Destination · Hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025

Confidence highHourly model data, 2017 to 2025, checked against the season shape of a nearby weather station, a regional model or a documented season.

Kitesurfing in Orient Bay, Saint-Martin, Saint Martin

Name: Orient Bay, Saint-Martin
Address: MAF

Bay in Saint Martin · 7 kite spots · airports SFG, SXM, AXA

Best for kiting all year, with 52 to 93 % kite days. Water 26 to 30 °C.

Season all year, peak 22 Oct to 2 Sep.

A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 2017 to 2025.

Numbers on this page are from Orient Bay, the main spot of Orient Bay, Saint-Martin. The other 6 spots range from 52 to 53 % kite days in October.

Kite Year

Kite days per month, in % of days. Colour is the verdict, the number is the share. Tap a month for its details.

JJan74Prime
FFeb81Prime
MMar70Prime
AApr71Prime
MMay78Prime
JJun89Prime
JJul93Prime
AAug81Prime
SSep55Good
OOct52Goodnow · chosen
NNov67Prime
DDec74Prime

Prime 60 % and more
Good 40 to 59 %
Possible 20 to 39 %
Off under 20 %
No data hatched
Ringed: this month
Raised: your chosen month

Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.

October in Orient Bay, Saint-Martin, this month, averaged over 2017 to 2025.

KITE DAYS: 16 of 31; 52 % kite days, Good, good in 5 of 9 years
WIND: 12 knots; afternoon average, 12:00 to 18:00
WATER: 30 °C, boardshorts; suit for 27 °C and warmer

6 in 10

trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (9 Octobers).

about 5.6 kite days expected out of 10.

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. How we count trip odds

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Live forecast How we count a kite day

Month by month

Tap a month for trip odds, good years, best hours, water, air and rain.

MonthKite days% of days, verdict10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite daysWater°C, what to wear

Kite days
52 % Goodabout 16 of 31 days
Too light, kiteable, too strong
Too light 48 %
Kiteable 52 %
Too strong 0 %
Good years
5 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
10 day trip
6 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 5.6 expected
Best hours
10:00 to 17:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
Daylight
11.7 h
Water
30 °C, boardshorts
Air
29 °Cdaily maximum, 28 °C during kite hours
Rain
17 of 31with 1 mm or more
In one sentence
In October, Orient Bay averaged 16 kite days out of 31 (52 %). Water 30 °C, boardshorts. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.

Orient Bay

Kite days% of days	74	81	70	71	78	89	93	81	55	52	67	74
Verdictshare plus good years	Prime	Prime	Prime	Prime	Prime	Prime	Prime	Prime	Good	Good	Prime	Prime
10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite days	9 in 10	9 in 10	8 in 10	8 in 10	9 in 10	9 in 10	9 in 10	9 in 10	6 in 10	6 in 10	8 in 10	9 in 10
Good yearsof 9, reached 50 %	9 of 9	9 of 9	9 of 9	9 of 9	8 of 9	9 of 9	9 of 9	9 of 9	6 of 9	5 of 9	9 of 9	9 of 9
Best hourshour of day, most often 12 to 35 kn	10 to 17	10 to 17	10 to 17	10 to 17	10 to 18	10 to 18	10 to 18	10 to 18	10 to 17	10 to 17	10 to 17	10 to 17
Daylighth	11.2	11.5	12.0	12.5	13.0	13.2	13.1	12.7	12.3	11.7	11.3	11.1
Water°C at the surface	27	26	27	27	28	29	29	30	30	30	29	28
Air°C, daily maximum	26	26	26	26	27	28	28	29	29	29	28	27
Rain days1 mm or more	14 of 31	11 of 28	8 of 31	11 of 30	11 of 31	11 of 30	15 of 31	16 of 31	17 of 30	17 of 31	15 of 30	13 of 31
Wetsuitfor that water and the air on kite days, + boots and gloves	shorts	shorty	shorts	shorts	shorts	shorts	shorts	shorts	shorts	shorts	shorts	shorts

