Destination · Hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025

Confidence highHourly model data, 2017 to 2025, checked against the season shape of a nearby weather station, a regional model or a documented season.

Kitesurfing in Progreso, Yucatán, Mexico

Name: Progreso, Yucatán
Address: MEX

Town in Mexico · 1 kite spots · airports MID, CPE, TQO

Best for kiting all year, with 50 to 89 % kite days. Water 25 to 31 °C.

Season all year, peak 1 Jan to 19 Aug and 22 Oct to 18 Nov and 10 Dec to 16 Dec.

A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 2017 to 2025.

Numbers on this page are from Puerto Progreso, the only spot of Progreso, Yucatán with model data.

Kite Year

Kite days per month, in % of days. Colour is the verdict, the number is the share. Tap a month for its details.

JJan66Prime
FFeb79Prime
MMar86Prime
AApr87Prime
MMay89Prime
JJun74Prime
JJul84Prime
AAug64Prime
SSep50Good
OOct59Goodnow · chosen
NNov63Prime
DDec56Good

Prime 60 % and more
Good 40 to 59 %
Possible 20 to 39 %
Off under 20 %
No data hatched
Ringed: this month
Raised: your chosen month

Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.

October in Progreso, Yucatán, this month, averaged over 2017 to 2025.

KITE DAYS: 18 of 31; 59 % kite days, Good, good in 5 of 9 years
WIND: 12 knots; afternoon average, 12:00 to 18:00
WATER: 29 °C, boardshorts; suit for 27 °C and warmer

8 in 10

trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (9 Octobers).

about 6.2 kite days expected out of 10.

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. How we count trip odds

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Live forecast How we count a kite day

Month by month

Tap a month for trip odds, good years, best hours, water, air and rain.

MonthKite days% of days, verdict10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite daysWater°C, what to wear

Kite days
59 % Goodabout 18 of 31 days
Too light, kiteable, too strong
Too light 41 %
Kiteable 59 %
Too strong 0 %
Good years
5 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
10 day trip
8 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 6.2 expected
Best hours
15:00 to 17:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
Daylight
11.7 h
Water
29 °C, boardshorts
Air
29 °Cdaily maximum, 28 °C during kite hours
Rain
14 of 31with 1 mm or more
In one sentence
In October, Puerto Progreso averaged 18 kite days out of 31 (59 %). Water 29 °C, boardshorts. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.

Puerto Progreso

Kite days% of days	66	79	86	87	89	74	84	64	50	59	63	56
Verdictshare plus good years	Prime	Prime	Prime	Prime	Prime	Prime	Prime	Prime	Good	Good	Prime	Good
10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite days	8 in 10	9 in 10	9 in 10	9 in 10	9 in 10	9 in 10	9 in 10	7 in 10	6 in 10	8 in 10	8 in 10	7 in 10
Good yearsof 9, reached 50 %	8 of 9	9 of 9	9 of 9	9 of 9	9 of 9	8 of 9	9 of 9	7 of 9	4 of 9	5 of 9	9 of 9	6 of 9
Best hourshour of day, most often 12 to 35 kn	13 to 17	14 to 17	14 to 17	14 to 18	14 to 18	14 to 18	14 to 18	15 to 18	15 to 18	15 to 17	13 to 16	14 to 16
Daylighth	11.0	11.4	12.0	12.6	13.1	13.4	13.3	12.9	12.3	11.7	11.1	10.9
Water°C at the surface	25	25	27	27	29	30	30	31	31	29	27	25
Air°C, daily maximum	25	26	27	28	29	29	29	29	29	29	27	26
Rain days1 mm or more	7 of 31	3 of 28	2 of 31	2 of 30	3 of 31	10 of 30	4 of 31	8 of 31	12 of 30	14 of 31	11 of 30	7 of 31
Wetsuitfor that water and the air on kite days, + boots and gloves	shorty	shorty	shorts	shorts	shorts	shorts	shorts	shorts	shorts	shorts	shorts	shorty

In January, Puerto Progreso averaged 21 kite days out of 31 (66 %). Water 25 °C, shorty. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in January got at least 5 kite days.
In February, Puerto Progreso averaged 22 kite days out of 28 (79 %). Water 25 °C, shorty. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in February got at least 5 kite days.
In March, Puerto Progreso averaged 27 kite days out of 31 (86 %). Water 27 °C, boardshorts. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in March got at least 5 kite days.
In April, Puerto Progreso averaged 26 kite days out of 30 (87 %). Water 27 °C, boardshorts. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in April got at least 5 kite days.
In May, Puerto Progreso averaged 27 kite days out of 31 (89 %). Water 29 °C, boardshorts. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in May got at least 5 kite days.
In June, Puerto Progreso averaged 22 kite days out of 30 (74 %). Water 30 °C, boardshorts. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in June got at least 5 kite days.
In July, Puerto Progreso averaged 26 kite days out of 31 (84 %). Water 30 °C, boardshorts. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in July got at least 5 kite days.
In August, Puerto Progreso averaged 20 kite days out of 31 (64 %). Water 31 °C, boardshorts. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in August got at least 5 kite days.
In September, Puerto Progreso averaged 15 kite days out of 30 (50 %). Water 31 °C, boardshorts. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in September got at least 5 kite days.
In October, Puerto Progreso averaged 18 kite days out of 31 (59 %). Water 29 °C, boardshorts. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
In November, Puerto Progreso averaged 19 kite days out of 30 (63 %). Water 27 °C, boardshorts. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in November got at least 5 kite days.
In December, Puerto Progreso averaged 17 kite days out of 31 (56 %). Water 25 °C, shorty. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in December got at least 5 kite days.

