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Sea · Queensland · Australia

Hervey Bay

Kite days peak in February at 47 %.

A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.

  1. J32
  2. F47
  3. M34
  4. A34
  5. M25
  6. J11
  7. J12
  8. A13
  9. S23
  10. O33
  11. N38
  12. D38
Kite days by month at Hervey Bay: Jan 32 %, Feb 47 %, Mar 34 %, Apr 34 %, May 25 %, Jun 11 %, Jul 12 %, Aug 13 %, Sep 23 %, Oct 33 %, Nov 38 %, Dec 38 %
  • Prime 60 % and more
  • Good 40 to 59 %
  • Possible 20 to 39 %
  • Off under 20 %
  • No data hatched
  • Ringed: this month

Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.

Confidence highHourly model data, 2017 to 2025, checked against the season shape of a nearby weather station, a regional model or a documented season.

Month by month

MonthKite days% of days, verdict10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite daysWater°C, what to wear
  • Kite days
    33 % Possibleabout 10 of 31 days
    Too light, kiteable, too strong
    • Too light 67 %
    • Kiteable 33 %
    • Too strong 0 %
    Good years
    2017: 36 % kite days2018: 19 % kite days2019: 48 % kite days2020: 32 % kite days2021: 29 % kite days2022: 23 % kite days2023: 48 % kite days2024: 42 % kite days2025: 19 % kite days0 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
    10 day trip
    3 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 3.3 expected
    Best hours
    13:00 to 17:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
    Daylight
    12.7 h
    Water
    25 °C, shorty
    Air
    24 °Cdaily maximum, 24 °C during kite hours
    Rain
    7 of 31with 1 mm or more
    In one sentence

    In October, Hervey Bay averaged 10 kite days out of 31 (33 %). Water 25 °C, shorty. 3 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.

Good year: at least half the days of that month were kite days. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.

Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds

Trip odds at Hervey Bay

How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.

  1. January3 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.5 expected
  2. February4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.3 expected
  3. March4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.5 expected
  4. April3 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.3 expected
  5. May1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.2 expected
  6. Juneunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.2 expected
  7. Julyunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.1 expected
  8. Augustunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.3 expected
  9. September1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.6 expected
  10. October (now)3 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.3 expected
  11. November4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.8 expected
  12. December3 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.7 expected

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.

Trip odds by start week

Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.

Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025

Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.

Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count

Trip odds by start week in Hervey Bay: W1 4 in 10, W2 2 in 10, W3 under 1 in 10, W4 3 in 10, W5 6 in 10, W6 7 in 10, W7 4 in 10, W8 3 in 10, W9 4 in 10, W10 6 in 10, W11 3 in 10, W12 1 in 10, W13 5 in 10, W14 4 in 10, W15 3 in 10, W16 3 in 10, W17 2 in 10, W18 3 in 10, W19 2 in 10, W20 1 in 10, W21 under 1 in 10, W22 under 1 in 10, W23 under 1 in 10, W24 under 1 in 10, W25 under 1 in 10, W26 2 in 10, W27 1 in 10, W28 under 1 in 10, W29 under 1 in 10, W30 under 1 in 10, W31 1 in 10, W32 under 1 in 10, W33 under 1 in 10, W34 under 1 in 10, W35 1 in 10, W36 1 in 10, W37 under 1 in 10, W38 1 in 10, W39 2 in 10, W40 1 in 10, W41 3 in 10, W42 3 in 10, W43 2 in 10, W44 5 in 10, W45 6 in 10, W46 2 in 10, W47 3 in 10, W48 3 in 10, W49 3 in 10, W50 2 in 10, W51 4 in 10, W52 4 in 10

6 in 10

trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).

Zero wind trips: fewer than 1 in 20

about 4.6 kite days expected out of 10

Kite days per trip, 63 trips

Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).

