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12 kn+. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots between 10:00 and 19:00. How we count.

Sea · Setúbal · Portugal

Bico das Lulas, Tróia

Kite days peak in June at 44 %.

  1. J31
  2. F26
  3. M33
  4. A37
  5. M39
  6. J44
  7. J42
  8. A36
  9. S27
  10. O22
  11. N29
  12. D27
Kite days by month at Bico das Lulas, Tróia: Jan 31 %, Feb 26 %, Mar 33 %, Apr 37 %, May 39 %, Jun 44 %, Jul 42 %, Aug 36 %, Sep 27 %, Oct 22 %, Nov 29 %, Dec 27 %
  • Prime 60 %+
  • Good 40 %+
  • Possible 20 %+
  • Off under 20 %
  • Ringed: this month

October · nowTap a month

Kite days
22%
kite days
Possible
Wind
8kn
from SSW
average 12:00 to 18:00
Water
18°C
3/2
water
Trip odds
2in 10
10 day trips good
about 2.6 kite days of 10
Check my dates

Trip odds, expected kite days, water and wetsuit for your exact dates. Free, no sign up.

How we know thisConfidence high

Confidence. Hourly model data, 2017 to 2025, checked against the season shape of a nearby weather station, a regional model or a documented season.

A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.

Best months: at least half the days are kite days (50 % or more), outside the cold months. The colours grade every month on their own scale: Prime from 60 %, Good from 40 %, Possible from 20 %.

Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.

The full method

Live forecastShow on map

How the wind behaves

In June, the windiest month

Afternoon wind 10 knots, average 12:00 to 18:00.

  • Too light 56 %
  • Kiteable 44 %
  • Too strong 0 %

Too light on 56 %, kiteable on 44 %, too strong on 0 % of days.

Best hours: 17:00 to 19:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.

NESW

Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors

Wind mostly from NNW (338°), fairly steady direction.

Month by month

MonthKite days% of days, verdict10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite daysWater°C, what to wear
  • Kite days
    22 % Possibleabout 7 of 31 days
    Too light, kiteable, too strong
    • Too light 78 %
    • Kiteable 22 %
    • Too strong 0 %
    10 day trip
    2 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 2.6 expected
    Best hours
    16:00 to 18:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
    Daylight
    11.2 h
    Water
    18 °C, 3/2
    Air
    21 °Cdaily maximum, 20 °C during kite hours
    Rain
    7 of 31with 1 mm or more

Good years are not shown here: this spot has no complete per year values, because the two models drift apart over the years. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.

Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds

Trip odds by start week

Pick your start week and trip length.

Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025

Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week

Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count

Trip odds by start week in Bico das Lulas, Tróia: W1 2 in 10, W2 3 in 10, W3 4 in 10, W4 4 in 10, W5 4 in 10, W6 2 in 10, W7 under 1 in 10, W8 2 in 10, W9 4 in 10, W10 2 in 10, W11 4 in 10, W12 3 in 10, W13 4 in 10, W14 3 in 10, W15 4 in 10, W16 3 in 10, W17 4 in 10, W18 3 in 10, W19 5 in 10, W20 4 in 10, W21 3 in 10, W22 5 in 10, W23 4 in 10, W24 3 in 10, W25 5 in 10, W26 6 in 10, W27 4 in 10, W28 2 in 10, W29 5 in 10, W30 6 in 10, W31 5 in 10, W32 4 in 10, W33 3 in 10, W34 3 in 10, W35 1 in 10, W36 2 in 10, W37 1 in 10, W38 1 in 10, W39 under 1 in 10, W40 1 in 10, W41 2 in 10, W42 2 in 10, W43 2 in 10, W44 4 in 10, W45 3 in 10, W46 1 in 10, W47 1 in 10, W48 1 in 10, W49 2 in 10, W50 2 in 10, W51 1 in 10, W52 1 in 10

1 in 10

trips of 10 days starting in week 47 (e.g. 19 to 25 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).

