Sea · Auckland · New Zealand
Jenkins Bay
Best for kiting in January and from September to October, with 50 to 54 % kite days. Water 15 to 22 °C.
A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.
- Prime 60 % and more
- Good 40 to 59 %
- Possible 20 to 39 %
- Off under 20 %
- No data hatched
- Ringed: this month
Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.
Confidence highHourly model data, 2017 to 2025, checked against the season shape of a nearby weather station, a regional model or a documented season. Shares its model grid cell with 1 nearby spot, so the numbers describe the area, not one beach.
Month by month
- Kite days
- 51 % Goodabout 16 of 31 days
- Too light, kiteable, too strong
- Too light 49 %
- Kiteable 51 %
- Too strong 0 %
- 10 day trip
- 6 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 5.0 expected
- Best hours
- 10:00 to 18:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
- Daylight
- 13.0 h
- Water
- 16 °C, 5/4
- Air
- 16 °Cdaily maximum, 15 °C during kite hours
- Rain
- 14 of 31with 1 mm or more
- In one sentence
In October, Jenkins Bay averaged 16 kite days out of 31 (51 %). Water 16 °C, 5/4. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
| Kite days% of days | 50 | 35 | 31 | 41 | 35 | 35 | 41 | 42 | 54 | 51 | 40 | 42 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdictshare plus good years | Good | Possible | Possible | Good | Possible | Possible | Good | Good | Good | Good | Good | Good |
| 10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite days | 5 in 10 | 2 in 10 | 2 in 10 | 4 in 10 | 4 in 10 | 2 in 10 | 4 in 10 | 5 in 10 | 8 in 10 | 6 in 10 | 4 in 10 | 5 in 10 |
| Good yearsof 0, reached 50 % | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Best hourshour of day, most often 12 to 35 kn | 15 to 19 | 11 to 18 | 11 to 18 | 10 to 16 | 10 to 16 | 11 to 15 | 11 to 15 | 11 to 16 | 10 to 17 | 10 to 18 | 10 to 18 | 12 to 19 |
| Daylighth | 14.4 | 13.5 | 12.3 | 11.2 | 10.2 | 9.7 | 9.9 | 10.7 | 11.8 | 13.0 | 14.1 | 14.6 |
| Water°C at the surface | 22 | 22 | 21 | 19 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 19 | 21 |
| Air°C, daily maximum | 21 | 22 | 21 | 19 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 18 | 20 |
| Rain days1 mm or more | 10 of 31 | 10 of 28 | 10 of 31 | 12 of 30 | 12 of 31 | 14 of 30 | 15 of 31 | 14 of 31 | 14 of 30 | 14 of 31 | 12 of 30 | 13 of 31 |
| Wetsuitfor that water and the air on kite days, + boots and gloves | spring | spring | spring | 3/2 | 5/4 | 4/3 | 5/4 | 6/5+ | 5/4 | 5/4 | 4/3 | spring |
- In January, Jenkins Bay averaged 16 kite days out of 31 (50 %). Water 22 °C, spring suit. 5 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in January got at least 5 kite days.
- In February, Jenkins Bay averaged 10 kite days out of 28 (35 %). Water 22 °C, spring suit. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in February got at least 5 kite days.
- In March, Jenkins Bay averaged 10 kite days out of 31 (31 %). Water 21 °C, spring suit. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in March got at least 5 kite days.
- In April, Jenkins Bay averaged 12 kite days out of 30 (41 %). Water 19 °C, 3/2. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in April got at least 5 kite days.
- In May, Jenkins Bay averaged 11 kite days out of 31 (35 %). Water 17 °C, 5/4. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in May got at least 5 kite days.
- In June, Jenkins Bay averaged 10 kite days out of 30 (35 %). Water 15 °C, 4/3. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in June got at least 5 kite days.
- In July, Jenkins Bay averaged 13 kite days out of 31 (41 %). Water 14 °C, 5/4. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in July got at least 5 kite days.
- In August, Jenkins Bay averaged 13 kite days out of 31 (42 %). Water 13 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 5 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in August got at least 5 kite days.
- In September, Jenkins Bay averaged 16 kite days out of 30 (54 %). Water 15 °C, 5/4. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in September got at least 5 kite days.
- In October, Jenkins Bay averaged 16 kite days out of 31 (51 %). Water 16 °C, 5/4. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
- In November, Jenkins Bay averaged 12 kite days out of 30 (40 %). Water 19 °C, 4/3. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in November got at least 5 kite days.
- In December, Jenkins Bay averaged 13 kite days out of 31 (42 %). Water 21 °C, spring suit. 5 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in December got at least 5 kite days.
Good years are not shown here: this spot has no complete per year values, because the two models drift apart over the years. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.
Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds
Trip odds at Jenkins Bay
How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.
- January5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.8 expected
- February2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.3 expected
- March2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.0 expected
- April4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.1 expected
- May4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.7 expected
- June2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.4 expected
- July4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.0 expected
- August5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.3 expected
- September8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.5 expected
- October (now)6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.0 expected
- November4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.9 expected
- December5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.4 expected
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Trip odds by start week
Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.
Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025
- 5
- 4
- 6
- 6
- 5
- 3
- 0
- 2
- 3
- 2
- 2
- 2
- 2
- 5
- 6
- 3
- 2
- 2
- 2
- 4
- 4
- 5
- 1
- 1
- 4
- 3
- 3
- 3
- 5
- 4
- 4
- 5
- 5
- 4
- 5
- 8
- 7
- 8
- 8
- 7
- 7
- 5
- 7
- 5
- 4
- 5
- 5
- 4
- 4
- 2
- 5
- 7
Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count
4 in 10
trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).