In January, Orient Bay averaged 23 kite days out of 31 (74 %). Water 27 °C, boardshorts. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in January got at least 5 kite days.
In February, Orient Bay averaged 23 kite days out of 28 (81 %). Water 26 °C, shorty. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in February got at least 5 kite days.
In March, Orient Bay averaged 22 kite days out of 31 (70 %). Water 27 °C, boardshorts. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in March got at least 5 kite days.
In April, Orient Bay averaged 21 kite days out of 30 (71 %). Water 27 °C, boardshorts. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in April got at least 5 kite days.
In May, Orient Bay averaged 24 kite days out of 31 (78 %). Water 28 °C, boardshorts. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in May got at least 5 kite days.
In June, Orient Bay averaged 27 kite days out of 30 (89 %). Water 29 °C, boardshorts. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in June got at least 5 kite days.
In July, Orient Bay averaged 29 kite days out of 31 (93 %). Water 29 °C, boardshorts. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in July got at least 5 kite days.
In August, Orient Bay averaged 25 kite days out of 31 (81 %). Water 30 °C, boardshorts. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in August got at least 5 kite days.
In September, Orient Bay averaged 16 kite days out of 30 (55 %). Water 30 °C, boardshorts. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in September got at least 5 kite days.
In October, Orient Bay averaged 16 kite days out of 31 (52 %). Water 30 °C, boardshorts. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
In November, Orient Bay averaged 20 kite days out of 30 (67 %). Water 29 °C, boardshorts. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in November got at least 5 kite days.
In December, Orient Bay averaged 23 kite days out of 31 (74 %). Water 28 °C, boardshorts. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in December got at least 5 kite days.

Good year: at least half the days of that month were kite days. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.

Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025; kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count kite days and trip odds

October in Orient Bay

this month, averaged over 2017 to 2025.

Kite days: 52 % Goodabout 16 of 31 days
Too light, kiteable, too strong: Too light 48 %
Kiteable 52 %
Too strong 0 %
Good years: 5 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
10 day trip: 6 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 5.6 expected
Best hours: 10:00 to 17:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
Daylight: 11.7 h
Water: 30 °C, boardshorts
Air: 29 °Cdaily maximum, 28 °C during kite hours
Rain: 17 of 31with 1 mm or more
In one sentence: In October, Orient Bay averaged 16 kite days out of 31 (52 %). Water 30 °C, boardshorts. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.

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Confidence

Confidence highhourly model data, close sea cell, checks agree on the season

Why. Hourly model data, 2017 to 2025, checked against the season shape of a nearby weather station, a regional model or a documented season. Shares its model grid cell with 5 nearby spots, so the numbers describe the area, not one beach.

What it means for you. The numbers on this page are a fair forecast of a typical year here. Medium would mean one check is uncertain, for example a cell 12 km away: expect a few points off. Low means global models miss part of the local wind, often at lakes, thermal or inland spots; where documented local sources describe the season, we show that curated season instead of model numbers.

Water and wetsuit

30 °C in October, boardshorts (27 °C and warmer).

boardshorts27 and up
shorty24 to 26
spring suit21 to 23
3/218 to 20
4/314 to 17
5/410 to 13
6/5under 10

The filled step is the suit for October; the band under each step is the water temperature it covers, in °C.

26 to 30 °C, shorty to boardshorts.

Where the model is blind

Here the model sees the wind at Orient Bay, so the numbers on this page are model numbers. Where documented local sources describe the season of a lake or thermal spot, we show that curated season instead: a hatched band over the season months with its sources named and no percentage, because the model number would be wrong there.

Getting there

Grand Case-l'Espérance Airport (SFG), 3 km straight line
Princess Juliana International Airport (SXM), 11 km straight line
Clayton J. Lloyd International Airport (AXA), 13 km straight line

Flight time from

FRA Frankfurt: about 9 h 30 min straight line, 7,170 km
MUC Munich: about 9 h 45 min straight line, 7,403 km
AMS Amsterdam: about 9 h 10 min straight line, 6,923 km
LHR London Heathrow: about 8 h 40 min straight line, 6,556 km
ZRH Zurich: about 9 h 25 min straight line, 7,162 km
CDG Paris Charles de Gaulle: about 8 h 55 min straight line, 6,729 km

Flight time: the straight line distance at 800 km/h plus 30 minutes. Real flights with stops take longer. Flights are not sold here.

Best time to kitesurf in Orient Bay, Saint-Martin

Best for kiting all year, with 52 to 93 % kite days. Water 26 to 30 °C.

Season all year, peak 22 Oct to 2 Sep. Dates from 52 weekly values of the main spot, season from 40 % kite days, peak from 60 %, counted only in weeks with water or daytime air at 12 °C or more and at least 6 hours of daylight.

Prime months here: January, February, March, April, May, June, July, August, November, December. Each link shows where else to kite in that month.

Trip odds by start week

Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.

Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025

Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.

Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count

Start date

9 in 10

trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).

Zero wind trips: fewer than 1 in 20

about 7.4 kite days expected out of 10

Kite days per trip, 63 trips

Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).

Is Orient Bay, Saint-Martin windy?

