Destination · Hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025

Confidence highHourly model data, 2017 to 2025, checked against the season shape of a nearby weather station, a regional model or a documented season.

Kitesurfing in South Padre Island, United States

Name: South Padre Island
Address: USA

Island in United States · 7 kite spots · airports BRO, MAM, HRL

Best for kiting all year except September, with 53 to 78 % kite days. Water 18 to 31 °C.

Season 24 Sep to 9 Sep, peak 8 Jan to 22 Jul and 3 Dec to 9 Dec.

A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 2017 to 2025.

Numbers on this page are from South Padre Island, the main spot of South Padre Island. The other 6 spots range from 53 to 61 % kite days in October.

Kite Year

Kite days per month, in % of days. Colour is the verdict, the number is the share. Tap a month for its details.

JJan61Prime
FFeb69Prime
MMar73Prime
AApr77Prime
MMay78Prime
JJun71Prime
JJul66Prime
AAug54Good
SSep41Good
OOct53Goodnow · chosen
NNov60Prime
DDec54Good

Prime 60 % and more
Good 40 to 59 %
Possible 20 to 39 %
Off under 20 %
No data hatched
Ringed: this month
Raised: your chosen month

Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.

October in South Padre Island, this month, averaged over 2017 to 2025.

KITE DAYS: 16 of 31; 53 % kite days, Good, good in 5 of 9 years
WIND: 12 knots; afternoon average, 12:00 to 18:00
WATER: 28 °C, boardshorts; suit for 27 °C and warmer

7 in 10

trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (9 Octobers).

about 5.4 kite days expected out of 10.

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. How we count trip odds

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Live forecast How we count a kite day

Month by month

Tap a month for trip odds, good years, best hours, water, air and rain.

MonthKite days% of days, verdict10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite daysWater°C, what to wear

Kite days
53 % Goodabout 16 of 31 days
Too light, kiteable, too strong
Too light 47 %
Kiteable 53 %
Too strong 0 %
Good years
5 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
10 day trip
7 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 5.4 expected
Best hours
11:00 to 18:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
Daylight
11.6 h
Water
28 °C, boardshorts
Air
27 °Cdaily maximum, 27 °C during kite hours
Rain
12 of 31with 1 mm or more
In one sentence
In October, South Padre Island averaged 16 kite days out of 31 (53 %). Water 28 °C, boardshorts. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.

South Padre Island

Kite days% of days	61	69	73	77	78	71	66	54	41	53	60	54
Verdictshare plus good years	Prime	Prime	Prime	Prime	Prime	Prime	Prime	Good	Good	Good	Prime	Good
10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite days	9 in 10	9 in 10	9 in 10	9 in 10	9 in 10	9 in 10	7 in 10	6 in 10	4 in 10	7 in 10	7 in 10	7 in 10
Good yearsof 9, reached 50 %	9 of 9	9 of 9	9 of 9	9 of 9	9 of 9	9 of 9	7 of 9	7 of 9	3 of 9	5 of 9	7 of 9	7 of 9
Best hourshour of day, most often 12 to 35 kn	10 to 17	10 to 17	11 to 18	10 to 19	10 to 18	13 to 19	13 to 19	14 to 19	16 to 19	11 to 18	10 to 17	10 to 16
Daylighth	10.7	11.3	12.0	12.8	13.4	13.7	13.6	13.1	12.3	11.6	10.9	10.5
Water°C at the surface	18	18	21	24	28	30	29	31	30	28	25	21
Air°C, daily maximum	20	20	22	24	27	29	29	30	29	27	24	21
Rain days1 mm or more	10 of 31	8 of 28	7 of 31	6 of 30	8 of 31	11 of 30	8 of 31	8 of 31	16 of 30	12 of 31	10 of 30	8 of 31
Wetsuitfor that water and the air on kite days, + boots and gloves	3/2	3/2	spring	shorty	shorts	shorts	shorts	shorts	shorts	shorts	shorty	spring

