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Sea · Atacama Region · Chile

Caldera

Kite days peak in September at 44 %.

A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.

  1. J25
  2. F25
  3. M26
  4. A16
  5. M14
  6. J23
  7. J20
  8. A31
  9. S44
  10. O41
  11. N37
  12. D35
Kite days by month at Caldera: Jan 25 %, Feb 25 %, Mar 26 %, Apr 16 %, May 14 %, Jun 23 %, Jul 20 %, Aug 31 %, Sep 44 %, Oct 41 %, Nov 37 %, Dec 35 %
  • Prime 60 % and more
  • Good 40 to 59 %
  • Possible 20 to 39 %
  • Off under 20 %
  • No data hatched
  • Ringed: this month

Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.

Confidence highClose model cell, both models agree on the season, 9 full years. Shares its model grid cell with 1 nearby spot, so the numbers describe the area, not one beach.

Month by month

MonthKite days% of days, verdict10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite daysWater°C, what to wear
  • Kite days
    41 % Goodabout 13 of 31 days
    Too light, kiteable, too strong
    • Too light 59 %
    • Kiteable 41 %
    • Too strong 0 %
    10 day trip
    4 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 4.0 expected
    Best hours
    16:00 to 19:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
    Daylight
    12.7 h
    Water
    16 °C, 4/3
    Air
    16 °Cdaily maximum, 15 °C during kite hours
    Rain
    1 of 31with 1 mm or more
    In one sentence

    In October, Caldera averaged 13 kite days out of 31 (41 %). Water 16 °C, 4/3. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.

Good years are not shown here: this spot has no complete per year values, because the two models drift apart over the years. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.

Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds

Trip odds at Caldera

How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.

  1. January2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.5 expected
  2. February1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.5 expected
  3. March1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.5 expected
  4. Aprilunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.6 expected
  5. Mayunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.5 expected
  6. Juneunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.2 expected
  7. July1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.2 expected
  8. August2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.3 expected
  9. September5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.5 expected
  10. October (now)4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.0 expected
  11. November4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.9 expected
  12. December3 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.2 expected

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.

Trip odds by start week

Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.

Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025

Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.

Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count

Trip odds by start week in Caldera: W1 2 in 10, W2 3 in 10, W3 1 in 10, W4 1 in 10, W5 1 in 10, W6 3 in 10, W7 1 in 10, W8 1 in 10, W9 under 1 in 10, W10 1 in 10, W11 1 in 10, W12 1 in 10, W13 1 in 10, W14 under 1 in 10, W15 under 1 in 10, W16 under 1 in 10, W17 under 1 in 10, W18 under 1 in 10, W19 under 1 in 10, W20 under 1 in 10, W21 under 1 in 10, W22 under 1 in 10, W23 under 1 in 10, W24 1 in 10, W25 under 1 in 10, W26 under 1 in 10, W27 1 in 10, W28 under 1 in 10, W29 1 in 10, W30 under 1 in 10, W31 1 in 10, W32 under 1 in 10, W33 3 in 10, W34 3 in 10, W35 3 in 10, W36 6 in 10, W37 4 in 10, W38 4 in 10, W39 6 in 10, W40 5 in 10, W41 5 in 10, W42 3 in 10, W43 2 in 10, W44 4 in 10, W45 3 in 10, W46 3 in 10, W47 5 in 10, W48 4 in 10, W49 5 in 10, W50 3 in 10, W51 1 in 10, W52 2 in 10

3 in 10

trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).

Zero wind trips: fewer than 1 in 20

about 3.9 kite days expected out of 10

Kite days per trip, 63 trips

Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).

How the wind behaves

In September, the windiest month

  • Too light 56 %
  • Kiteable 44 %
  • Too strong 0 %

Too light on 56 %, kiteable on 44 %, too strong on 0 % of days.

Best hours: 16:00 to 19:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.

NESW

Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors

Wind steadily from SW (225°).

Kitesurfing at Caldera: quick answers

When is the best time to kitesurf at Caldera?

No month reaches 50 % kite days. The windiest month is September, when 44 % of days were kite days from 2017 to 2025.

Is Caldera windy in October?

Yes, often. 41 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 13 days in a typical October. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.

What is the water temperature at Caldera?

The water ranges from 15 °C in May to 20 °C in February. In October it is about 16 °C (wetsuit: 4/3).

