Sea · Western Cape · South Africa
Maanskyn Baai
Best for kiting from September to February, with 53 to 70 % kite days. Water 15 to 18 °C.
A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.
- Prime 60 % and more
- Good 40 to 59 %
- Possible 20 to 39 %
- Off under 20 %
- No data hatched
- Ringed: this month
Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.
Confidence highHourly model data, 2017 to 2025, checked against the season shape of a nearby weather station, a regional model or a documented season. Shares its model grid cell with 1 nearby spot, so the numbers describe the area, not one beach.
Month by month
- Kite days
- 57 % Goodabout 18 of 31 days
- Too light, kiteable, too strong
- Too light 43 %
- Kiteable 57 %
- Too strong 0 %
- Good years
- 6 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
- 10 day trip
- 8 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 5.9 expected
- Best hours
- 13:00 to 18:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
- Daylight
- 12.9 h
- Water
- 16 °C, 4/3
- Air
- 18 °Cdaily maximum, 17 °C during kite hours
- Rain
- 8 of 31with 1 mm or more
- In one sentence
In October, Maanskyn Baai averaged 18 kite days out of 31 (57 %). Water 16 °C, 4/3. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
| Kite days% of days | 70 | 58 | 47 | 35 | 30 | 35 | 34 | 43 | 53 | 57 | 65 | 69 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdictshare plus good years | Prime | Good | Good | Possible | Possible | Possible | Possible | Good | Good | Good | Prime | Prime |
| 10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite days | 9 in 10 | 8 in 10 | 5 in 10 | 2 in 10 | 2 in 10 | 3 in 10 | 2 in 10 | 5 in 10 | 7 in 10 | 8 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 |
| Good yearsof 9, reached 50 % | 9 of 9 | 8 of 9 | 4 of 9 | 1 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 2 of 9 | 1 of 9 | 3 of 9 | 5 of 9 | 6 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 |
| Best hourshour of day, most often 12 to 35 kn | 13 to 19 | 13 to 18 | 13 to 18 | 15 to 17 | 14 to 17 | 12 to 17 | 12 to 17 | 12 to 17 | 13 to 18 | 13 to 18 | 12 to 18 | 12 to 18 |
| Daylighth | 14.2 | 13.4 | 12.3 | 11.2 | 10.4 | 9.9 | 10.1 | 10.8 | 11.9 | 12.9 | 13.9 | 14.4 |
| Water°C at the surface | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| Air°C, daily maximum | 21 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| Rain days1 mm or more | 6 of 31 | 5 of 28 | 7 of 31 | 6 of 30 | 8 of 31 | 11 of 30 | 11 of 31 | 11 of 31 | 8 of 30 | 8 of 31 | 6 of 30 | 7 of 31 |
| Wetsuitfor that water and the air on kite days, + boots and gloves | 4/3 | 4/3 | 4/3 | 4/3 | 4/3 | 5/4 | 5/4 | 5/4 | 4/3 | 4/3 | 4/3 | 3/2 |
- In January, Maanskyn Baai averaged 22 kite days out of 31 (70 %). Water 17 °C, 4/3. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in January got at least 5 kite days.
- In February, Maanskyn Baai averaged 16 kite days out of 28 (58 %). Water 17 °C, 4/3. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in February got at least 5 kite days.
- In March, Maanskyn Baai averaged 15 kite days out of 31 (47 %). Water 17 °C, 4/3. 5 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in March got at least 5 kite days.
- In April, Maanskyn Baai averaged 11 kite days out of 30 (35 %). Water 16 °C, 4/3. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in April got at least 5 kite days.
- In May, Maanskyn Baai averaged 9 kite days out of 31 (30 %). Water 16 °C, 4/3. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in May got at least 5 kite days.
- In June, Maanskyn Baai averaged 11 kite days out of 30 (35 %). Water 16 °C, 5/4. 3 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in June got at least 5 kite days.
- In July, Maanskyn Baai averaged 11 kite days out of 31 (34 %). Water 15 °C, 5/4. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in July got at least 5 kite days.
- In August, Maanskyn Baai averaged 13 kite days out of 31 (43 %). Water 15 °C, 5/4. 5 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in August got at least 5 kite days.
- In September, Maanskyn Baai averaged 16 kite days out of 30 (53 %). Water 15 °C, 4/3. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in September got at least 5 kite days.
- In October, Maanskyn Baai averaged 18 kite days out of 31 (57 %). Water 16 °C, 4/3. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
- In November, Maanskyn Baai averaged 20 kite days out of 30 (65 %). Water 17 °C, 4/3. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in November got at least 5 kite days.
- In December, Maanskyn Baai averaged 21 kite days out of 31 (69 %). Water 18 °C, 3/2. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in December got at least 5 kite days.
Good year: at least half the days of that month were kite days. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.
Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds
Trip odds at Maanskyn Baai
How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.
- January9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.7 expected
- February8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.8 expected
- March5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.7 expected
- April2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.2 expected
- May2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.0 expected
- June3 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.8 expected
- July2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.2 expected
- August5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.5 expected
- September7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.5 expected
- October (now)8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.9 expected
- November9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.4 expected
- December9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.9 expected
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Trip odds by start week
Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.
Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 8
- 7
- 8
- 8
- 5
- 7
- 6
- 4
- 4
- 3
- 3
- 1
- 0
- 2
- 1
- 2
- 4
- 2
- 3
- 3
- 4
- 4
- 3
- 1
- 2
- 2
- 2
- 4
- 5
- 6
- 5
- 5
- 7
- 8
- 8
- 7
- 7
- 8
- 9
- 9
- 8
- 8
- 9
- 9
- 7
- 9
- 9
- 9
Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count
8 in 10
trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).
Zero wind trips: fewer than 1 in 20
about 5.7 kite days expected out of 10
Kite days per trip, 63 trips
Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).
How the wind behaves
In January, the windiest month
- Too light 30 %
- Kiteable 70 %
- Too strong 0 %
Too light on 30 %, kiteable on 70 %, too strong on 0 % of days.
Best hours: 13:00 to 19:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.
Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors
Wind mostly from SSE (158°), fairly steady direction.
Kitesurfing at Maanskyn Baai: quick answers
When is the best time to kitesurf at Maanskyn Baai?
The best months are September to February: from 2017 to 2025, 53 to 70 % of days in those months were kite days.
Is Maanskyn Baai windy in October?
Yes, often. 57 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 18 days in a typical October. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.
What is the water temperature at Maanskyn Baai?
The water ranges from 15 °C in July to 18 °C in December. In October it is about 16 °C (wetsuit: 4/3).
How many kite days does Maanskyn Baai get in a year?
About 181 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.
Live forecast
The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.
Live forecast from Windy
The forecast map for Maanskyn Baai comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.
Spot facts
- Region
- Western Cape
- Country
- South Africa
- Water body
- Sea, from Natural Earth map data
- Nearest airport
- Cape Town International Airport (CPT), 81 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
- Time zone
- UTC+02:00 in October
- Coordinates
- -34.4219, 19.3035
- Model
- ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Conditions, checked against kite guides
Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.
Not yet checked against kite guides. We research spot conditions one by one and show only what a kite source says.
Nearby kite spots in Western Cape
Kite days in October, % of days
- Grotto Beach
South Africa · same kite days as Maanskyn Baai in October
57 %Kite days by month at Grotto Beach: Jan 70 %, Feb 58 %, Mar 47 %, Apr 35 %, May 30 %, Jun 35 %, Jul 34 %, Aug 43 %, Sep 53 %, Oct 57 %, Nov 65 %, Dec 69 % - Hawston
South Africa · 7 points more kite days than Maanskyn Baai in October
64 %Kite days by month at Hawston: Jan 76 %, Feb 64 %, Mar 56 %, Apr 42 %, May 33 %, Jun 38 %, Jul 39 %, Aug 49 %, Sep 55 %, Oct 64 %, Nov 71 %, Dec 74 % - Kleinmond
South Africa · 6 points more kite days than Maanskyn Baai in October
63 %Kite days by month at Kleinmond: Jan 71 %, Feb 63 %, Mar 56 %, Apr 48 %, May 41 %, Jun 45 %, Jul 45 %, Aug 54 %, Sep 57 %, Oct 63 %, Nov 67 %, Dec 73 % - Betty's Bay
South Africa · 7 points more kite days than Maanskyn Baai in October
64 %Kite days by month at Betty's Bay: Jan 72 %, Feb 64 %, Mar 60 %, Apr 52 %, May 48 %, Jun 59 %, Jul 55 %, Aug 60 %, Sep 64 %, Oct 64 %, Nov 69 %, Dec 74 % - Pringle Bay
South Africa · 11 points more kite days than Maanskyn Baai in October
68 %Kite days by month at Pringle Bay: Jan 73 %, Feb 66 %, Mar 59 %, Apr 52 %, May 47 %, Jun 59 %, Jul 58 %, Aug 61 %, Sep 63 %, Oct 68 %, Nov 71 %, Dec 74 % - Strand
South Africa · 9 points fewer kite days than Maanskyn Baai in October
48 %Kite days by month at Strand: Jan 66 %, Feb 62 %, Mar 48 %, Apr 33 %, May 25 %, Jun 34 %, Jul 34 %, Aug 35 %, Sep 43 %, Oct 48 %, Nov 63 %, Dec 65 % - Macassar
South Africa · 14 points more kite days than Maanskyn Baai in October
71 %Kite days by month at Macassar: Jan 88 %, Feb 85 %, Mar 69 %, Apr 53 %, May 41 %, Jun 49 %, Jul 50 %, Aug 51 %, Sep 64 %, Oct 71 %, Nov 82 %, Dec 82 % - Brandfontein
South Africa · 21 points more kite days than Maanskyn Baai in October
78 %Kite days by month at Brandfontein: Jan 87 %, Feb 80 %, Mar 72 %, Apr 62 %, May 54 %, Jun 52 %, Jul 52 %, Aug 63 %, Sep 72 %, Oct 78 %, Nov 83 %, Dec 83 %
Plan your trip
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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025
Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Shares its model grid cell with 1 nearby spot, so the numbers describe the area, not one beach. Confidence: high.
Cite this
In October, 57 % of days at Maanskyn Baai met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/maanskyn-baai
Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.