In January, South Padre Island averaged 19 kite days out of 31 (61 %). Water 18 °C, 3/2. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in January got at least 5 kite days.
In February, South Padre Island averaged 19 kite days out of 28 (69 %). Water 18 °C, 3/2. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in February got at least 5 kite days.
In March, South Padre Island averaged 23 kite days out of 31 (73 %). Water 21 °C, spring suit. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in March got at least 5 kite days.
In April, South Padre Island averaged 23 kite days out of 30 (77 %). Water 24 °C, shorty. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in April got at least 5 kite days.
In May, South Padre Island averaged 24 kite days out of 31 (78 %). Water 28 °C, boardshorts. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in May got at least 5 kite days.
In June, South Padre Island averaged 21 kite days out of 30 (71 %). Water 30 °C, boardshorts. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in June got at least 5 kite days.
In July, South Padre Island averaged 20 kite days out of 31 (66 %). Water 29 °C, boardshorts. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in July got at least 5 kite days.
In August, South Padre Island averaged 17 kite days out of 31 (54 %). Water 31 °C, boardshorts. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in August got at least 5 kite days.
In September, South Padre Island averaged 12 kite days out of 30 (41 %). Water 30 °C, boardshorts. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in September got at least 5 kite days.
In October, South Padre Island averaged 16 kite days out of 31 (53 %). Water 28 °C, boardshorts. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
In November, South Padre Island averaged 18 kite days out of 30 (60 %). Water 25 °C, shorty. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in November got at least 5 kite days.
In December, South Padre Island averaged 17 kite days out of 31 (54 %). Water 21 °C, spring suit. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in December got at least 5 kite days.

Good year: at least half the days of that month were kite days. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.

Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025; kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count kite days and trip odds

October in South Padre Island

this month, averaged over 2017 to 2025.

Kite days: 53 % Goodabout 16 of 31 days
Too light, kiteable, too strong: Too light 47 %
Kiteable 53 %
Too strong 0 %
Good years: 5 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
10 day trip: 7 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 5.4 expected
Best hours: 11:00 to 18:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
Daylight: 11.6 h
Water: 28 °C, boardshorts
Air: 27 °Cdaily maximum, 27 °C during kite hours
Rain: 12 of 31with 1 mm or more
In one sentence: In October, South Padre Island averaged 16 kite days out of 31 (53 %). Water 28 °C, boardshorts. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.

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Confidence

Confidence highhourly model data, close sea cell, checks agree on the season

Why. Hourly model data, 2017 to 2025, checked against the season shape of a nearby weather station, a regional model or a documented season. Shares its model grid cell with 2 nearby spots, so the numbers describe the area, not one beach.

What it means for you. The numbers on this page are a fair forecast of a typical year here. Medium would mean one check is uncertain, for example a cell 12 km away: expect a few points off. Low means global models miss part of the local wind, often at lakes, thermal or inland spots; where documented local sources describe the season, we show that curated season instead of model numbers.

Water and wetsuit

28 °C in October, boardshorts (27 °C and warmer).

boardshorts27 and up
shorty24 to 26
spring suit21 to 23
3/218 to 20
4/314 to 17
5/410 to 13
6/5under 10

The filled step is the suit for October; the band under each step is the water temperature it covers, in °C.

18 to 31 °C, 3/2 to boardshorts.

Where the model is blind

Here the model sees the wind at South Padre Island, so the numbers on this page are model numbers. Where documented local sources describe the season of a lake or thermal spot, we show that curated season instead: a hatched band over the season months with its sources named and no percentage, because the model number would be wrong there.

Getting there

Brownsville South Padre Island International Airport (BRO), 33 km straight line
General Servando Canales International Airport (MAM), 50 km straight line
Valley International Airport (HRL), 53 km straight line

Flight time from

FRA Frankfurt: about 11 h 35 min straight line, 8,852 km
MUC Munich: about 11 h 55 min straight line, 9,147 km
AMS Amsterdam: about 11 h 10 min straight line, 8,501 km
LHR London Heathrow: about 10 h 45 min straight line, 8,209 km
ZRH Zurich: about 11 h 45 min straight line, 8,987 km
CDG Paris Charles de Gaulle: about 11 h 10 min straight line, 8,513 km

Flight time: the straight line distance at 800 km/h plus 30 minutes. Real flights with stops take longer. Flights are not sold here.

Best time to kitesurf in South Padre Island

Best for kiting all year except September, with 53 to 78 % kite days. Water 18 to 31 °C.

Season 24 Sep to 9 Sep, peak 8 Jan to 22 Jul and 3 Dec to 9 Dec. Dates from 52 weekly values of the main spot, season from 40 % kite days, peak from 60 %, counted only in weeks with water or daytime air at 12 °C or more and at least 6 hours of daylight.

Prime months here: January, February, March, April, May, June, July, November. Each link shows where else to kite in that month.

Trip odds by start week

Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.

Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025

Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.

Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count

Start date

7 in 10

trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).

Zero wind trips: fewer than 1 in 20

about 6.2 kite days expected out of 10

Kite days per trip, 63 trips

Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).

