Sea · Western Australia · Australia
Lancelin Island
Best for kiting all year except May and June, with 56 to 92 % kite days. Water 19 to 23 °C.
A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.
- Prime 60 % and more
- Good 40 to 59 %
- Possible 20 to 39 %
- Off under 20 %
- No data hatched
- Ringed: this month
Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.
Confidence highClose model cell, both models agree on the season, 9 full years. Shares its model grid cell with 2 nearby spots, so the numbers describe the area, not one beach.
Month by month
- Kite days
- 77 % Primeabout 24 of 31 days
- Too light, kiteable, too strong
- Too light 22 %
- Kiteable 77 %
- Too strong 1 %
- Good years
- 9 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
- 10 day trip
- 9 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 7.9 expected (capped at 9 in 10)
- Best hours
- 13:00 to 17:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
- Daylight
- 12.8 h
- Water
- 20 °C, 4/3
- Air
- 19 °Cdaily maximum, 18 °C during kite hours
- Rain
- 7 of 31with 1 mm or more
- In one sentence
In October, Lancelin Island averaged 24 kite days out of 31 (77 %). Water 20 °C, 4/3. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
| Kite days% of days | 92 | 82 | 71 | 61 | 48 | 43 | 58 | 56 | 62 | 77 | 86 | 88 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdictshare plus good years | Prime | Prime | Prime | Prime | Good | Good | Good | Good | Prime | Prime | Prime | Prime |
| 10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite days | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 8 in 10 | 5 in 10 | 5 in 10 | 8 in 10 | 8 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 |
| Good yearsof 9, reached 50 % | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 4 of 9 | 2 of 9 | 7 of 9 | 8 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 |
| Best hourshour of day, most often 12 to 35 kn | 12 to 18 | 13 to 18 | 13 to 18 | 15 to 17 | 10 to 17 | 10 to 16 | 10 to 17 | 10 to 17 | 13 to 17 | 13 to 17 | 13 to 18 | 12 to 18 |
| Daylighth | 13.9 | 13.2 | 12.3 | 11.4 | 10.6 | 10.2 | 10.3 | 11.0 | 11.9 | 12.8 | 13.7 | 14.1 |
| Water°C at the surface | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
| Air°C, daily maximum | 24 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 21 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 24 |
| Rain days1 mm or more | 2 of 31 | 2 of 28 | 5 of 31 | 4 of 30 | 9 of 31 | 14 of 30 | 16 of 31 | 13 of 31 | 8 of 30 | 7 of 31 | 4 of 30 | 2 of 31 |
| Wetsuitfor that water and the air on kite days, + boots and gloves | spring | spring | spring | spring | 3/2 | 3/2 | 4/3 | 4/3 | 4/3 | 4/3 | spring | spring |
- In January, Lancelin Island averaged 29 kite days out of 31 (92 %). Water 23 °C, spring suit. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in January got at least 5 kite days.
- In February, Lancelin Island averaged 23 kite days out of 28 (82 %). Water 23 °C, spring suit. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in February got at least 5 kite days.
- In March, Lancelin Island averaged 22 kite days out of 31 (71 %). Water 23 °C, spring suit. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in March got at least 5 kite days.
- In April, Lancelin Island averaged 18 kite days out of 30 (61 %). Water 23 °C, spring suit. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in April got at least 5 kite days.
- In May, Lancelin Island averaged 15 kite days out of 31 (48 %). Water 22 °C, 3/2. 5 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in May got at least 5 kite days.
- In June, Lancelin Island averaged 13 kite days out of 30 (43 %). Water 21 °C, 3/2. 5 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in June got at least 5 kite days.
- In July, Lancelin Island averaged 18 kite days out of 31 (58 %). Water 19 °C, 4/3. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in July got at least 5 kite days.
- In August, Lancelin Island averaged 17 kite days out of 31 (56 %). Water 19 °C, 4/3. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in August got at least 5 kite days.
- In September, Lancelin Island averaged 19 kite days out of 30 (62 %). Water 19 °C, 4/3. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in September got at least 5 kite days.
- In October, Lancelin Island averaged 24 kite days out of 31 (77 %). Water 20 °C, 4/3. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
- In November, Lancelin Island averaged 26 kite days out of 30 (86 %). Water 21 °C, spring suit. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in November got at least 5 kite days.
- In December, Lancelin Island averaged 27 kite days out of 31 (88 %). Water 22 °C, spring suit. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in December got at least 5 kite days.
Good year: at least half the days of that month were kite days. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.
Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds
Trip odds at Lancelin Island
How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.
