Destination · Hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025

Confidence highHourly model data, 2017 to 2025, checked against the season shape of a nearby weather station, a regional model or a documented season.

Kitesurfing in Guincho, Portugal

Name: Guincho
Address: PRT

Beach in Portugal · 4 kite spots · airports CAT, LIS, PRM

Best for kiting from March to September, with 50 to 74 % kite days. Water 15 to 18 °C.

Season 22 Jan to 4 Feb and 26 Feb to 7 Oct, peak 30 Apr to 2 Sep.

A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 2017 to 2025.

Numbers on this page are from Guincho, the main spot of Guincho. The other 3 spots range from 22 to 37 % kite days in October.

Kite Year

Kite days per month, in % of days. Colour is the verdict, the number is the share. Tap a month for its details.

JJan36Possible
FFeb39Possible
MMar50Good
AApr58Good
MMay61Prime
JJun64Prime
JJul72Prime
AAug74Prime
SSep50Good
OOct37Possiblenow · chosen
NNov39Possible
DDec36Possible

Prime 60 % and more
Good 40 to 59 %
Possible 20 to 39 %
Off under 20 %
No data hatched
Ringed: this month
Raised: your chosen month

Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.

October in Guincho, this month, averaged over 2017 to 2025.

KITE DAYS: 11 of 31; 37 % kite days, Possible, good in 1 of 9 years
WIND: 10 knots; afternoon average, 12:00 to 18:00
WATER: 18 °C, 3/2; suit for 18 to 20 °C

4 in 10

trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (9 Octobers).

about 3.8 kite days expected out of 10.

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. How we count trip odds

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Live forecast How we count a kite day

Month by month

Tap a month for trip odds, good years, best hours, water, air and rain.

MonthKite days% of days, verdict10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite daysWater°C, what to wear

Kite days
37 % Possibleabout 11 of 31 days
Too light, kiteable, too strong
Too light 63 %
Kiteable 37 %
Too strong 0 %
Good years
1 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
10 day trip
4 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 3.8 expected
Best hours
14:00 to 18:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
Daylight
11.2 h
Water
18 °C, 3/2
Air
20 °Cdaily maximum, 19 °C during kite hours
Rain
9 of 31with 1 mm or more
In one sentence
In October, Guincho averaged 11 kite days out of 31 (37 %). Water 18 °C, 3/2. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.

Guincho

Kite days% of days	36	39	50	58	61	64	72	74	50	37	39	36
Verdictshare plus good years	Possible	Possible	Good	Good	Prime	Prime	Prime	Prime	Good	Possible	Possible	Possible
10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite days	4 in 10	4 in 10	6 in 10	7 in 10	8 in 10	8 in 10	9 in 10	8 in 10	6 in 10	4 in 10	3 in 10	3 in 10
Good yearsof 9, reached 50 %	1 of 9	3 of 9	3 of 9	8 of 9	8 of 9	9 of 9	8 of 9	9 of 9	3 of 9	1 of 9	2 of 9	2 of 9
Best hourshour of day, most often 12 to 35 kn	10 to 17	10 to 17	12 to 18	15 to 19	14 to 19	14 to 19	14 to 19	13 to 19	15 to 19	14 to 18	10 to 16	12 to 16
Daylighth	9.8	10.7	11.9	13.2	14.3	14.8	14.6	13.7	12.5	11.2	10.1	9.5
Water°C at the surface	16	15	15	16	16	18	17	17	17	18	18	16
Air°C, daily maximum	14	15	15	16	18	19	20	20	20	20	17	15
Rain days1 mm or more	9 of 31	8 of 28	12 of 31	9 of 30	4 of 31	4 of 30	0 of 31	1 of 31	4 of 30	9 of 31	11 of 30	11 of 31
Wetsuitfor that water and the air on kite days, + boots and gloves	5/4	5/4	5/4	4/3	4/3	3/2	4/3	4/3	4/3	3/2	4/3	5/4