Zero wind trips: fewer than 1 in 20

about 2.8 kite days expected out of 10

Kite days per trip, 63 trips

Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).

Kitesurfing at Bico das Lulas, Tróia: quick answers

When is the best time to kitesurf at Bico das Lulas, Tróia?

No month reaches 50 % kite days. The windiest month is June, when 44 % of days were kite days from 2017 to 2025.

Is Bico das Lulas, Tróia windy in October?

Sometimes. 22 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 7 days in a typical October. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.

What is the water temperature at Bico das Lulas, Tróia?

The water ranges from 15 °C in February to 18 °C in June. In October it is about 18 °C (wetsuit: 3/2).

How many kite days does Bico das Lulas, Tróia get in a year?

About 120 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.

Live forecast

The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.

Live forecast from Windy

The forecast map for Bico das Lulas, Tróia comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.

Spot facts

Region
Setúbal
Country
Portugal
Water body
Sea, from Natural Earth map data
Nearest airport
Lisbon Humberto Delgado Airport (LIS), 38 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
Time zone
UTC+01:00 in October
Coordinates
38.4901, -8.9093
Model
ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Satellite view of Bico das Lulas, Tróia

Conditions, checked against kite guides

Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.

Not yet checked against kite guides. We research spot conditions one by one and show only what a kite source says.

Nearby kite spots in Setúbal

  1. Comporta15 km

    9 kn SSW19 °C 3/2sea

    24% kite days
    January: 29 % kite days (Possible)February: 26 % kite days (Possible)March: 35 % kite days (Possible)April: 41 % kite days (Good)May: 50 % kite days (Good)June: 62 % kite days (Prime)July: 63 % kite days (Prime)August: 47 % kite days (Good)September: 34 % kite days (Possible)October: 24 % kite days (Possible)November: 29 % kite days (Possible)December: 25 % kite days (Possible)
    Kite days by month in Comporta: Jan 29 %, Feb 26 %, Mar 35 %, Apr 41 %, May 50 %, Jun 62 %, Jul 63 %, Aug 47 %, Sep 34 %, Oct 24 %, Nov 29 %, Dec 25 %

  2. Carvalhal23 km

    9 kn SSW19 °C 3/2sea

    27% kite days
    January: 39 % kite days (Possible)February: 29 % kite days (Possible)March: 41 % kite days (Good)April: 48 % kite days (Good)May: 56 % kite days (Good)June: 63 % kite days (Prime)July: 62 % kite days (Prime)August: 57 % kite days (Good)September: 37 % kite days (Possible)October: 27 % kite days (Possible)November: 36 % kite days (Possible)December: 34 % kite days (Possible)
    Kite days by month in Carvalhal: Jan 39 %, Feb 29 %, Mar 41 %, Apr 48 %, May 56 %, Jun 63 %, Jul 62 %, Aug 57 %, Sep 37 %, Oct 27 %, Nov 36 %, Dec 34 %

  3. Lagoa de Albufeira23 km

    9 kn NW18 °C 3/2lagoon

    32% kite days
    January: 37 % kite days (Possible)February: 37 % kite days (Possible)March: 48 % kite days (Good)April: 55 % kite days (Good)May: 66 % kite days (Prime)June: 71 % kite days (Prime)July: 80 % kite days (Prime)August: 74 % kite days (Prime)September: 45 % kite days (Good)October: 32 % kite days (Possible)November: 37 % kite days (Possible)December: 35 % kite days (Possible)
    Kite days by month in Lagoa de Albufeira: Jan 37 %, Feb 37 %, Mar 48 %, Apr 55 %, May 66 %, Jun 71 %, Jul 80 %, Aug 74 %, Sep 45 %, Oct 32 %, Nov 37 %, Dec 35 %

