Destination · Hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025

Confidence highClose model cell, both models agree on the season, 9 full years.

Kitesurfing in Raglan, New Zealand

Name: Raglan
Address: NZL

Town in New Zealand · 2 kite spots · airports HLZ, AKL, TRG

Best for kiting from September to October, with 51 to 56 % kite days. Water 14 to 16 °C.

Season 16 Apr to 22 Apr and 21 May to 27 May and 2 Jul to 22 Jul and 13 Aug to 11 Nov and 19 Nov to 2 Dec and 24 Dec to 28 Jan.

A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 2017 to 2025.

Numbers on this page are from Raglan, the main spot of Raglan. The other 1 spot has 51 % kite days in October.

Kite Year

Kite days per month, in % of days. Colour is the verdict, the number is the share. Tap a month for its details.

JJan42Good
FFeb31Possible
MMar29Possible
AApr35Possible
MMay34Possible
JJun37Possible
JJul42Good
AAug42Good
SSep56Good
OOct51Goodnow · chosen
NNov39Possible
DDec40Good

Prime 60 % and more
Good 40 to 59 %
Possible 20 to 39 %
Off under 20 %
No data hatched
Ringed: this month
Raised: your chosen month

Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.

October in Raglan, this month, averaged over 2017 to 2025.

KITE DAYS: 16 of 31; 51 % kite days, Good
WIND: 11 knots; afternoon average, 12:00 to 18:00
WATER: 16 °C, 5/4; suit for 10 to 13 °C. The air is cool for this water, so we add one step.

6 in 10

trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (9 Octobers).

about 4.9 kite days expected out of 10.

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. How we count trip odds

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Live forecast How we count a kite day

Month by month

Tap a month for trip odds, good years, best hours, water, air and rain.

MonthKite days% of days, verdict10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite daysWater°C, what to wear

Kite days
51 % Goodabout 16 of 31 days
Too light, kiteable, too strong
Too light 49 %
Kiteable 51 %
Too strong 0 %
10 day trip
6 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 4.9 expected
Best hours
10:00 to 18:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
Daylight
13.0 h
Water
16 °C, 5/4
Air
16 °Cdaily maximum, 15 °C during kite hours
Rain
17 of 31with 1 mm or more
In one sentence
In October, Raglan averaged 16 kite days out of 31 (51 %). Water 16 °C, 5/4. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.

Raglan

Kite days% of days	42	31	29	35	34	37	42	42	56	51	39	40
Verdictshare plus good years	Good	Possible	Possible	Possible	Possible	Possible	Good	Good	Good	Good	Possible	Good
10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite days	4 in 10	2 in 10	2 in 10	4 in 10	3 in 10	3 in 10	4 in 10	5 in 10	7 in 10	6 in 10	4 in 10	4 in 10
Good yearsof 0, reached 50 %	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·	·
Best hourshour of day, most often 12 to 35 kn	10 to 19	10 to 19	10 to 18	10 to 16	10 to 16	10 to 16	11 to 16	11 to 16	10 to 17	10 to 18	10 to 18	11 to 19
Daylighth	14.5	13.5	12.4	11.1	10.1	9.6	9.8	10.7	11.8	13.0	14.1	14.7
Water°C at the surface	20	21	20	19	17	16	14	14	14	16	18	19
Air°C, daily maximum	21	21	20	19	16	15	14	14	14	16	18	20
Rain days1 mm or more	9 of 31	9 of 28	11 of 31	13 of 30	14 of 31	16 of 30	17 of 31	15 of 31	17 of 30	17 of 31	13 of 30	14 of 31
Wetsuitfor that water and the air on kite days, + boots and gloves	3/2	spring	3/2	4/3	5/4	5/4	5/4	5/4	5/4	5/4	3/2	3/2

In January, Raglan averaged 13 kite days out of 31 (42 %). Water 20 °C, 3/2. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in January got at least 5 kite days.
In February, Raglan averaged 9 kite days out of 28 (31 %). Water 21 °C, spring suit. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in February got at least 5 kite days.
In March, Raglan averaged 9 kite days out of 31 (29 %). Water 20 °C, 3/2. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in March got at least 5 kite days.
In April, Raglan averaged 11 kite days out of 30 (35 %). Water 19 °C, 4/3. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in April got at least 5 kite days.
In May, Raglan averaged 11 kite days out of 31 (34 %). Water 17 °C, 5/4. 3 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in May got at least 5 kite days.
In June, Raglan averaged 11 kite days out of 30 (37 %). Water 16 °C, 5/4. 3 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in June got at least 5 kite days.
In July, Raglan averaged 13 kite days out of 31 (42 %). Water 14 °C, 5/4. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in July got at least 5 kite days.
In August, Raglan averaged 13 kite days out of 31 (42 %). Water 14 °C, 5/4. 5 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in August got at least 5 kite days.
In September, Raglan averaged 17 kite days out of 30 (56 %). Water 14 °C, 5/4. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in September got at least 5 kite days.
In October, Raglan averaged 16 kite days out of 31 (51 %). Water 16 °C, 5/4. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
In November, Raglan averaged 12 kite days out of 30 (39 %). Water 18 °C, 3/2. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in November got at least 5 kite days.
In December, Raglan averaged 12 kite days out of 31 (40 %). Water 19 °C, 3/2. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in December got at least 5 kite days.

Good years are not shown here: this spot has no complete per year values, because the two models drift apart over the years. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.

Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025; kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count kite days and trip odds

October in Raglan

this month, averaged over 2017 to 2025.

Kite days: 51 % Goodabout 16 of 31 days
Too light, kiteable, too strong: Too light 49 %
Kiteable 51 %
Too strong 0 %
10 day trip: 6 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 4.9 expected
Best hours: 10:00 to 18:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
Daylight: 13.0 h
Water: 16 °C, 5/4
Air: 16 °Cdaily maximum, 15 °C during kite hours
Rain: 17 of 31with 1 mm or more
In one sentence: In October, Raglan averaged 16 kite days out of 31 (51 %). Water 16 °C, 5/4. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.

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Confidence

Confidence highhourly model data, close sea cell, checks agree on the season

Why. Close model cell, both models agree on the season, 9 full years. Shares its model grid cell with 1 nearby spot, so the numbers describe the area, not one beach.

What it means for you. The numbers on this page are a fair forecast of a typical year here. Medium would mean one check is uncertain, for example a cell 12 km away: expect a few points off. Low means global models miss part of the local wind, often at lakes, thermal or inland spots; where documented local sources describe the season, we show that curated season instead of model numbers.

Water and wetsuit

16 °C in October, 5/4 (10 to 13 °C).

The air is cool for this water, so we add one step.

boardshorts27 and up
shorty24 to 26
spring suit21 to 23
3/218 to 20
4/314 to 17
5/410 to 13
6/5under 10

The filled step is the suit for October; the band under each step is the water temperature it covers, in °C.

14 to 21 °C, 5/4 to spring suit.

Where the model is blind

Here the model sees the wind at Raglan, so the numbers on this page are model numbers. Where documented local sources describe the season of a lake or thermal spot, we show that curated season instead: a hatched band over the season months with its sources named and no percentage, because the model number would be wrong there.

Getting there

Hamilton International Airport (HLZ), 43 km straight line
Auckland International Airport (AKL), 88 km straight line
Tauranga Airport (TRG), 120 km straight line

Flight time from

FRA Frankfurt: about 23 h 20 min straight line, 18,272 km
MUC Munich: about 23 h 15 min straight line, 18,214 km
AMS Amsterdam: about 23 h 15 min straight line, 18,228 km
LHR London Heathrow: about 23 h 35 min straight line, 18,451 km
ZRH Zurich: about 23 h 35 min straight line, 18,467 km
CDG Paris Charles de Gaulle: about 23 h 45 min straight line, 18,624 km

Flight time: the straight line distance at 800 km/h plus 30 minutes. Real flights with stops take longer. Flights are not sold here.

Best time to kitesurf in Raglan

Best for kiting from September to October, with 51 to 56 % kite days. Water 14 to 16 °C.

Season 16 Apr to 22 Apr and 21 May to 27 May and 2 Jul to 22 Jul and 13 Aug to 11 Nov and 19 Nov to 2 Dec and 24 Dec to 28 Jan. Dates from 52 weekly values of the main spot, season from 40 % kite days, peak from 60 %, counted only in weeks with water or daytime air at 12 °C or more and at least 6 hours of daylight.

Trip odds by start week

Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.

Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025

Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.

Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count

Start date

3 in 10

trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).

Zero wind trips: fewer than 1 in 20

about 3.8 kite days expected out of 10

Kite days per trip, 63 trips

Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).

Is Raglan windy?

Across the year, 40 % of days at Raglan are kite days. The windiest month is September with 56 %, the calmest is March with 29 %.

Wind on kite days in September comes most often from SW (225°).

Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors

Afternoon wind11 knots(8 to 11 kn, average 12:00 to 18:00 in October)

under 8 kn
8 to 11 kn
12 to 15 kn
16 to 19 kn
20 to 24 kn
25 to 29 kn
30 kn and more

Main kite wind by month: Jan SW, Feb SW, Mar SW, Apr SW, May WSW, Jun SW, Jul WSW, Aug WSW, Sep SW, Oct SW, Nov SW, Dec SW.

Live forecast

The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.

Live forecast from Windy

The forecast map for Raglan comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.

Water temperature in Raglan by month

The sea is warmest in February at 21 °C and coolest in July at 14 °C. Wetsuit: 5/4 in July, spring suit in February.

Water temperature from the Open-Meteo marine archive, 2023 to 2025, monthly mean of the main spot.

Kite spots in Raglan

Raglan
Sea · main spot
1. J
2. F
3. M
4. A
5. M
6. J
7. J
8. A
9. S
10. O
11. N
12. D
Kite days by month at Raglan: Jan 42 %, Feb 31 %, Mar 29 %, Apr 35 %, May 34 %, Jun 37 %, Jul 42 %, Aug 42 %, Sep 56 %, Oct 51 %, Nov 39 %, Dec 40 %
Raglan Beach
Sea · 2 km
Same model cell as Raglan: near identical numbers.
1. J
2. F
3. M
4. A
5. M
6. J
7. J
8. A
9. S
10. O
11. N
12. D
Kite days by month at Raglan Beach: Jan 42 %, Feb 31 %, Mar 29 %, Apr 35 %, May 34 %, Jun 37 %, Jul 42 %, Aug 42 %, Sep 56 %, Oct 51 %, Nov 39 %, Dec 40 %

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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025

Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Shares its model grid cell with 1 nearby spot, so the numbers describe the area, not one beach. Confidence: high.

Cite this

In October, 51 % of days at Raglan met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/kitesurfing/raglan

Download CSV (12 months)

Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.