Is South Padre Island windy?

Across the year, 63 % of days at South Padre Island are kite days. The windiest month is May with 78 %, the calmest is September with 41 %.

Wind on kite days in May comes most often from SE (135°).

Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors

Afternoon wind12 knots(12 to 15 kn, average 12:00 to 18:00 in October)

under 8 kn
8 to 11 kn
12 to 15 kn
16 to 19 kn
20 to 24 kn
25 to 29 kn
30 kn and more

Main kite wind by month: Jan SSE, Feb SSE, Mar SSE, Apr SSE, May SE, Jun SSE, Jul SE, Aug SE, Sep SE, Oct SSE, Nov SSE, Dec SSE.

Live forecast

The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.

Live forecast from Windy

The forecast map for South Padre Island comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.

Water temperature in South Padre Island by month

The sea is warmest in August at 31 °C and coolest in January at 18 °C. Wetsuit: 3/2 in January, boardshorts in August.

Water temperature from the Open-Meteo marine archive, 2023 to 2025, monthly mean of the main spot.

Kite spots in South Padre Island

South Padre Island
Sea · main spot
1. J
2. F
3. M
4. A
5. M
6. J
7. J
8. A
9. S
10. O
11. N
12. D
Kite days by month at South Padre Island: Jan 61 %, Feb 69 %, Mar 73 %, Apr 77 %, May 78 %, Jun 71 %, Jul 66 %, Aug 54 %, Sep 41 %, Oct 53 %, Nov 60 %, Dec 54 %
Dolphin Cove
Sea · 1 km
Same model cell as South Padre Island: near identical numbers.
1. J
2. F
3. M
4. A
5. M
6. J
7. J
8. A
9. S
10. O
11. N
12. D
Kite days by month at Dolphin Cove: Jan 61 %, Feb 69 %, Mar 73 %, Apr 77 %, May 78 %, Jun 71 %, Jul 66 %, Aug 54 %, Sep 41 %, Oct 53 %, Nov 60 %, Dec 54 %
Boca Chica
Sea · 1 km
Same model cell as South Padre Island: near identical numbers.
1. J
2. F
3. M
4. A
5. M
6. J
7. J
8. A
9. S
10. O
11. N
12. D
Kite days by month at Boca Chica: Jan 61 %, Feb 69 %, Mar 73 %, Apr 77 %, May 78 %, Jun 71 %, Jul 66 %, Aug 54 %, Sep 41 %, Oct 53 %, Nov 60 %, Dec 54 %
Wanna Wanna Beach Bar
Sea · 6 km
1. J
2. F
3. M
4. A
5. M
6. J
7. J
8. A
9. S
10. O
11. N
12. D
Kite days by month at Wanna Wanna Beach Bar: Jan 64 %, Feb 72 %, Mar 76 %, Apr 79 %, May 81 %, Jun 74 %, Jul 71 %, Aug 60 %, Sep 47 %, Oct 58 %, Nov 62 %, Dec 56 %
South Flats
Sea · 9 km
Level Good for learning, from kite guides we checked
1. J
2. F
3. M
4. A
5. M
6. J
7. J
8. A
9. S
10. O
11. N
12. D
Kite days by month at South Flats: Jan 64 %, Feb 72 %, Mar 76 %, Apr 79 %, May 81 %, Jun 74 %, Jul 71 %, Aug 60 %, Sep 47 %, Oct 58 %, Nov 62 %, Dec 56 %
North Flats
Sea · 11 km
1. J
2. F
3. M
4. A
5. M
6. J
7. J
8. A
9. S
10. O
11. N
12. D
Kite days by month at North Flats: Jan 66 %, Feb 74 %, Mar 77 %, Apr 83 %, May 83 %, Jun 76 %, Jul 76 %, Aug 65 %, Sep 51 %, Oct 61 %, Nov 62 %, Dec 58 %
Race Flats
Sea · 15 km
Level Good for learning, from kite guides we checked
1. J
2. F
3. M
4. A
5. M
6. J
7. J
8. A
9. S
10. O
11. N
12. D
Kite days by month at Race Flats: Jan 66 %, Feb 74 %, Mar 77 %, Apr 83 %, May 83 %, Jun 76 %, Jul 76 %, Aug 65 %, Sep 51 %, Oct 61 %, Nov 62 %, Dec 58 %

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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025

Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Shares its model grid cell with 2 nearby spots, so the numbers describe the area, not one beach. Confidence: high.

Cite this

In October, 53 % of days at South Padre Island met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/kitesurfing/south-padre-island

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