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Sea · Balkan Region · Turkmenistan

Hazar Peninsula

Best for kiting from June to August, with 50 to 57 % kite days. Also windy, but cold (water and air under 12 °C or short days): December.

A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.

  1. J42
  2. F36
  3. M43
  4. A45
  5. M46
  6. J56
  7. J57
  8. A50
  9. S49
  10. O39
  11. N45
  12. D52
Kite days by month at Hazar Peninsula: Jan 42 %, Feb 36 %, Mar 43 %, Apr 45 %, May 46 %, Jun 56 %, Jul 57 %, Aug 50 %, Sep 49 %, Oct 39 %, Nov 45 %, Dec 52 %
  • Prime 60 % and more
  • Good 40 to 59 %
  • Possible 20 to 39 %
  • Off under 20 %
  • No data hatched
  • Ringed: this month

Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.

Confidence highClose model cell, both models agree on the season, 9 full years.

Month by month

MonthKite days% of days, verdict10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite days
  • Kite days
    39 % Possibleabout 12 of 31 days
    Too light, kiteable, too strong
    • Too light 61 %
    • Kiteable 39 %
    • Too strong 0 %
    Good years
    2017: 48 % kite days2018: 42 % kite days2019: 23 % kite days2020: 42 % kite days2021: 45 % kite days2022: 42 % kite days2023: 32 % kite days2024: 48 % kite days2025: 32 % kite days0 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
    10 day trip
    4 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 3.9 expected
    Best hours
    10:00 to 11:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
    Daylight
    11.2 h
    Air
    20 °Cdaily maximum, 18 °C during kite hours
    Rain
    4 of 31with 1 mm or more
    In one sentence

    In October, Hazar Peninsula averaged 12 kite days out of 31 (39 %). 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.

Good year: at least half the days of that month were kite days. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.

Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds

Trip odds at Hazar Peninsula

How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.

  1. January4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.2 expected
  2. February3 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.5 expected
  3. March5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.4 expected
  4. April5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.4 expected
  5. May5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.8 expected
  6. June7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.6 expected
  7. July7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.6 expected
  8. August6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.1 expected
  9. September5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.7 expected
  10. October (now)4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.9 expected
  11. November6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.7 expected
  12. December5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.9 expected

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.

Trip odds by start week

Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.

Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025

Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.

Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count

Trip odds by start week in Hazar Peninsula: W1 5 in 10, W2 5 in 10, W3 3 in 10, W4 3 in 10, W5 4 in 10, W6 3 in 10, W7 3 in 10, W8 2 in 10, W9 4 in 10, W10 7 in 10, W11 6 in 10, W12 4 in 10, W13 4 in 10, W14 5 in 10, W15 6 in 10, W16 5 in 10, W17 3 in 10, W18 5 in 10, W19 5 in 10, W20 4 in 10, W21 6 in 10, W22 6 in 10, W23 6 in 10, W24 9 in 10, W25 8 in 10, W26 7 in 10, W27 8 in 10, W28 7 in 10, W29 7 in 10, W30 7 in 10, W31 6 in 10, W32 7 in 10, W33 6 in 10, W34 4 in 10, W35 7 in 10, W36 7 in 10, W37 4 in 10, W38 4 in 10, W39 4 in 10, W40 5 in 10, W41 3 in 10, W42 2 in 10, W43 4 in 10, W44 5 in 10, W45 5 in 10, W46 4 in 10, W47 6 in 10, W48 7 in 10, W49 7 in 10, W50 7 in 10, W51 5 in 10, W52 3 in 10

5 in 10

trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).

Zero wind trips: 1 in 10

about 4.2 kite days expected out of 10

Kite days per trip, 63 trips

Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).

How the wind behaves

In July, the windiest month

  • Too light 43 %
  • Kiteable 57 %
  • Too strong 0 %

Too light on 43 %, kiteable on 57 %, too strong on 0 % of days.

Best hours: 17:00 to 19:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.

NESW

Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors

Wind mostly from NW (315°), fairly steady direction.

Kitesurfing at Hazar Peninsula: quick answers

When is the best time to kitesurf at Hazar Peninsula?

The best months are June to August: from 2017 to 2025, 50 to 57 % of days in those months were kite days.

Is Hazar Peninsula windy in October?

Sometimes. 39 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 12 days in a typical October. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.

How many kite days does Hazar Peninsula get in a year?

About 170 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.

Live forecast

The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.

Live forecast from Windy

The forecast map for Hazar Peninsula comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.

Spot facts

Region
Balkan Region
Country
Turkmenistan
Water body
Sea, from Natural Earth map data
Nearest airport
Turkmenbaşy International Airport (KRW), 90 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
Time zone
UTC+05:00 in October
Coordinates
39.2696, 53.2007
Model
ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Satellite view of Hazar Peninsula

Conditions, checked against kite guides

Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.

Not yet checked against kite guides. We research spot conditions one by one and show only what a kite source says.

Nearby kite spots in Balkan Region

Kite days in October, % of days

  1. Salkyn

    Turkmenistan · 21 points fewer kite days than Hazar Peninsula in October

    18 %
    January: 15 % kite days (Off)February: 21 % kite days (Possible)March: 27 % kite days (Possible)April: 27 % kite days (Possible)May: 33 % kite days (Possible)June: 43 % kite days (Good)July: 43 % kite days (Good)August: 40 % kite days (Good)September: 28 % kite days (Possible)October: 18 % kite days (Off)November: 19 % kite days (Off)December: 17 % kite days (Off)
    Kite days by month at Salkyn: Jan 15 %, Feb 21 %, Mar 27 %, Apr 27 %, May 33 %, Jun 43 %, Jul 43 %, Aug 40 %, Sep 28 %, Oct 18 %, Nov 19 %, Dec 17 %

Plan your trip

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One mail, about 8 weeks before your month starts, with the kite day odds for that month and the link to this page. No newsletter.

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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025

Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Confidence: high.

Cite this

In October, 39 % of days at Hazar Peninsula met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/hazar-peninsula

Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.