How the wind behaves

In February, the windiest month

  • Too light 53 %
  • Kiteable 47 %
  • Too strong 0 %

Too light on 53 %, kiteable on 47 %, too strong on 0 % of days.

Best hours: 13:00 to 18:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.

NESW

Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors

Wind mostly from SE (135°), fairly steady direction.

Kitesurfing at Hervey Bay: quick answers

When is the best time to kitesurf at Hervey Bay?

No month reaches 50 % kite days. The windiest month is February, when 47 % of days were kite days from 2017 to 2025.

Is Hervey Bay windy in October?

Sometimes. 33 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 10 days in a typical October. 3 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.

What is the water temperature at Hervey Bay?

The water ranges from 19 °C in July to 28 °C in January. In October it is about 25 °C (wetsuit: shorty).

How many kite days does Hervey Bay get in a year?

About 103 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.

Live forecast

The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.

Live forecast from Windy

The forecast map for Hervey Bay comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.

Spot facts

Region
Queensland
Country
Australia
Water body
Sea, from Natural Earth map data
Nearest airport
Hervey Bay Airport (HVB), 4 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
Time zone
UTC+10:00 in October
Coordinates
-25.2831, 152.8737
Model
ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Satellite view of Hervey Bay

Conditions, checked against kite guides

Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.

Not yet checked against kite guides. We research spot conditions one by one and show only what a kite source says.

Nearby kite spots in Queensland

Kite days in October, % of days

  1. Elliot Heads

    Australia · 13 points more kite days than Hervey Bay in October

    46 %
    January: 54 % kite days (Good)February: 63 % kite days (Prime)March: 49 % kite days (Good)April: 51 % kite days (Good)May: 44 % kite days (Good)June: 23 % kite days (Possible)July: 20 % kite days (Possible)August: 25 % kite days (Possible)September: 34 % kite days (Possible)October: 46 % kite days (Good)November: 56 % kite days (Good)December: 58 % kite days (Good)
    Kite days by month at Elliot Heads: Jan 54 %, Feb 63 %, Mar 49 %, Apr 51 %, May 44 %, Jun 23 %, Jul 20 %, Aug 25 %, Sep 34 %, Oct 46 %, Nov 56 %, Dec 58 %
  2. Double Island Point

    Australia · 19 points more kite days than Hervey Bay in October

    52 %
    January: 47 % kite days (Good)February: 58 % kite days (Good)March: 50 % kite days (Good)April: 52 % kite days (Good)May: 45 % kite days (Good)June: 31 % kite days (Possible)July: 31 % kite days (Possible)August: 30 % kite days (Possible)September: 42 % kite days (Good)October: 52 % kite days (Good)November: 52 % kite days (Good)December: 50 % kite days (Good)
    Kite days by month at Double Island Point: Jan 47 %, Feb 58 %, Mar 50 %, Apr 52 %, May 45 %, Jun 31 %, Jul 31 %, Aug 30 %, Sep 42 %, Oct 52 %, Nov 52 %, Dec 50 %
  3. Brisbane, Australia

    Australia · 15 points more kite days than Hervey Bay in October

    48 %
    January: 41 % kite days (Good)February: 52 % kite days (Good)March: 46 % kite days (Good)April: 44 % kite days (Good)May: 38 % kite days (Possible)June: 28 % kite days (Possible)July: 25 % kite days (Possible)August: 29 % kite days (Possible)September: 43 % kite days (Good)October: 48 % kite days (Good)November: 52 % kite days (Good)December: 47 % kite days (Good)
    Kite days by month at Brisbane, Australia: Jan 41 %, Feb 52 %, Mar 46 %, Apr 44 %, May 38 %, Jun 28 %, Jul 25 %, Aug 29 %, Sep 43 %, Oct 48 %, Nov 52 %, Dec 47 %
  4. Tannum Sand