Good year: at least half the days of that month were kite days. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.

Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025; kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count kite days and trip odds

October in Puerto Progreso

this month, averaged over 2017 to 2025.

Kite days: 59 % Goodabout 18 of 31 days
Too light, kiteable, too strong: Too light 41 %
Kiteable 59 %
Too strong 0 %
Good years: 5 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
10 day trip: 8 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 6.2 expected
Best hours: 15:00 to 17:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
Daylight: 11.7 h
Water: 29 °C, boardshorts
Air: 29 °Cdaily maximum, 28 °C during kite hours
Rain: 14 of 31with 1 mm or more
In one sentence: In October, Puerto Progreso averaged 18 kite days out of 31 (59 %). Water 29 °C, boardshorts. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.

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Confidence

Confidence highhourly model data, close sea cell, checks agree on the season

Why. Hourly model data, 2017 to 2025, checked against the season shape of a nearby weather station, a regional model or a documented season.

What it means for you. The numbers on this page are a fair forecast of a typical year here. Medium would mean one check is uncertain, for example a cell 12 km away: expect a few points off. Low means global models miss part of the local wind, often at lakes, thermal or inland spots; where documented local sources describe the season, we show that curated season instead of model numbers.

Water and wetsuit

29 °C in October, boardshorts (27 °C and warmer).

boardshorts27 and up
shorty24 to 26
spring suit21 to 23
3/218 to 20
4/314 to 17
5/410 to 13
6/5under 10

The filled step is the suit for October; the band under each step is the water temperature it covers, in °C.

25 to 31 °C, shorty to boardshorts.

Where the model is blind

Here the model sees the wind at Puerto Progreso, so the numbers on this page are model numbers. Where documented local sources describe the season of a lake or thermal spot, we show that curated season instead: a hatched band over the season months with its sources named and no percentage, because the model number would be wrong there.

Getting there

Manuel Crescencio Rejón International Airport (MID), 39 km straight line
Ingeniero Alberto Acuña Ongay International Airport (CPE), 184 km straight line
Felipe Carrillo Puerto International Airport Tulum (TQO), 245 km straight line

Flight time from

FRA Frankfurt: about 11 h 30 min straight line, 8,776 km
MUC Munich: about 11 h 50 min straight line, 9,061 km
AMS Amsterdam: about 11 h 05 min straight line, 8,444 km
LHR London Heathrow: about 10 h 40 min straight line, 8,122 km
ZRH Zurich: about 11 h 35 min straight line, 8,873 km
CDG Paris Charles de Gaulle: about 11 h straight line, 8,397 km

Flight time: the straight line distance at 800 km/h plus 30 minutes. Real flights with stops take longer. Flights are not sold here.

Best time to kitesurf in Progreso, Yucatán

Best for kiting all year, with 50 to 89 % kite days. Water 25 to 31 °C.

Season all year, peak 1 Jan to 19 Aug and 22 Oct to 18 Nov and 10 Dec to 16 Dec. Dates from 52 weekly values of the main spot, season from 40 % kite days, peak from 60 %, counted only in weeks with water or daytime air at 12 °C or more and at least 6 hours of daylight.

Prime months here: January, February, March, April, May, June, July, August, November. Each link shows where else to kite in that month.

Trip odds by start week

Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.

Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025

Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.

Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count

Start date

9 in 10

trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).

Zero wind trips: fewer than 1 in 20

about 6.6 kite days expected out of 10

Kite days per trip, 63 trips

Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).

Is Progreso, Yucatán windy?

Across the year, 71 % of days at Puerto Progreso are kite days. The windiest month is May with 89 %, the calmest is September with 50 %.

Wind on kite days in May comes most often from NE (45°).

Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors

Afternoon wind12 knots(12 to 15 kn, average 12:00 to 18:00 in October)

under 8 kn
8 to 11 kn
12 to 15 kn
16 to 19 kn
20 to 24 kn
25 to 29 kn
30 kn and more

Main kite wind by month: Jan NE, Feb NE, Mar NE, Apr NE, May NE, Jun NE, Jul NE, Aug NE, Sep NE, Oct NE, Nov NE, Dec NE.

Live forecast

The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.

Live forecast from Windy

The forecast map for Progreso, Yucatán comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.

Water temperature in Progreso, Yucatán by month

The sea is warmest in August at 31 °C and coolest in January at 25 °C. Wetsuit: shorty in January, boardshorts in August.

Water temperature from the Open-Meteo marine archive, 2023 to 2025, monthly mean of the main spot.

Kite spots in Progreso, Yucatán

Puerto Progreso
Sea · main spot
Level Good for learning, from kite guides we checked
1. J
2. F
3. M
4. A
5. M
6. J
7. J
8. A
9. S
10. O
11. N
12. D
Kite days by month at Puerto Progreso: Jan 66 %, Feb 79 %, Mar 86 %, Apr 87 %, May 89 %, Jun 74 %, Jul 84 %, Aug 64 %, Sep 50 %, Oct 59 %, Nov 63 %, Dec 56 %

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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025

Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Confidence: high.

Cite this

In October, 59 % of days at Puerto Progreso met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/kitesurfing/progreso

Download CSV (12 months)

Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.