How many kite days does Caldera get in a year?

About 103 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.

Live forecast

The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.

Live forecast from Windy

The forecast map for Caldera comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.

Spot facts

Region
Atacama Region
Country
Chile
Water body
Sea, from Natural Earth map data
Nearest airport
Desierto de Atacama Airport (CPO), 17 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
Time zone
UTC-03:00 in October
Coordinates
-27.1207, -70.8547
Model
ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Satellite view of Caldera

Conditions, checked against kite guides

Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.

  • Small chop on the main riding area.
  • A flat or sheltered area exists for riding.
  • Learning: no kite source says.
  • This position is at Bahia Inglesa (Las Machas), a freeride spot with light SW thermals and calm shallow water; a wave wraps into the bay at Caldera town further north.

Checked 2026-10-08, confidence medium (one kite source, or two that partly disagree). Sources: web.kite-and-windsurfing-guide.com, www.afar.com, www.calendariochile.com.

Nearby kite spots in Atacama Region

Kite days in October, % of days

  1. Copiapo River

    Chile · 7 points more kite days than Caldera in October

    48 %
    January: 27 % kite days (Possible)February: 23 % kite days (Possible)March: 22 % kite days (Possible)April: 19 % kite days (Off)May: 18 % kite days (Off)June: 22 % kite days (Possible)July: 21 % kite days (Possible)August: 32 % kite days (Possible)September: 49 % kite days (Good)October: 48 % kite days (Good)November: 39 % kite days (Possible)December: 35 % kite days (Possible)
    Kite days by month at Copiapo River: Jan 27 %, Feb 23 %, Mar 22 %, Apr 19 %, May 18 %, Jun 22 %, Jul 21 %, Aug 32 %, Sep 49 %, Oct 48 %, Nov 39 %, Dec 35 %
  2. Playa Blanca

    Chile · 34 points fewer kite days than Caldera in October

    7 %
    January: 1 % kite days (Off)February: 1 % kite days (Off)March: 1 % kite days (Off)April: 0 % kite days (Off)May: 0 % kite days (Off)June: 1 % kite days (Off)July: 3 % kite days (Off)August: 4 % kite days (Off)September: 7 % kite days (Off)October: 7 % kite days (Off)November: 4 % kite days (Off)December: 4 % kite days (Off)
    Kite days by month at Playa Blanca: Jan 1 %, Feb 1 %, Mar 1 %, Apr 0 %, May 0 %, Jun 1 %, Jul 3 %, Aug 4 %, Sep 7 %, Oct 7 %, Nov 4 %, Dec 4 %
  3. Huasco

    Chile · 9 points more kite days than Caldera in October

    50 %
    January: 42 % kite days (Good)February: 34 % kite days (Possible)March: 27 % kite days (Possible)April: 14 % kite days (Off)May: 9 % kite days (Off)June: 13 % kite days (Off)July: 12 % kite days (Off)August: 26 % kite days (Possible)September: 40 % kite days (Good)October: 50 % kite days (Good)November: 50 % kite days (Good)December: 46 % kite days (Good)
    Kite days by month at Huasco: Jan 42 %, Feb 34 %, Mar 27 %, Apr 14 %, May 9 %, Jun 13 %, Jul 12 %, Aug 26 %, Sep 40 %, Oct 50 %, Nov 50 %, Dec 46 %
  4. Mamani

    Chile · 25 points more kite days than Caldera in October

    66 %
    January: 51 % kite days (Good)February: 38 % kite days (Possible)March: 39 % kite days (Possible)April: 37 % kite days (Possible)May: 34 % kite days (Possible)June: 49 % kite days (Good)July: 45 % kite days (Good)August: 49 % kite days (Good)September: 62 % kite days (Prime)October: 66 % kite days (Prime)November: 63 % kite days (Prime)December: 57 % kite days (Good)
    Kite days by month at Mamani: Jan 51 %, Feb 38 %, Mar 39 %, Apr 37 %, May 34 %, Jun 49 %, Jul 45 %, Aug 49 %, Sep 62 %, Oct 66 %, Nov 63 %, Dec 57 %

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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025

Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Shares its model grid cell with 1 nearby spot, so the numbers describe the area, not one beach. Confidence: high.

Cite this

In October, 41 % of days at Caldera met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/caldera

Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.