Sea · Florida · United States
Matecumbe Key
Best for kiting from October to April, with 50 to 57 % kite days. Water 23 to 29 °C.
A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.
- Prime 60 % and more
- Good 40 to 59 %
- Possible 20 to 39 %
- Off under 20 %
- No data hatched
- Ringed: this month
Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.
Confidence highHourly model data, 2017 to 2025, checked against the season shape of a nearby weather station, a regional model or a documented season.
Month by month
- Kite days
- 53 % Goodabout 17 of 31 days
- Too light, kiteable, too strong
- Too light 47 %
- Kiteable 53 %
- Too strong 0 %
- Good years
- 5 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
- 10 day trip
- 7 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 5.5 expected
- Best hours
- 10:00 to 18:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
- Daylight
- 11.6 h
- Water
- 29 °C, boardshorts
- Air
- 28 °Cdaily maximum, 27 °C during kite hours
- Rain
- 17 of 31with 1 mm or more
- In one sentence
In October, Matecumbe Key averaged 17 kite days out of 31 (53 %). Water 29 °C, boardshorts. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
| Kite days% of days | 57 | 50 | 56 | 57 | 40 | 24 | 20 | 27 | 25 | 53 | 52 | 54 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdictshare plus good years | Good | Good | Good | Good | Good | Possible | Possible | Possible | Possible | Good | Good | Good |
| 10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite days | 6 in 10 | 6 in 10 | 7 in 10 | 7 in 10 | 4 in 10 | 2 in 10 | 2 in 10 | 3 in 10 | 2 in 10 | 7 in 10 | 6 in 10 | 7 in 10 |
| Good yearsof 9, reached 50 % | 6 of 9 | 5 of 9 | 6 of 9 | 7 of 9 | 3 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 1 of 9 | 5 of 9 | 4 of 9 | 5 of 9 |
| Best hourshour of day, most often 12 to 35 kn | 10 to 17 | 10 to 17 | 10 to 18 | 10 to 19 | 14 to 19 | 10 to 19 | 10 to 19 | 12 to 19 | 10 to 18 | 10 to 18 | 10 to 17 | 10 to 17 |
| Daylighth | 10.8 | 11.3 | 12.0 | 12.7 | 13.3 | 13.7 | 13.5 | 13.0 | 12.3 | 11.6 | 11.0 | 10.6 |
| Water°C at the surface | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 31 | 29 | 27 | 25 |
| Air°C, daily maximum | 23 | 24 | 24 | 26 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 26 | 24 |
| Rain days1 mm or more | 7 of 31 | 5 of 28 | 5 of 31 | 8 of 30 | 11 of 31 | 18 of 30 | 18 of 31 | 18 of 31 | 19 of 30 | 17 of 31 | 10 of 30 | 8 of 31 |
| Wetsuitfor that water and the air on kite days, + boots and gloves | spring | shorty | shorty | shorty | shorts | shorts | shorts | shorts | shorts | shorts | shorts | shorty |
- In January, Matecumbe Key averaged 18 kite days out of 31 (57 %). Water 23 °C, spring suit. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in January got at least 5 kite days.
- In February, Matecumbe Key averaged 14 kite days out of 28 (50 %). Water 24 °C, shorty. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in February got at least 5 kite days.
- In March, Matecumbe Key averaged 17 kite days out of 31 (56 %). Water 25 °C, shorty. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in March got at least 5 kite days.
- In April, Matecumbe Key averaged 17 kite days out of 30 (57 %). Water 26 °C, shorty. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in April got at least 5 kite days.
- In May, Matecumbe Key averaged 12 kite days out of 31 (40 %). Water 29 °C, boardshorts. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in May got at least 5 kite days.
- In June, Matecumbe Key averaged 7 kite days out of 30 (24 %). Water 30 °C, boardshorts. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in June got at least 5 kite days.
- In July, Matecumbe Key averaged 6 kite days out of 31 (20 %). Water 31 °C, boardshorts. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in July got at least 5 kite days.
- In August, Matecumbe Key averaged 8 kite days out of 31 (27 %). Water 32 °C, boardshorts. 3 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in August got at least 5 kite days.
- In September, Matecumbe Key averaged 8 kite days out of 30 (25 %). Water 31 °C, boardshorts. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in September got at least 5 kite days.
- In October, Matecumbe Key averaged 17 kite days out of 31 (53 %). Water 29 °C, boardshorts. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
- In November, Matecumbe Key averaged 16 kite days out of 30 (52 %). Water 27 °C, boardshorts. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in November got at least 5 kite days.
- In December, Matecumbe Key averaged 17 kite days out of 31 (54 %). Water 25 °C, shorty. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in December got at least 5 kite days.
Good year: at least half the days of that month were kite days. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.
Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds
Trip odds at Matecumbe Key
How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.
- January6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.4 expected
- February6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.1 expected
- March7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.6 expected
- April7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.7 expected
- May4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.7 expected
- June2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.1 expected
- July2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.3 expected
- August3 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.7 expected
- September2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.8 expected
- October (now)7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.5 expected
- November6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.1 expected
- December7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.4 expected
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Trip odds by start week
Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.
Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025
- 8
- 7
- 6
- 6
- 5
- 7
- 8
- 5
- 5
- 7
- 8
- 7
- 7
- 8
- 8
- 7
- 6
- 3
- 4
- 6
- 2
- 2
- 2
- 3
- 1
- 0
- 1
- 1
- 2
- 3
- 3
- 1
- 2
- 3
- 3
- 1
- 1
- 2
- 4
- 6
- 6
- 7
- 8
- 8
- 7
- 6
- 5
- 6
- 5
- 7
- 7
- 7
Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count
7 in 10
trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).
Zero wind trips: fewer than 1 in 20
about 5.7 kite days expected out of 10
Kite days per trip, 63 trips
Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).
How the wind behaves
In April, the windiest month
- Too light 43 %
- Kiteable 57 %
- Too strong 0 %
Too light on 43 %, kiteable on 57 %, too strong on 0 % of days.
Best hours: all day, 10:00 to 19:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.
Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors
Wind mostly from E (90°), fairly steady direction.
Kitesurfing at Matecumbe Key: quick answers
When is the best time to kitesurf at Matecumbe Key?
The best months are October to April: from 2017 to 2025, 50 to 57 % of days in those months were kite days.
Is Matecumbe Key windy in October?
Yes, often. 53 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 17 days in a typical October. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.
What is the water temperature at Matecumbe Key?
The water ranges from 23 °C in January to 32 °C in August. In October it is about 29 °C (wetsuit: boardshorts).
How many kite days does Matecumbe Key get in a year?
About 156 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.
Live forecast
The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.
Live forecast from Windy
The forecast map for Matecumbe Key comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.
Spot facts
- Region
- Florida
- Country
- United States
- Water body
- Sea, from Natural Earth map data
- Nearest airport
- Key West International Airport (EYW), 108 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
- Time zone
- UTC-04:00 in October
- Coordinates
- 24.8466, -80.7442
- Model
- ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Conditions, checked against kite guides
Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.
Not yet checked against kite guides. We research spot conditions one by one and show only what a kite source says.
Nearby kite spots in Florida
Kite days in October, % of days
- Islamorada Flats
United States · 3 points more kite days than Matecumbe Key in October
56 %Kite days by month at Islamorada Flats: Jan 54 %, Feb 49 %, Mar 58 %, Apr 61 %, May 41 %, Jun 27 %, Jul 22 %, Aug 27 %, Sep 27 %, Oct 56 %, Nov 50 %, Dec 51 % - Matheson Hammock
United States · 15 points fewer kite days than Matecumbe Key in October
38 %Kite days by month at Matheson Hammock: Jan 39 %, Feb 40 %, Mar 48 %, Apr 49 %, May 36 %, Jun 12 %, Jul 7 %, Aug 12 %, Sep 16 %, Oct 38 %, Nov 32 %, Dec 34 % - Miami Flats
United States · 7 points fewer kite days than Matecumbe Key in October
46 %Kite days by month at Miami Flats: Jan 45 %, Feb 45 %, Mar 54 %, Apr 55 %, May 43 %, Jun 18 %, Jul 12 %, Aug 17 %, Sep 20 %, Oct 46 %, Nov 39 %, Dec 42 % - Smathers Beach
United States · 2 points more kite days than Matecumbe Key in October
55 %Kite days by month at Smathers Beach: Jan 61 %, Feb 51 %, Mar 58 %, Apr 57 %, May 42 %, Jun 27 %, Jul 22 %, Aug 26 %, Sep 26 %, Oct 55 %, Nov 58 %, Dec 54 % - Crandon Beach
United States · 1 point fewer kite days than Matecumbe Key in October
52 %Kite days by month at Crandon Beach: Jan 52 %, Feb 52 %, Mar 59 %, Apr 61 %, May 50 %, Jun 24 %, Jul 17 %, Aug 22 %, Sep 23 %, Oct 52 %, Nov 49 %, Dec 51 % - Kite Beach
United States · 7 points fewer kite days than Matecumbe Key in October
46 %Kite days by month at Kite Beach: Jan 51 %, Feb 53 %, Mar 59 %, Apr 57 %, May 47 %, Jun 21 %, Jul 13 %, Aug 19 %, Sep 19 %, Oct 46 %, Nov 43 %, Dec 44 % - Marco Island
United States · 35 points fewer kite days than Matecumbe Key in October
18 %Kite days by month at Marco Island: Jan 24 %, Feb 17 %, Mar 30 %, Apr 31 %, May 17 %, Jun 8 %, Jul 3 %, Aug 7 %, Sep 10 %, Oct 18 %, Nov 18 %, Dec 21 % - Pompano Beach
United States · 9 points fewer kite days than Matecumbe Key in October
44 %Kite days by month at Pompano Beach: Jan 52 %, Feb 55 %, Mar 60 %, Apr 59 %, May 47 %, Jun 20 %, Jul 13 %, Aug 21 %, Sep 21 %, Oct 44 %, Nov 42 %, Dec 44 %
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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025
Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Confidence: high.
Cite this
In October, 53 % of days at Matecumbe Key met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/matecumbe-key
Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.