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12 kn+. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots between 10:00 and 19:00. How we count.

Sea · Belize District · Belize

Caye Chapel

Best for kiting from December to July, with 50 to 76 % kite days. Water 27 to 30 °C.

A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.

  1. J62
  2. F72
  3. M69
  4. A76
  5. M75
  6. J75
  7. J67
  8. A48
  9. S28
  10. O36
  11. N39
  12. D50
Kite days by month at Caye Chapel: Jan 62 %, Feb 72 %, Mar 69 %, Apr 76 %, May 75 %, Jun 75 %, Jul 67 %, Aug 48 %, Sep 28 %, Oct 36 %, Nov 39 %, Dec 50 %
  • Prime 60 % and more
  • Good 40 to 59 %
  • Possible 20 to 39 %
  • Off under 20 %
  • No data hatched
  • Ringed: this month

Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.

Confidence highClose model cell, both models agree on the season, 9 full years.

See the best monthsLive forecastShow on map

Month by month

MonthKite days% of days, verdict10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite daysWater°C, what to wear
  • Kite days
    36 % Possibleabout 11 of 31 days
    Too light, kiteable, too strong
    • Too light 64 %
    • Kiteable 36 %
    • Too strong 0 %
    Good years
    2017: 32 % kite days2018: 55 % kite days2019: 39 % kite days2020: 29 % kite days2021: 29 % kite days2022: 39 % kite days2023: 32 % kite days2024: 48 % kite days2025: 16 % kite days1 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
    10 day trip
    4 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 3.8 expected
    Best hours
    16:00 to 17:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
    Daylight
    11.8 h
    Water
    30 °C, boardshorts
    Air
    29 °Cdaily maximum, 28 °C during kite hours
    Rain
    23 of 31with 1 mm or more
    In one sentence

    In October, Caye Chapel averaged 11 kite days out of 31 (36 %). Water 30 °C, boardshorts. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.

Good year: at least half the days of that month were kite days. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.

Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds

Trip odds at Caye Chapel

How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.

  1. January8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.2 expected
  2. February9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.3 expected
  3. March9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.1 expected
  4. April9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.6 expected
  5. May8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.2 expected
  6. June9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.6 expected
  7. July8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.3 expected
  8. August5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.8 expected
  9. September2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.8 expected
  10. October (now)4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.8 expected
  11. November4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.8 expected
  12. December6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.1 expected

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.

Open in the trip planner

Trip odds by start week

Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.

Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025

Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.

Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count

Trip odds by start week in Caye Chapel: W1 7 in 10, W2 8 in 10, W3 8 in 10, W4 8 in 10, W5 9 in 10, W6 9 in 10, W7 8 in 10, W8 8 in 10, W9 9 in 10, W10 8 in 10, W11 9 in 10, W12 8 in 10, W13 9 in 10, W14 9 in 10, W15 9 in 10, W16 9 in 10, W17 9 in 10, W18 9 in 10, W19 8 in 10, W20 8 in 10, W21 8 in 10, W22 7 in 10, W23 9 in 10, W24 9 in 10, W25 9 in 10, W26 9 in 10, W27 9 in 10, W28 8 in 10, W29 8 in 10, W30 6 in 10, W31 6 in 10, W32 5 in 10, W33 6 in 10, W34 7 in 10, W35 3 in 10, W36 2 in 10, W37 2 in 10, W38 1 in 10, W39 2 in 10, W40 2 in 10, W41 3 in 10, W42 6 in 10, W43 6 in 10, W44 4 in 10, W45 3 in 10, W46 3 in 10, W47 3 in 10, W48 5 in 10, W49 6 in 10, W50 6 in 10, W51 6 in 10, W52 8 in 10

3 in 10

trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).

Zero wind trips: fewer than 1 in 20

about 3.5 kite days expected out of 10

Kite days per trip, 63 trips

Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).

How the wind behaves

In April, the windiest month

  • Too light 24 %
  • Kiteable 76 %
  • Too strong 0 %

Too light on 24 %, kiteable on 76 %, too strong on 0 % of days.