  4. Ponta dos Corvos24 km

    8 kn SW18 °C 3/2sea

    18% kite days
    January: 20 % kite days (Possible)February: 19 % kite days (Off)March: 28 % kite days (Possible)April: 25 % kite days (Possible)May: 31 % kite days (Possible)June: 35 % kite days (Possible)July: 32 % kite days (Possible)August: 32 % kite days (Possible)September: 20 % kite days (Possible)October: 18 % kite days (Off)November: 17 % kite days (Off)December: 17 % kite days (Off)
    Kite days by month in Ponta dos Corvos: Jan 20 %, Feb 19 %, Mar 28 %, Apr 25 %, May 31 %, Jun 35 %, Jul 32 %, Aug 32 %, Sep 20 %, Oct 18 %, Nov 17 %, Dec 17 %

  5. Nova Vaga29 km

    10 kn NW18 °C 3/2sea

    33% kite days
    January: 40 % kite days (Good)February: 40 % kite days (Good)March: 55 % kite days (Good)April: 58 % kite days (Good)May: 69 % kite days (Prime)June: 72 % kite days (Prime)July: 79 % kite days (Prime)August: 78 % kite days (Prime)September: 52 % kite days (Good)October: 33 % kite days (Possible)November: 43 % kite days (Good)December: 39 % kite days (Possible)
    Kite days by month in Nova Vaga: Jan 40 %, Feb 40 %, Mar 55 %, Apr 58 %, May 69 %, Jun 72 %, Jul 79 %, Aug 78 %, Sep 52 %, Oct 33 %, Nov 43 %, Dec 39 %

  6. Alcochete29 km

    8 kn SWsea

    23% kite days
    January: 25 % kite days (Possible)February: 22 % kite days (Possible)March: 35 % kite days (Possible)April: 40 % kite days (Good)May: 50 % kite days (Good)June: 63 % kite days (Prime)July: 61 % kite days (Good)August: 59 % kite days (Good)September: 34 % kite days (Possible)October: 23 % kite days (Possible)November: 23 % kite days (Possible)December: 21 % kite days (Possible)
    Kite days by month in Alcochete: Jan 25 %, Feb 22 %, Mar 35 %, Apr 40 %, May 50 %, Jun 63 %, Jul 61 %, Aug 59 %, Sep 34 %, Oct 23 %, Nov 23 %, Dec 21 %

  7. Lagoa de Santo André43 km

    9 kn SSW19 °C 3/2lagoon

    27% kite days
    January: 40 % kite days (Good)February: 33 % kite days (Possible)March: 43 % kite days (Good)April: 48 % kite days (Good)May: 56 % kite days (Good)June: 56 % kite days (Good)July: 53 % kite days (Good)August: 51 % kite days (Good)September: 33 % kite days (Possible)October: 27 % kite days (Possible)November: 36 % kite days (Possible)December: 35 % kite days (Possible)
    Kite days by month in Lagoa de Santo André: Jan 40 %, Feb 33 %, Mar 43 %, Apr 48 %, May 56 %, Jun 56 %, Jul 53 %, Aug 51 %, Sep 33 %, Oct 27 %, Nov 36 %, Dec 35 %

  8. Sines North57 km

    9 kn NW19 °C 3/2sea

    19% kite days
    January: 30 % kite days (Possible)February: 28 % kite days (Possible)March: 37 % kite days (Possible)April: 38 % kite days (Possible)May: 41 % kite days (Good)June: 41 % kite days (Good)July: 37 % kite days (Possible)August: 34 % kite days (Possible)September: 24 % kite days (Possible)October: 19 % kite days (Off)November: 24 % kite days (Possible)December: 24 % kite days (Possible)
    Kite days by month in Sines North: Jan 30 %, Feb 28 %, Mar 37 %, Apr 38 %, May 41 %, Jun 41 %, Jul 37 %, Aug 34 %, Sep 24 %, Oct 19 %, Nov 24 %, Dec 24 %

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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025

Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Confidence: high.

Cite this

In October, 22 % of days at Bico das Lulas, Tróia met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/bico-das-lulas-troia

Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.