Sea · Washington · United States
Dogfish Point
Kite days stay under 30 % in every month.
A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.
- Prime 60 % and more
- Good 40 to 59 %
- Possible 20 to 39 %
- Off under 20 %
- No data hatched
- Ringed: this month
Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.
Confidence highHourly model data, 2017 to 2025, checked against the season shape of a nearby weather station, a regional model or a documented season.
Month by month
- Kite days
- 22 % Possibleabout 7 of 31 days
- Too light, kiteable, too strong
- Too light 78 %
- Kiteable 22 %
- Too strong 0 %
- Good years
- 0 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
- 10 day trip
- 1 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 2.4 expected
- Best hours
- 10:00 to 15:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
- Daylight
- 10.9 h
- Water
- 12 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves
- Air
- 12 °Cdaily maximum, 11 °C during kite hours
- Rain
- 14 of 31with 1 mm or more
- In one sentence
In October, Dogfish Point averaged 7 kite days out of 31 (22 %). Water 12 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
| Kite days% of days | 31 | 21 | 24 | 24 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 27 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdictshare plus good years | cold | cold | cold | cold | Off | Off | Off | Off | Off | Possible | cold | cold |
| 10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite days | 2 in 10 | 1 in 10 | 1 in 10 | 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | 1 in 10 | 1 in 10 | 2 in 10 |
| Good yearsof 9, reached 50 % | 1 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 1 of 9 | 0 of 9 |
| Best hourshour of day, most often 12 to 35 kn | 10 to 16 | 10 to 16 | 10 to 13 | 10 to 17 | · | · | · | · | · | 10 to 15 | 10 to 16 | 10 to 15 |
| Daylighth | 8.8 | 10.2 | 11.9 | 13.7 | 15.2 | 16.1 | 15.7 | 14.4 | 12.6 | 10.9 | 9.3 | 8.4 |
| Water°C at the surface | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 9 |
| Air°C, daily maximum | 7 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 7 |
| Rain days1 mm or more | 18 of 31 | 18 of 28 | 17 of 31 | 16 of 30 | 11 of 31 | 9 of 30 | 4 of 31 | 6 of 31 | 9 of 30 | 14 of 31 | 19 of 30 | 19 of 31 |
| Wetsuitfor that water and the air on kite days, + boots and gloves | 6/5+ | 6/5+ | 6/5+ | 6/5+ | 6/5+ | 5/4 | 4/3 | 4/3 | 4/3 | 6/5+ | 6/5+ | 6/5+ |
- In January, Dogfish Point averaged 9 kite days out of 31 (31 %). Water 8 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in January got at least 5 kite days.
- In February, Dogfish Point averaged 6 kite days out of 28 (21 %). Water 8 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in February got at least 5 kite days.
- In March, Dogfish Point averaged 7 kite days out of 31 (24 %). Water 8 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in March got at least 5 kite days.
- In April, Dogfish Point averaged 7 kite days out of 30 (24 %). Water 9 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in April got at least 5 kite days.
- In May, Dogfish Point averaged 3 kite days out of 31 (9 %). Water 11 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in May got at least 5 kite days.
- In June, Dogfish Point averaged 2 kite days out of 30 (6 %). Water 13 °C, 5/4. under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in June got at least 5 kite days.
- In July, Dogfish Point averaged 1 kite days out of 31 (3 %). Water 15 °C, 4/3. under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in July got at least 5 kite days.
- In August, Dogfish Point averaged 1 kite days out of 31 (2 %). Water 16 °C, 4/3. under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in August got at least 5 kite days.
- In September, Dogfish Point averaged 3 kite days out of 30 (9 %). Water 15 °C, 4/3. under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in September got at least 5 kite days.
- In October, Dogfish Point averaged 7 kite days out of 31 (22 %). Water 12 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
- In November, Dogfish Point averaged 8 kite days out of 30 (27 %). Water 10 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in November got at least 5 kite days.
- In December, Dogfish Point averaged 8 kite days out of 31 (25 %). Water 9 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in December got at least 5 kite days.
Good year: at least half the days of that month were kite days. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.
Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds
Trip odds at Dogfish Point
How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.
- January2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.9 expected
- February1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.2 expected
- March1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.3 expected
- April1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.3 expected
- Mayunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 0.8 expected
- Juneunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 0.6 expected
- Julyunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 0.2 expected
- Augustunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 0.2 expected
- Septemberunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.1 expected
- October (now)1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.4 expected
- November1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.5 expected
- December2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.7 expected
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Trip odds by start week
Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.
Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025
- 2
- 1
- 3
- 2
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 2
- 1
- 1
- 0
- 1
- 0
- 3
- 1
- 1
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 1
- 0
- 1
- 3
- 1
- 2
- 2
- 2
- 0
- 0
- 1
- 3
- 2
- 2
Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count
2 in 10
trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).
Zero wind trips: 3 in 10
about 2.4 kite days expected out of 10
Kite days per trip, 63 trips
Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).
How the wind behaves
In January, the windiest month
- Too light 69 %
- Kiteable 31 %
- Too strong 0 %
Too light on 69 %, kiteable on 31 %, too strong on 0 % of days.
Best hours: 10:00 to 16:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.
Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors
Wind mostly from SE (135°), fairly steady direction.
Kitesurfing at Dogfish Point: quick answers
When is the best time to kitesurf at Dogfish Point?
No month reaches 50 % kite days. The windiest month is January, when 31 % of days were kite days from 2017 to 2025.
Is Dogfish Point windy in October?
Sometimes. 22 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 7 days in a typical October. 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.
What is the water temperature at Dogfish Point?
The water ranges from 8 °C in January to 16 °C in August. In October it is about 12 °C (wetsuit: 6/5 with boots and gloves).
How many kite days does Dogfish Point get in a year?
About 61 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.
Live forecast
The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.
Live forecast from Windy
The forecast map for Dogfish Point comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.
Spot facts
- Region
- Washington
- Country
- United States
- Water body
- Sea, from Natural Earth map data
- Nearest airport
- Bellingham International Airport (BLI), 19 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
- Time zone
- UTC-07:00 in October
- Coordinates
- 48.6261, -122.4641
- Model
- ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Conditions, checked against kite guides
Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.
Not yet checked against kite guides. We research spot conditions one by one and show only what a kite source says.
Nearby kite spots in Washington
Kite days in October, % of days
- Jetty Island
United States · 15 points fewer kite days than Dogfish Point in October
7 %Kite days by month at Jetty Island: Jan 7 %, Feb 5 %, Mar 5 %, Apr 6 %, May 1 %, Jun 2 %, Jul 0 %, Aug 0 %, Sep 0 %, Oct 7 %, Nov 9 %, Dec 8 % - Whidbey Island
United States · same kite days as Dogfish Point in October
22 %Kite days by month at Whidbey Island: Jan 31 %, Feb 20 %, Mar 25 %, Apr 25 %, May 9 %, Jun 9 %, Jul 1 %, Aug 5 %, Sep 12 %, Oct 22 %, Nov 28 %, Dec 26 % - Point Robinson
United States · 9 points fewer kite days than Dogfish Point in October
13 %Kite days by month at Point Robinson: Jan 13 %, Feb 17 %, Mar 14 %, Apr 14 %, May 4 %, Jun 6 %, Jul 0 %, Aug 1 %, Sep 5 %, Oct 13 %, Nov 12 %, Dec 13 % - Chambers Bay
United States · 7 points fewer kite days than Dogfish Point in October
15 %Kite days by month at Chambers Bay: Jan 14 %, Feb 20 %, Mar 14 %, Apr 17 %, May 8 %, Jun 9 %, Jul 2 %, Aug 3 %, Sep 6 %, Oct 15 %, Nov 15 %, Dec 11 % - Ocean Shores
United States · 21 points more kite days than Dogfish Point in October
43 %Kite days by month at Ocean Shores: Jan 59 %, Feb 52 %, Mar 53 %, Apr 63 %, May 57 %, Jun 49 %, Jul 43 %, Aug 34 %, Sep 38 %, Oct 43 %, Nov 59 %, Dec 57 %
Plan your trip
Booking reminder
Remind me when to book Dogfish Point
One mail, about 8 weeks before your month starts, with the kite day odds for that month and the link to this page. No newsletter.
We send one confirmation mail first; the reminder is set only after you click its link, and unconfirmed addresses are deleted after 7 days. Every mail has an unsubscribe link and a delete link. Privacy
kiteCOMPASS Pro
Plan the whole trip, not just the month
Save trips, get Plan B spots for days without wind and compare three places side by side. 29 EUR per year.
kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025
Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Confidence: high.
Cite this
In October, 22 % of days at Dogfish Point met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/dogfish-point
Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.