In January, Guincho averaged 11 kite days out of 31 (36 %). Water 16 °C, 5/4. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in January got at least 5 kite days.
In February, Guincho averaged 11 kite days out of 28 (39 %). Water 15 °C, 5/4. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in February got at least 5 kite days.
In March, Guincho averaged 15 kite days out of 31 (50 %). Water 15 °C, 5/4. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in March got at least 5 kite days.
In April, Guincho averaged 17 kite days out of 30 (58 %). Water 16 °C, 4/3. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in April got at least 5 kite days.
In May, Guincho averaged 19 kite days out of 31 (61 %). Water 16 °C, 4/3. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in May got at least 5 kite days.
In June, Guincho averaged 19 kite days out of 30 (64 %). Water 18 °C, 3/2. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in June got at least 5 kite days.
In July, Guincho averaged 22 kite days out of 31 (72 %). Water 17 °C, 4/3. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in July got at least 5 kite days.
In August, Guincho averaged 23 kite days out of 31 (74 %). Water 17 °C, 4/3. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in August got at least 5 kite days.
In September, Guincho averaged 15 kite days out of 30 (50 %). Water 17 °C, 4/3. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in September got at least 5 kite days.
In October, Guincho averaged 11 kite days out of 31 (37 %). Water 18 °C, 3/2. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
In November, Guincho averaged 12 kite days out of 30 (39 %). Water 18 °C, 4/3. 3 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in November got at least 5 kite days.
In December, Guincho averaged 11 kite days out of 31 (36 %). Water 16 °C, 5/4. 3 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in December got at least 5 kite days.

Good year: at least half the days of that month were kite days. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.

Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025; kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count kite days and trip odds

October in Guincho

this month, averaged over 2017 to 2025.

Kite days: 37 % Possibleabout 11 of 31 days
Too light, kiteable, too strong: Too light 63 %
Kiteable 37 %
Too strong 0 %
Good years: 1 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
10 day trip: 4 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 3.8 expected
Best hours: 14:00 to 18:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
Daylight: 11.2 h
Water: 18 °C, 3/2
Air: 20 °Cdaily maximum, 19 °C during kite hours
Rain: 9 of 31with 1 mm or more
In one sentence: In October, Guincho averaged 11 kite days out of 31 (37 %). Water 18 °C, 3/2. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.

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Confidence

Confidence highhourly model data, close sea cell, checks agree on the season

Why. Hourly model data, 2017 to 2025, checked against the season shape of a nearby weather station, a regional model or a documented season. Shares its model grid cell with 1 nearby spot, so the numbers describe the area, not one beach.

What it means for you. The numbers on this page are a fair forecast of a typical year here. Medium would mean one check is uncertain, for example a cell 12 km away: expect a few points off. Low means global models miss part of the local wind, often at lakes, thermal or inland spots; where documented local sources describe the season, we show that curated season instead of model numbers.

Water and wetsuit

18 °C in October, 3/2 (18 to 20 °C).

Some months get one step thicker, because the air on kite days is more than 4 °C colder than the water.

boardshorts27 and up
shorty24 to 26
spring suit21 to 23
3/218 to 20
4/314 to 17
5/410 to 13
6/5under 10

The filled step is the suit for October; the band under each step is the water temperature it covers, in °C.

15 to 18 °C, 5/4 to 3/2.

Where the model is blind

Here the model sees the wind at Guincho, so the numbers on this page are model numbers. Where documented local sources describe the season of a lake or thermal spot, we show that curated season instead: a hatched band over the season months with its sources named and no percentage, because the model number would be wrong there.

Getting there

Cascais Airport (CAT), 10 km straight line
Lisbon Humberto Delgado Airport (LIS), 30 km straight line
Portimão Airport (PRM), 193 km straight line

Flight time from

FRA Frankfurt: about 2 h 50 min straight line, 1,898 km
MUC Munich: about 3 h straight line, 2,010 km
AMS Amsterdam: about 2 h 50 min straight line, 1,866 km
LHR London Heathrow: about 2 h 30 min straight line, 1,581 km
ZRH Zurich: about 2 h 40 min straight line, 1,749 km
CDG Paris Charles de Gaulle: about 2 h 20 min straight line, 1,491 km

Flight time: the straight line distance at 800 km/h plus 30 minutes. Real flights with stops take longer. Flights are not sold here.