Across the year, 74 % of days at Orient Bay are kite days. The windiest month is July with 93 %, the calmest is October with 52 %.

Wind on kite days in July comes most often from E (90°).

Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors

Afternoon wind12 knots(12 to 15 kn, average 12:00 to 18:00 in October)

under 8 kn
8 to 11 kn
12 to 15 kn
16 to 19 kn
20 to 24 kn
25 to 29 kn
30 kn and more

Main kite wind by month: Jan E, Feb ENE, Mar E, Apr E, May E, Jun E, Jul E, Aug E, Sep E, Oct E, Nov E, Dec E.

Live forecast

The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.

Live forecast from Windy

The forecast map for Orient Bay, Saint-Martin comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.

Water temperature in Orient Bay, Saint-Martin by month

The sea is warmest in August at 30 °C and coolest in February at 26 °C. Wetsuit: shorty in February, boardshorts in August.

Water temperature from the Open-Meteo marine archive, 2023 to 2025, monthly mean of the main spot.

Kite spots in Orient Bay, Saint-Martin

Orient Bay
Sea · main spot
1. J
2. F
3. M
4. A
5. M
6. J
7. J
8. A
9. S
10. O
11. N
12. D
Kite days by month at Orient Bay: Jan 74 %, Feb 81 %, Mar 70 %, Apr 71 %, May 78 %, Jun 89 %, Jul 93 %, Aug 81 %, Sep 55 %, Oct 52 %, Nov 67 %, Dec 74 %
Orient Beach
Sea · 1 km
Same model cell as Orient Bay: near identical numbers.
1. J
2. F
3. M
4. A
5. M
6. J
7. J
8. A
9. S
10. O
11. N
12. D
Kite days by month at Orient Beach: Jan 74 %, Feb 81 %, Mar 70 %, Apr 71 %, May 78 %, Jun 89 %, Jul 93 %, Aug 81 %, Sep 55 %, Oct 52 %, Nov 67 %, Dec 74 %
Le Galion Lagoon
Lagoon · 2 km
Same model cell as Orient Bay: near identical numbers.
1. J
2. F
3. M
4. A
5. M
6. J
7. J
8. A
9. S
10. O
11. N
12. D
Kite days by month at Le Galion Lagoon: Jan 74 %, Feb 81 %, Mar 70 %, Apr 71 %, May 78 %, Jun 89 %, Jul 93 %, Aug 81 %, Sep 55 %, Oct 52 %, Nov 67 %, Dec 74 %
Le Galion Reef
Sea · 2 km
Same model cell as Orient Bay: near identical numbers.
1. J
2. F
3. M
4. A
5. M
6. J
7. J
8. A
9. S
10. O
11. N
12. D
Kite days by month at Le Galion Reef: Jan 74 %, Feb 81 %, Mar 70 %, Apr 71 %, May 78 %, Jun 89 %, Jul 93 %, Aug 81 %, Sep 55 %, Oct 52 %, Nov 67 %, Dec 74 %
Wilderness
Sea · 4 km
Same model cell as Orient Bay: near identical numbers.
1. J
2. F
3. M
4. A
5. M
6. J
7. J
8. A
9. S
10. O
11. N
12. D
Kite days by month at Wilderness: Jan 74 %, Feb 81 %, Mar 70 %, Apr 71 %, May 78 %, Jun 89 %, Jul 93 %, Aug 81 %, Sep 55 %, Oct 52 %, Nov 67 %, Dec 74 %
Tintamarre
Sea · 5 km
Same model cell as Orient Bay: near identical numbers.
1. J
2. F
3. M
4. A
5. M
6. J
7. J
8. A
9. S
10. O
11. N
12. D
Kite days by month at Tintamarre: Jan 74 %, Feb 81 %, Mar 70 %, Apr 71 %, May 78 %, Jun 89 %, Jul 93 %, Aug 81 %, Sep 55 %, Oct 52 %, Nov 67 %, Dec 74 %
Maho Bay
Sea · 12 km
1. J
2. F
3. M
4. A
5. M
6. J
7. J
8. A
9. S
10. O
11. N
12. D
Kite days by month at Maho Bay: Jan 75 %, Feb 81 %, Mar 69 %, Apr 71 %, May 79 %, Jun 90 %, Jul 92 %, Aug 82 %, Sep 55 %, Oct 53 %, Nov 68 %, Dec 73 %

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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025

Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Shares its model grid cell with 5 nearby spots, so the numbers describe the area, not one beach. Confidence: high.

Cite this

In October, 52 % of days at Orient Bay met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/kitesurfing/orient-bay

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