Sea · Bahia · Brazil
Jaguaribe
Kite days peak in November at 44 %.
A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.
- Prime 60 % and more
- Good 40 to 59 %
- Possible 20 to 39 %
- Off under 20 %
- No data hatched
- Ringed: this month
Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.
Confidence highHourly model data, 2017 to 2025, checked against the season shape of a nearby weather station, a regional model or a documented season.
Month by month
- Kite days
- 38 % Possibleabout 12 of 31 days
- Too light, kiteable, too strong
- Too light 62 %
- Kiteable 38 %
- Too strong 0 %
- 10 day trip
- 4 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 4.1 expected
- Best hours
- 14:00 to 17:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
- Daylight
- 12.4 h
- Water
- 26 °C, shorty
- Air
- 26 °Cdaily maximum, 26 °C during kite hours
- Rain
- 12 of 31with 1 mm or more
- In one sentence
In October, Jaguaribe averaged 12 kite days out of 31 (38 %). Water 26 °C, shorty. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
| Kite days% of days | 24 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 33 | 29 | 29 | 38 | 44 | 38 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdictshare plus good years | Possible | Off | Off | Off | Off | Possible | Possible | Possible | Possible | Possible | Good | Possible |
| 10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite days | 1 in 10 | 1 in 10 | 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | 1 in 10 | 2 in 10 | 3 in 10 | 2 in 10 | 2 in 10 | 4 in 10 | 5 in 10 | 4 in 10 |
| Good yearsof 0, reached 50 % | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Best hourshour of day, most often 12 to 35 kn | 16 to 17 | 16 to 17 | 17 to 17 | · | 10 to 16 | 10 to 16 | 10 to 16 | 10 to 16 | 12 to 16 | 14 to 17 | 14 to 17 | 15 to 17 |
| Daylighth | 12.8 | 12.5 | 12.2 | 11.8 | 11.5 | 11.4 | 11.4 | 11.7 | 12.0 | 12.4 | 12.7 | 12.9 |
| Water°C at the surface | 27 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 27 |
| Air°C, daily maximum | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 27 |
| Rain days1 mm or more | 14 of 31 | 15 of 28 | 19 of 31 | 22 of 30 | 23 of 31 | 24 of 30 | 23 of 31 | 19 of 31 | 16 of 30 | 12 of 31 | 14 of 30 | 11 of 31 |
| Wetsuitfor that water and the air on kite days, + boots and gloves | shorts | shorts | shorts | shorts | shorts | shorts | shorty | shorty | shorty | shorty | shorts | shorts |
- In January, Jaguaribe averaged 8 kite days out of 31 (24 %). Water 27 °C, boardshorts. 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in January got at least 5 kite days.
- In February, Jaguaribe averaged 5 kite days out of 28 (18 %). Water 29 °C, boardshorts. 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in February got at least 5 kite days.
- In March, Jaguaribe averaged 3 kite days out of 31 (11 %). Water 29 °C, boardshorts. 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in March got at least 5 kite days.
- In April, Jaguaribe averaged 3 kite days out of 30 (9 %). Water 29 °C, boardshorts. under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in April got at least 5 kite days.
- In May, Jaguaribe averaged 6 kite days out of 31 (19 %). Water 28 °C, boardshorts. 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in May got at least 5 kite days.
- In June, Jaguaribe averaged 7 kite days out of 30 (25 %). Water 27 °C, boardshorts. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in June got at least 5 kite days.
- In July, Jaguaribe averaged 10 kite days out of 31 (33 %). Water 26 °C, shorty. 3 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in July got at least 5 kite days.
- In August, Jaguaribe averaged 9 kite days out of 31 (29 %). Water 26 °C, shorty. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in August got at least 5 kite days.
- In September, Jaguaribe averaged 9 kite days out of 30 (29 %). Water 26 °C, shorty. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in September got at least 5 kite days.
- In October, Jaguaribe averaged 12 kite days out of 31 (38 %). Water 26 °C, shorty. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
- In November, Jaguaribe averaged 13 kite days out of 30 (44 %). Water 27 °C, boardshorts. 5 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in November got at least 5 kite days.
- In December, Jaguaribe averaged 12 kite days out of 31 (38 %). Water 27 °C, boardshorts. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in December got at least 5 kite days.
Good years are not shown here: this spot has no complete per year values, because the two models drift apart over the years. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.
Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds
Trip odds at Jaguaribe
How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.