Best time to kitesurf in Guincho

Best for kiting from March to September, with 50 to 74 % kite days. Water 15 to 18 °C.

Season 22 Jan to 4 Feb and 26 Feb to 7 Oct, peak 30 Apr to 2 Sep. Dates from 52 weekly values of the main spot, season from 40 % kite days, peak from 60 %, counted only in weeks with water or daytime air at 12 °C or more and at least 6 hours of daylight.

Prime months here: May, June, July, August. Each link shows where else to kite in that month.

Trip odds by start week

Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.

Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025

Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.

Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count

Start date

3 in 10

trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).

Zero wind trips: 1 in 10

about 3.4 kite days expected out of 10

Kite days per trip, 63 trips

Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).

Is Guincho windy?

Across the year, 51 % of days at Guincho are kite days. The windiest month is August with 74 %, the calmest is January with 36 %.

Wind on kite days in August comes most often from NNW (338°).

Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors

Afternoon wind10 knots(8 to 11 kn, average 12:00 to 18:00 in October)

under 8 kn
8 to 11 kn
12 to 15 kn
16 to 19 kn
20 to 24 kn
25 to 29 kn
30 kn and more

Main kite wind by month: Jan N, Feb N, Mar NNW, Apr NNW, May NNW, Jun NNW, Jul NNW, Aug NNW, Sep NNW, Oct NNW, Nov N, Dec NW.

Live forecast

The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.

Live forecast from Windy

The forecast map for Guincho comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.

Water temperature in Guincho by month

The sea is warmest in June at 18 °C and coolest in February at 15 °C. Wetsuit: 5/4 in February, 3/2 in June.

Water temperature from the Open-Meteo marine archive, 2023 to 2025, monthly mean of the main spot.

Kite spots in Guincho

Guincho
Sea · main spot
1. J
2. F
3. M
4. A
5. M
6. J
7. J
8. A
9. S
10. O
11. N
12. D
Kite days by month at Guincho: Jan 36 %, Feb 39 %, Mar 50 %, Apr 58 %, May 61 %, Jun 64 %, Jul 72 %, Aug 74 %, Sep 50 %, Oct 37 %, Nov 39 %, Dec 36 %
Cascais
Sea · 6 km
Same model cell as Guincho: near identical numbers.
1. J
2. F
3. M
4. A
5. M
6. J
7. J
8. A
9. S
10. O
11. N
12. D
Kite days by month at Cascais: Jan 36 %, Feb 39 %, Mar 50 %, Apr 58 %, May 61 %, Jun 64 %, Jul 72 %, Aug 74 %, Sep 50 %, Oct 37 %, Nov 39 %, Dec 36 %
Praia Grande
Sea · 9 km
1. J
2. F
3. M
4. A
5. M
6. J
7. J
8. A
9. S
10. O
11. N
12. D
Kite days by month at Praia Grande: Jan 43 %, Feb 42 %, Mar 54 %, Apr 54 %, May 56 %, Jun 57 %, Jul 56 %, Aug 62 %, Sep 41 %, Oct 35 %, Nov 46 %, Dec 41 %
Carcavelos
Sea · 13 km
1. J
2. F
3. M
4. A
5. M
6. J
7. J
8. A
9. S
10. O
11. N
12. D
Kite days by month at Carcavelos: Jan 30 %, Feb 26 %, Mar 38 %, Apr 41 %, May 45 %, Jun 55 %, Jul 61 %, Aug 64 %, Sep 31 %, Oct 22 %, Nov 29 %, Dec 27 %

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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025

Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Shares its model grid cell with 1 nearby spot, so the numbers describe the area, not one beach. Confidence: high.

Cite this

In October, 37 % of days at Guincho met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/kitesurfing/guincho

Download CSV (12 months)

Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.