Sea · Setúbal · Portugal

Carvalhal

Name: Carvalhal
Address: PRT

Best for kiting from May to August, with 56 to 63 % kite days. Water 17 to 19 °C.

A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.

JJan39Possible
FFeb29Possible
MMar41Good
AApr48Good
MMay56Good
JJun63Prime
JJul62Prime
AAug57Good
SSep37Possible
OOct27Possiblenow
NNov36Possible
DDec34Possible

Prime 60 % and more
Good 40 to 59 %
Possible 20 to 39 %
Off under 20 %
No data hatched
Ringed: this month

Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.

Confidence highClose model cell, both models agree on the season, 9 full years.

See the best months Live forecast Show on map

Month by month

MonthKite days% of days, verdict10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite daysWater°C, what to wear

Kite days
27 % Possibleabout 8 of 31 days
Too light, kiteable, too strong
Too light 73 %
Kiteable 27 %
Too strong 0 %
10 day trip
2 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 3.0 expected
Best hours
16:00 to 18:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
Daylight
11.2 h
Water
19 °C, 3/2
Air
20 °Cdaily maximum, 19 °C during kite hours
Rain
8 of 31with 1 mm or more
In one sentence
In October, Carvalhal averaged 8 kite days out of 31 (27 %). Water 19 °C, 3/2. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.

Carvalhal

Kite days% of days	39	29	41	48	56	63	62	57	37	27	36	34
Verdictshare plus good years	Possible	Possible	Good	Good	Good	Prime	Prime	Good	Possible	Possible	Possible	Possible
10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite days	5 in 10	2 in 10	4 in 10	6 in 10	7 in 10	8 in 10	7 in 10	7 in 10	3 in 10	2 in 10	3 in 10	3 in 10
Good yearsof 0, reached 50 %	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·
Best hourshour of day, most often 12 to 35 kn	10 to 17	10 to 17	15 to 18	17 to 19	16 to 19	16 to 19	16 to 19	17 to 19	17 to 19	16 to 18	11 to 16	10 to 16
Daylighth	9.8	10.8	11.9	13.2	14.2	14.8	14.6	13.7	12.5	11.2	10.1	9.6
Water°C at the surface	16	15	15	16	17	19	18	18	17	19	18	16
Air°C, daily maximum	15	15	16	17	19	20	22	22	21	20	18	16
Rain days1 mm or more	7 of 31	7 of 28	10 of 31	9 of 30	3 of 31	4 of 30	0 of 31	0 of 31	3 of 30	8 of 31	10 of 30	9 of 31
Wetsuitfor that water and the air on kite days, + boots and gloves	5/4	5/4	5/4	4/3	4/3	3/2	3/2	3/2	4/3	3/2	4/3	5/4

In January, Carvalhal averaged 12 kite days out of 31 (39 %). Water 16 °C, 5/4. 5 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in January got at least 5 kite days.
In February, Carvalhal averaged 8 kite days out of 28 (29 %). Water 15 °C, 5/4. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in February got at least 5 kite days.
In March, Carvalhal averaged 13 kite days out of 31 (41 %). Water 15 °C, 5/4. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in March got at least 5 kite days.
In April, Carvalhal averaged 14 kite days out of 30 (48 %). Water 16 °C, 4/3. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in April got at least 5 kite days.
In May, Carvalhal averaged 17 kite days out of 31 (56 %). Water 17 °C, 4/3. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in May got at least 5 kite days.
In June, Carvalhal averaged 19 kite days out of 30 (63 %). Water 19 °C, 3/2. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in June got at least 5 kite days.
In July, Carvalhal averaged 19 kite days out of 31 (62 %). Water 18 °C, 3/2. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in July got at least 5 kite days.
In August, Carvalhal averaged 18 kite days out of 31 (57 %). Water 18 °C, 3/2. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in August got at least 5 kite days.
In September, Carvalhal averaged 11 kite days out of 30 (37 %). Water 17 °C, 4/3. 3 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in September got at least 5 kite days.
In October, Carvalhal averaged 8 kite days out of 31 (27 %). Water 19 °C, 3/2. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
In November, Carvalhal averaged 11 kite days out of 30 (36 %). Water 18 °C, 4/3. 3 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in November got at least 5 kite days.
In December, Carvalhal averaged 10 kite days out of 31 (34 %). Water 16 °C, 5/4. 3 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in December got at least 5 kite days.

Good years are not shown here: this spot has no complete per year values, because the two models drift apart over the years. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.

Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds

Trip odds at Carvalhal

How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.

January5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.9 expected
February2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.1 expected
March4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.1 expected
April6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.8 expected
May7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.9 expected
June8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.1 expected
July7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.3 expected
August7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.6 expected
September3 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.2 expected
October (now)2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.0 expected
November3 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.4 expected
December3 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.3 expected

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.

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Trip odds by start week

Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.

Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025

Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.

Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count

Start date

3 in 10

trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).

Zero wind trips: 2 in 10

about 2.9 kite days expected out of 10

Kite days per trip, 63 trips

Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).

How the wind behaves

In June, the windiest month

Too light 37 %
Kiteable 63 %
Too strong 0 %

Too light on 37 %, kiteable on 63 %, too strong on 0 % of days.

