days as Lake Nitinat in October
0 %Kite days by month at Squamish Spit: Jan 0 %, Feb 0 %, Mar 0 %, Apr 0 %, May 0 %, Jun 0 %, Jul 0 %, Aug 0 %, Sep 0 %, Oct 0 %, Nov 0 %, Dec 0 %
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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025
Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Confidence: high.
Cite this
In October, 0 % of days at Lake Nitinat met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/lake-nitinat
Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.