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12 kn+. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots between 10:00 and 19:00. How we count.

Sea · Paraná · Brazil

Ilha do Mel

Kite days peak in November at 41 %.

A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.

  1. J33
  2. F18
  3. M20
  4. A22
  5. M25
  6. J20
  7. J20
  8. A33
  9. S27
  10. O36
  11. N41
  12. D41
Kite days by month at Ilha do Mel: Jan 33 %, Feb 18 %, Mar 20 %, Apr 22 %, May 25 %, Jun 20 %, Jul 20 %, Aug 33 %, Sep 27 %, Oct 36 %, Nov 41 %, Dec 41 %
  • Prime 60 % and more
  • Good 40 to 59 %
  • Possible 20 to 39 %
  • Off under 20 %
  • No data hatched
  • Ringed: this month

Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.

Confidence highClose model cell, both models agree on the season, 9 full years.

See the best monthsLive forecastShow on map

Month by month

MonthKite days% of days, verdict10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite daysWater°C, what to wear
  • Kite days
    36 % Possibleabout 11 of 31 days
    Too light, kiteable, too strong
    • Too light 64 %
    • Kiteable 36 %
    • Too strong 0 %
    Good years
    2017: 36 % kite days2018: 26 % kite days2019: 16 % kite days2020: 39 % kite days2021: 52 % kite days2022: 32 % kite days2023: 29 % kite days2024: 45 % kite days2025: 45 % kite days1 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
    10 day trip
    3 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 3.6 expected
    Best hours
    15:00 to 17:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
    Daylight
    12.7 h
    Water
    23 °C, spring suit
    Air
    22 °Cdaily maximum, 22 °C during kite hours
    Rain
    19 of 31with 1 mm or more
    In one sentence

    In October, Ilha do Mel averaged 11 kite days out of 31 (36 %). Water 23 °C, spring suit. 3 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.

Good year: at least half the days of that month were kite days. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.

Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds

Trip odds at Ilha do Mel

How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.

  1. January2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.9 expected
  2. February1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.9 expected
  3. March1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.1 expected
  4. April1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.1 expected
  5. May1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.4 expected
  6. June1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.2 expected
  7. July1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.0 expected
  8. August3 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.4 expected
  9. September2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.8 expected
  10. October (now)3 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.6 expected
  11. November4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.1 expected
  12. December4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.1 expected

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.

Open in the trip planner

Trip odds by start week

Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.

Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025

Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.

Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count

Trip odds by start week in Ilha do Mel: W1 3 in 10, W2 2 in 10, W3 3 in 10, W4 2 in 10, W5 under 1 in 10, W6 1 in 10, W7 under 1 in 10, W8 1 in 10, W9 under 1 in 10, W10 1 in 10, W11 2 in 10, W12 1 in 10, W13 1 in 10, W14 1 in 10, W15 under 1 in 10, W16 1 in 10, W17 under 1 in 10, W18 under 1 in 10, W19 2 in 10, W20 1 in 10, W21 under 1 in 10, W22 under 1 in 10, W23 1 in 10, W24 1 in 10, W25 1 in 10, W26 under 1 in 10, W27 1 in 10, W28 1 in 10, W29 under 1 in 10, W30 under 1 in 10, W31 2 in 10, W32 4 in 10, W33 3 in 10, W34 3 in 10, W35 1 in 10, W36 1 in 10, W37 under 1 in 10, W38 2 in 10, W39 3 in 10, W40 3 in 10, W41 3 in 10, W42 2 in 10, W43 3 in 10, W44 4 in 10, W45 3 in 10, W46 6 in 10, W47 5 in 10, W48 3 in 10, W49 4 in 10, W50 3 in 10, W51 5 in 10, W52 5 in 10

3 in 10

trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).

Zero wind trips: fewer than 1 in 20

about 3.7 kite days expected out of 10

Kite days per trip, 63 trips

Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).

How the wind behaves

In November, the windiest month

  • Too light 59 %
  • Kiteable 41 %
  • Too strong 0 %

Too light on 59 %, kiteable on 41 %, too strong on 0 % of days.

Best hours: 15:00 to 18:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.

NESW

Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors

Wind mostly from ENE (68°), fairly steady direction.

Kitesurfing at Ilha do Mel: quick answers

When is the best time to kitesurf at Ilha do Mel?

No month reaches 50 % kite days. The windiest month is November, when 41 % of days were kite days from 2017 to 2025.

Is Ilha do Mel windy in October?

Sometimes. 36 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 11 days in a typical October. 3 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.

What is the water temperature at Ilha do Mel?

The water ranges from 20 °C in July to 29 °C in February. In October it is about 23 °C (wetsuit: spring suit).

How many kite days does Ilha do Mel get in a year?

About 102 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.

Live forecast

The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.

Live forecast from Windy

The forecast map for Ilha do Mel comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.

Spot facts

Region
Paraná
Country
Brazil
Water body
Sea, from Natural Earth map data
Nearest airport
Curitiba-Afonso Pena International Airport (CWB), 89 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
Time zone
UTC-03:00 in October
Coordinates
-25.5414, -48.2928
Model
ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Satellite view of Ilha do Mel

Conditions, checked against kite guides

Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.

Not yet checked against kite guides. We research spot conditions one by one and show only what a kite source says.

Nearby kite spots in Paraná

Kite days in October, % of days

  1. Brava Guaratuba

    Brazil · 7 points fewer kite days than Ilha do Mel in October

    29 %
    January: 23 % kite days (Possible)February: 12 % kite days (Off)March: 14 % kite days (Off)April: 13 % kite days (Off)May: 13 % kite days (Off)June: 10 % kite days (Off)July: 11 % kite days (Off)August: 18 % kite days (Off)September: 18 % kite days (Off)October: 29 % kite days (Possible)November: 33 % kite days (Possible)December: 30 % kite days (Possible)
    Kite days by month at Brava Guaratuba: Jan 23 %, Feb 12 %, Mar 14 %, Apr 13 %, May 13 %, Jun 10 %, Jul 11 %, Aug 18 %, Sep 18 %, Oct 29 %, Nov 33 %, Dec 30 %

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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025

Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Confidence: high.

Cite this

In October, 36 % of days at Ilha do Mel met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/ilha-do-mel

Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.