Zero wind trips: fewer than 1 in 20
about 3.8 kite days expected out of 10
Kite days per trip, 63 trips
Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).
How the wind behaves
In September, the windiest month
- Too light 46 %
- Kiteable 54 %
- Too strong 0 %
Too light on 46 %, kiteable on 54 %, too strong on 0 % of days.
Best hours: 10:00 to 17:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.
Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors
Wind mostly from SW (225°), fairly steady direction.
Kitesurfing at Jenkins Bay: quick answers
When is the best time to kitesurf at Jenkins Bay?
The best months are January and September to October: from 2017 to 2025, 50 to 54 % of days in those months were kite days.
Is Jenkins Bay windy in October?
Yes, often. 51 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 16 days in a typical October. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.
What is the water temperature at Jenkins Bay?
The water ranges from 13 °C in August to 22 °C in January. In October it is about 16 °C (wetsuit: 5/4).
How many kite days does Jenkins Bay get in a year?
About 151 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.
Live forecast
The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.
Live forecast from Windy
The forecast map for Jenkins Bay comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.
Spot facts
- Region
- Auckland
- Country
- New Zealand
- Water body
- Sea, from Natural Earth map data
- Nearest airport
- Auckland International Airport (AKL), 13 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
- Time zone
- UTC+13:00 in October
- Coordinates
- -36.9634, 174.6530
- Model
- ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Conditions, checked against kite guides
Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.
Not yet checked against kite guides. We research spot conditions one by one and show only what a kite source says.
Nearby kite spots in Auckland
Kite days in October, % of days
- St. Heliers
New Zealand · 14 points more kite days than Jenkins Bay in October
65 %Kite days by month at St. Heliers: Jan 60 %, Feb 51 %, Mar 46 %, Apr 58 %, May 47 %, Jun 49 %, Jul 51 %, Aug 52 %, Sep 66 %, Oct 65 %, Nov 56 %, Dec 57 % - Milford
New Zealand · 8 points more kite days than Jenkins Bay in October
59 %Kite days by month at Milford: Jan 49 %, Feb 41 %, Mar 39 %, Apr 51 %, May 44 %, Jun 44 %, Jul 46 %, Aug 48 %, Sep 59 %, Oct 59 %, Nov 47 %, Dec 48 % - Tamaki River
New Zealand · 2 points more kite days than Jenkins Bay in October
53 %Kite days by month at Tamaki River: Jan 49 %, Feb 38 %, Mar 36 %, Apr 43 %, May 39 %, Jun 36 %, Jul 42 %, Aug 42 %, Sep 55 %, Oct 53 %, Nov 44 %, Dec 44 % - Muriwai
New Zealand · 7 points more kite days than Jenkins Bay in October
58 %Kite days by month at Muriwai: Jan 50 %, Feb 40 %, Mar 40 %, Apr 50 %, May 46 %, Jun 51 %, Jul 55 %, Aug 57 %, Sep 62 %, Oct 58 %, Nov 47 %, Dec 47 % - Browns Bay
New Zealand · 12 points more kite days than Jenkins Bay in October
63 %Kite days by month at Browns Bay: Jan 52 %, Feb 44 %, Mar 43 %, Apr 56 %, May 48 %, Jun 47 %, Jul 49 %, Aug 50 %, Sep 61 %, Oct 63 %, Nov 53 %, Dec 55 % - Manly Beach
New Zealand · 14 points more kite days than Jenkins Bay in October
65 %Kite days by month at Manly Beach: Jan 53 %, Feb 45 %, Mar 46 %, Apr 59 %, May 50 %, Jun 50 %, Jul 49 %, Aug 53 %, Sep 61 %, Oct 65 %, Nov 54 %, Dec 56 % - Orewa
New Zealand · 15 points more kite days than Jenkins Bay in October
66 %Kite days by month at Orewa: Jan 56 %, Feb 45 %, Mar 48 %, Apr 61 %, May 54 %, Jun 54 %, Jul 54 %, Aug 57 %, Sep 63 %, Oct 66 %, Nov 56 %, Dec 59 % - Omaha
New Zealand · 9 points more kite days than Jenkins Bay in October
60 %Kite days by month at Omaha: Jan 53 %, Feb 42 %, Mar 47 %, Apr 59 %, May 54 %, Jun 53 %, Jul 56 %, Aug 57 %, Sep 63 %, Oct 60 %, Nov 51 %, Dec 52 %
Plan your trip
Booking reminder
Remind me when to book Jenkins Bay
One mail, about 8 weeks before your month starts, with the kite day odds for that month and the link to this page. No newsletter.
We send one confirmation mail first; the reminder is set only after you click its link, and unconfirmed addresses are deleted after 7 days. Every mail has an unsubscribe link and a delete link. Privacy
kiteCOMPASS Pro
Plan the whole trip, not just the month
Save trips, get Plan B spots for days without wind and compare three places side by side. 29 EUR per year.
kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025
Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Shares its model grid cell with 1 nearby spot, so the numbers describe the area, not one beach. Confidence: high.
Cite this
In October, 51 % of days at Jenkins Bay met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/jenkins-bay
Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.