Best hours: 14:00 to 17:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.

NESW

Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors

Wind steadily from E (90°).

Kitesurfing at Caye Chapel: quick answers

When is the best time to kitesurf at Caye Chapel?

The best months are December to July: from 2017 to 2025, 50 to 76 % of days in those months were kite days.

Is Caye Chapel windy in October?

Sometimes. 36 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 11 days in a typical October. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.

What is the water temperature at Caye Chapel?

The water ranges from 27 °C in January to 31 °C in August. In October it is about 30 °C (wetsuit: boardshorts).

How many kite days does Caye Chapel get in a year?

About 211 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.

Live forecast

The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.

Live forecast from Windy

The forecast map for Caye Chapel comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.

Spot facts

Region
Belize District
Country
Belize
Water body
Sea, from Natural Earth map data
Nearest airport
Caye Chapel Airport (CYC), 1 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
Time zone
UTC-06:00 in October
Coordinates
17.6962, -88.0420
Model
ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Satellite view of Caye Chapel

Conditions, checked against kite guides

Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.

Not yet checked against kite guides. We research spot conditions one by one and show only what a kite source says.

Nearby kite spots in Belize District

Kite days in October, % of days

  1. Caye Caulker

    Belize · 3 points fewer kite days than Caye Chapel in October

    33 %
    January: 57 % kite days (Good)February: 68 % kite days (Prime)March: 65 % kite days (Prime)April: 68 % kite days (Prime)May: 67 % kite days (Prime)June: 71 % kite days (Prime)July: 54 % kite days (Good)August: 38 % kite days (Possible)September: 24 % kite days (Possible)October: 33 % kite days (Possible)November: 34 % kite days (Possible)December: 49 % kite days (Good)
    Kite days by month at Caye Caulker: Jan 57 %, Feb 68 %, Mar 65 %, Apr 68 %, May 67 %, Jun 71 %, Jul 54 %, Aug 38 %, Sep 24 %, Oct 33 %, Nov 34 %, Dec 49 %
  2. Royal Palm Island Resort

    Belize · 4 points fewer kite days than Caye Chapel in October

    32 %
    January: 59 % kite days (Good)February: 69 % kite days (Prime)March: 65 % kite days (Prime)April: 74 % kite days (Prime)May: 73 % kite days (Prime)June: 73 % kite days (Prime)July: 62 % kite days (Prime)August: 43 % kite days (Good)September: 26 % kite days (Possible)October: 32 % kite days (Possible)November: 36 % kite days (Possible)December: 49 % kite days (Good)
    Kite days by month at Royal Palm Island Resort: Jan 59 %, Feb 69 %, Mar 65 %, Apr 74 %, May 73 %, Jun 73 %, Jul 62 %, Aug 43 %, Sep 26 %, Oct 32 %, Nov 36 %, Dec 49 %
  3. Ambergris Caye

    Belize · 2 points more kite days than Caye Chapel in October

    38 %
    January: 62 % kite days (Prime)February: 71 % kite days (Prime)March: 72 % kite days (Prime)April: 78 % kite days (Prime)May: 76 % kite days (Prime)June: 76 % kite days (Prime)July: 69 % kite days (Prime)August: 51 % kite days (Good)September: 30 % kite days (Possible)October: 38 % kite days (Possible)November: 40 % kite days (Good)December: 55 % kite days (Good)
    Kite days by month at Ambergris Caye: Jan 62 %, Feb 71 %, Mar 72 %, Apr 78 %, May 76 %, Jun 76 %, Jul 69 %, Aug 51 %, Sep 30 %, Oct 38 %, Nov 40 %, Dec 55 %

Plan your trip

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One mail, about 8 weeks before your month starts, with the kite day odds for that month and the link to this page. No newsletter.

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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025

Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Confidence: high.

Cite this

In October, 36 % of days at Caye Chapel met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/caye-chapel

Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.