Best hours: 16:00 to 19:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.

Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors

Wind steadily from WNW (293°).

Kitesurfing at Carvalhal: quick answers

When is the best time to kitesurf at Carvalhal?

The best months are May to August: from 2017 to 2025, 56 to 63 % of days in those months were kite days.

Is Carvalhal windy in October?

Sometimes. 27 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 8 days in a typical October. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.

What is the water temperature at Carvalhal?

The water ranges from 15 °C in February to 19 °C in June. In October it is about 19 °C (wetsuit: 3/2).

How many kite days does Carvalhal get in a year?

About 160 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.

Live forecast

The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.

Live forecast from Windy

The forecast map for Carvalhal comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.

Spot facts

Region: Setúbal
Country: Portugal
Water body: Sea, from Natural Earth map data
Nearest airport: Lisbon Humberto Delgado Airport (LIS), 61 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
Time zone: UTC+01:00 in October
Coordinates: 38.3072, -8.7799
Model: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly

Conditions, checked against kite guides

Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.

Not yet checked against kite guides. We research spot conditions one by one and show only what a kite source says.

Nearby kite spots in Setúbal

Kite days in October, % of days

Comporta
Portugal · 3 points fewer kite days than Carvalhal in October
24 %
1. J
2. F
3. M
4. A
5. M
6. J
7. J
8. A
9. S
10. O
11. N
12. D
Kite days by month at Comporta: Jan 29 %, Feb 26 %, Mar 35 %, Apr 41 %, May 50 %, Jun 62 %, Jul 63 %, Aug 47 %, Sep 34 %, Oct 24 %, Nov 29 %, Dec 25 %
Lagoa de Santo André
Portugal · same kite days as Carvalhal in October
27 %
1. J
2. F
3. M
4. A
5. M
6. J
7. J
8. A
9. S
10. O
11. N
12. D
Kite days by month at Lagoa de Santo André: Jan 40 %, Feb 33 %, Mar 43 %, Apr 48 %, May 56 %, Jun 56 %, Jul 53 %, Aug 51 %, Sep 33 %, Oct 27 %, Nov 36 %, Dec 35 %
Bico das Lulas, Tróia
Portugal · 5 points fewer kite days than Carvalhal in October
22 %
1. J
2. F
3. M
4. A
5. M
6. J
7. J
8. A
9. S
10. O
11. N
12. D
Kite days by month at Bico das Lulas, Tróia: Jan 31 %, Feb 26 %, Mar 33 %, Apr 37 %, May 39 %, Jun 44 %, Jul 42 %, Aug 36 %, Sep 27 %, Oct 22 %, Nov 29 %, Dec 27 %
Sines North
Portugal · 8 points fewer kite days than Carvalhal in October
19 %
1. J
2. F
3. M
4. A
5. M
6. J
7. J
8. A
9. S
10. O
11. N
12. D
Kite days by month at Sines North: Jan 30 %, Feb 28 %, Mar 37 %, Apr 38 %, May 41 %, Jun 41 %, Jul 37 %, Aug 34 %, Sep 24 %, Oct 19 %, Nov 24 %, Dec 24 %
Lagoa de Albufeira
Portugal · 5 points more kite days than Carvalhal in October
32 %
1. J
2. F
3. M
4. A
5. M
6. J
7. J
8. A
9. S
10. O
11. N
12. D
Kite days by month at Lagoa de Albufeira: Jan 37 %, Feb 37 %, Mar 48 %, Apr 55 %, May 66 %, Jun 71 %, Jul 80 %, Aug 74 %, Sep 45 %, Oct 32 %, Nov 37 %, Dec 35 %
Ponta dos Corvos
Portugal · 9 points fewer kite days than Carvalhal in October
18 %
1. J
2. F
3. M
4. A
5. M
6. J
7. J
8. A
9. S
10. O
11. N
12. D
Kite days by month at Ponta dos Corvos: Jan 20 %, Feb 19 %, Mar 28 %, Apr 25 %, May 31 %, Jun 35 %, Jul 32 %, Aug 32 %, Sep 20 %, Oct 18 %, Nov 17 %, Dec 17 %
Nova Vaga
Portugal · 6 points more kite days than Carvalhal in October
33 %
1. J
2. F
3. M
4. A
5. M
6. J
7. J
8. A
9. S
10. O
11. N
12. D
Kite days by month at Nova Vaga: Jan 40 %, Feb 40 %, Mar 55 %, Apr 58 %, May 69 %, Jun 72 %, Jul 79 %, Aug 78 %, Sep 52 %, Oct 33 %, Nov 43 %, Dec 39 %
Alcochete
Portugal · 4 points fewer kite days than Carvalhal in October
23 %
1. J
2. F
3. M
4. A
5. M
6. J
7. J
8. A
9. S
10. O
11. N
12. D
Kite days by month at Alcochete: Jan 25 %, Feb 22 %, Mar 35 %, Apr 40 %, May 50 %, Jun 63 %, Jul 61 %, Aug 59 %, Sep 34 %, Oct 23 %, Nov 23 %, Dec 21 %

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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025

Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Confidence: high.

Cite this

In October, 27 % of days at Carvalhal met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/carvalhal

Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.