- January1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.3 expected
- February1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.4 expected
- March1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.1 expected
- Aprilunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.1 expected
- May1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.0 expected
- June2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.7 expected
- July3 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.3 expected
- August2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.9 expected
- September2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.7 expected
- October (now)4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.1 expected
- November5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.4 expected
- December4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.8 expected
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Trip odds by start week
Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.
Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025
- 2
- 0
- 0
- 1
- 3
- 1
- 0
- 0
- 1
- 1
- 0
- 1
- 1
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 1
- 2
- 0
- 1
- 1
- 2
- 1
- 3
- 2
- 3
- 4
- 3
- 3
- 2
- 1
- 2
- 2
- 2
- 2
- 2
- 1
- 3
- 3
- 5
- 6
- 5
- 5
- 5
- 4
- 5
- 5
- 3
- 4
- 4
Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count
5 in 10
trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).
Zero wind trips: 1 in 10
about 4.3 kite days expected out of 10
Kite days per trip, 63 trips
Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).
How the wind behaves
In November, the windiest month
- Too light 56 %
- Kiteable 44 %
- Too strong 0 %
Too light on 56 %, kiteable on 44 %, too strong on 0 % of days.
Best hours: 14:00 to 17:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.
Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors
Wind steadily from ENE (68°).
Kitesurfing at Jaguaribe: quick answers
When is the best time to kitesurf at Jaguaribe?
No month reaches 50 % kite days. The windiest month is November, when 44 % of days were kite days from 2017 to 2025.
Is Jaguaribe windy in October?
Sometimes. 38 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 12 days in a typical October. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.
What is the water temperature at Jaguaribe?
The water ranges from 26 °C in July to 29 °C in February. In October it is about 26 °C (wetsuit: shorty).
How many kite days does Jaguaribe get in a year?
About 97 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.
Live forecast
The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.
Live forecast from Windy
The forecast map for Jaguaribe comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.
Spot facts
- Region
- Bahia
- Country
- Brazil
- Water body
- Sea, from Natural Earth map data
- Nearest airport
- Deputado Luiz Eduardo Magalhães International Airport (SSA), 9 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
- Time zone
- UTC-03:00 in October
- Coordinates
- -12.9572, -38.3891
- Model
- ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Conditions, checked against kite guides
Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.
Not yet checked against kite guides. We research spot conditions one by one and show only what a kite source says.
Nearby kite spots in Bahia
Kite days in October, % of days
- Cabucu
Brazil · 35 points fewer kite days than Jaguaribe in October
3 %Kite days by month at Cabucu: Jan 0 %, Feb 1 %, Mar 0 %, Apr 1 %, May 2 %, Jun 4 %, Jul 8 %, Aug 5 %, Sep 4 %, Oct 3 %, Nov 2 %, Dec 2 % - Costa do Sauipe
Brazil · 11 points fewer kite days than Jaguaribe in October
27 %Kite days by month at Costa do Sauipe: Jan 15 %, Feb 13 %, Mar 9 %, Apr 4 %, May 16 %, Jun 22 %, Jul 28 %, Aug 22 %, Sep 23 %, Oct 27 %, Nov 38 %, Dec 37 % - Algodoes
Brazil · 24 points fewer kite days than Jaguaribe in October
14 %Kite days by month at Algodoes: Jan 5 %, Feb 2 %, Mar 7 %, Apr 17 %, May 30 %, Jun 31 %, Jul 35 %, Aug 26 %, Sep 18 %, Oct 14 %, Nov 17 %, Dec 10 % - Arraial dAjuda
Brazil · 12 points more kite days than Jaguaribe in October
50 %Kite days by month at Arraial dAjuda: Jan 27 %, Feb 21 %, Mar 22 %, Apr 23 %, May 24 %, Jun 21 %, Jul 24 %, Aug 23 %, Sep 34 %, Oct 50 %, Nov 52 %, Dec 44 %
Plan your trip
Booking reminder
Remind me when to book Jaguaribe
One mail, about 8 weeks before your month starts, with the kite day odds for that month and the link to this page. No newsletter.
We send one confirmation mail first; the reminder is set only after you click its link, and unconfirmed addresses are deleted after 7 days. Every mail has an unsubscribe link and a delete link. Privacy
kiteCOMPASS Pro
Plan the whole trip, not just the month
Save trips, get Plan B spots for days without wind and compare three places side by side. 29 EUR per year.
kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025
Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Confidence: high.
Cite this
In October, 38 % of days at Jaguaribe met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/jaguaribeupolu
Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.