    Australia · 15 points more kite days than Hervey Bay in October

    48 %
    January: 67 % kite days (Prime)February: 69 % kite days (Prime)March: 55 % kite days (Good)April: 55 % kite days (Good)May: 37 % kite days (Possible)June: 17 % kite days (Off)July: 17 % kite days (Off)August: 31 % kite days (Possible)September: 43 % kite days (Good)October: 48 % kite days (Good)November: 61 % kite days (Prime)December: 60 % kite days (Prime)
    Kite days by month at Tannum Sand: Jan 67 %, Feb 69 %, Mar 55 %, Apr 55 %, May 37 %, Jun 17 %, Jul 17 %, Aug 31 %, Sep 43 %, Oct 48 %, Nov 61 %, Dec 60 %
  5. Brighton

    Australia · 15 points more kite days than Hervey Bay in October

    48 %
    January: 43 % kite days (Good)February: 50 % kite days (Good)March: 39 % kite days (Possible)April: 36 % kite days (Possible)May: 23 % kite days (Possible)June: 14 % kite days (Off)July: 17 % kite days (Off)August: 17 % kite days (Off)September: 39 % kite days (Possible)October: 48 % kite days (Good)November: 50 % kite days (Good)December: 48 % kite days (Good)
    Kite days by month at Brighton: Jan 43 %, Feb 50 %, Mar 39 %, Apr 36 %, May 23 %, Jun 14 %, Jul 17 %, Aug 17 %, Sep 39 %, Oct 48 %, Nov 50 %, Dec 48 %
  6. Manly

    Australia · 3 points more kite days than Hervey Bay in October

    36 %
    January: 35 % kite days (Possible)February: 45 % kite days (Good)March: 36 % kite days (Possible)April: 33 % kite days (Possible)May: 23 % kite days (Possible)June: 15 % kite days (Off)July: 17 % kite days (Off)August: 15 % kite days (Off)September: 29 % kite days (Possible)October: 36 % kite days (Possible)November: 40 % kite days (Good)December: 43 % kite days (Good)
    Kite days by month at Manly: Jan 35 %, Feb 45 %, Mar 36 %, Apr 33 %, May 23 %, Jun 15 %, Jul 17 %, Aug 15 %, Sep 29 %, Oct 36 %, Nov 40 %, Dec 43 %
  7. Victoria Point

    Australia · 3 points fewer kite days than Hervey Bay in October

    30 %
    January: 26 % kite days (Possible)February: 33 % kite days (Possible)March: 29 % kite days (Possible)April: 28 % kite days (Possible)May: 17 % kite days (Off)June: 12 % kite days (Off)July: 18 % kite days (Off)August: 16 % kite days (Off)September: 29 % kite days (Possible)October: 30 % kite days (Possible)November: 32 % kite days (Possible)December: 29 % kite days (Possible)
    Kite days by month at Victoria Point: Jan 26 %, Feb 33 %, Mar 29 %, Apr 28 %, May 17 %, Jun 12 %, Jul 18 %, Aug 16 %, Sep 29 %, Oct 30 %, Nov 32 %, Dec 29 %
  8. Jumpinpin

    Australia · 10 points fewer kite days than Hervey Bay in October

    23 %
    January: 21 % kite days (Possible)February: 32 % kite days (Possible)March: 31 % kite days (Possible)April: 30 % kite days (Possible)May: 24 % kite days (Possible)June: 13 % kite days (Off)July: 16 % kite days (Off)August: 12 % kite days (Off)September: 20 % kite days (Possible)October: 23 % kite days (Possible)November: 22 % kite days (Possible)December: 23 % kite days (Possible)
    Kite days by month at Jumpinpin: Jan 21 %, Feb 32 %, Mar 31 %, Apr 30 %, May 24 %, Jun 13 %, Jul 16 %, Aug 12 %, Sep 20 %, Oct 23 %, Nov 22 %, Dec 23 %

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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025

Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Confidence: high.

Cite this

In October, 33 % of days at Hervey Bay met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/hervey-bay

Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.