- January9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 9.1 expected
- February9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 8.1 expected
- March9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.0 expected
- April8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.0 expected
- May5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.5 expected
- June5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.6 expected
- July8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.9 expected
- August8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.6 expected
- September9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.4 expected
- October (now)9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.9 expected
- November9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 8.5 expected
- December9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 9.0 expected
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Trip odds by start week
Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.
Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025
- 9
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Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count
9 in 10
trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).
Zero wind trips: fewer than 1 in 20
about 8.2 kite days expected out of 10
Kite days per trip, 63 trips
Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).
How the wind behaves
In January, the windiest month
- Too light 8 %
- Kiteable 92 %
- Too strong 0 %
Too light on 8 %, kiteable on 92 %, too strong on 0 % of days.
Best hours: 12:00 to 18:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.
Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors
Wind steadily from S (180°).
Kitesurfing at Lancelin Island: quick answers
When is the best time to kitesurf at Lancelin Island?
The best months are all year except May and June: from 2017 to 2025, 56 to 92 % of days in those months were kite days.
Is Lancelin Island windy in October?
Yes, very. 77 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 24 days in a typical October. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.
What is the water temperature at Lancelin Island?
The water ranges from 19 °C in July to 23 °C in January. In October it is about 20 °C (wetsuit: 4/3).
How many kite days does Lancelin Island get in a year?
About 251 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.
Live forecast
The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.
Live forecast from Windy
The forecast map for Lancelin Island comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.
Spot facts
- Region
- Western Australia
- Country
- Australia
- Water body
- Sea, from Natural Earth map data
- Nearest airport
- Perth International Airport (PER), 118 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
- Time zone
- UTC+08:00 in October
- Coordinates
- -31.0295, 115.3247
- Model
- ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Conditions, checked against kite guides
Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.
Not yet checked against kite guides. We research spot conditions one by one and show only what a kite source says.
Nearby kite spots in Western Australia
Kite days in October, % of days
- Lancelin Bay
Australia · same kite days as Lancelin Island in October
77 %Kite days by month at Lancelin Bay: Jan 92 %, Feb 82 %, Mar 71 %, Apr 61 %, May 48 %, Jun 43 %, Jul 58 %, Aug 56 %, Sep 62 %, Oct 77 %, Nov 86 %, Dec 88 % - Ledge Point
Australia · same kite days as Lancelin Island in October
77 %Kite days by month at Ledge Point: Jan 92 %, Feb 83 %, Mar 68 %, Apr 60 %, May 47 %, Jun 43 %, Jul 57 %, Aug 55 %, Sep 59 %, Oct 77 %, Nov 86 %, Dec 88 % - Wedge Island
Australia · 12 points fewer kite days than Lancelin Island in October
65 %Kite days by month at Wedge Island: Jan 86 %, Feb 77 %, Mar 66 %, Apr 51 %, May 37 %, Jun 37 %, Jul 45 %, Aug 48 %, Sep 52 %, Oct 65 %, Nov 76 %, Dec 85 % - Cervantes
Australia · 2 points fewer kite days than Lancelin Island in October
75 %Kite days by month at Cervantes: Jan 91 %, Feb 79 %, Mar 67 %, Apr 49 %, May 34 %, Jun 35 %, Jul 44 %, Aug 46 %, Sep 50 %, Oct 75 %, Nov 84 %, Dec 89 % - Jurien
Australia · 3 points more kite days than Lancelin Island in October
80 %Kite days by month at Jurien: Jan 94 %, Feb 81 %, Mar 74 %, Apr 59 %, May 43 %, Jun 39 %, Jul 48 %, Aug 54 %, Sep 59 %, Oct 80 %, Nov 88 %, Dec 93 % - Little Island
Australia · 13 points fewer kite days than Lancelin Island in October
64 %Kite days by month at Little Island: Jan 89 %, Feb 77 %, Mar 62 %, Apr 40 %, May 31 %, Jun 35 %, Jul 49 %, Aug 47 %, Sep 51 %, Oct 64 %, Nov 79 %, Dec 88 % - Scarborough
Australia · 6 points fewer kite days than Lancelin Island in October
71 %Kite days by month at Scarborough: Jan 92 %, Feb 84 %, Mar 69 %, Apr 51 %, May 41 %, Jun 42 %, Jul 56 %, Aug 54 %, Sep 53 %, Oct 71 %, Nov 80 %, Dec 90 % - Greenhead
Australia · 7 points more kite days than Lancelin Island in October
84 %Kite days by month at Greenhead: Jan 95 %, Feb 87 %, Mar 79 %, Apr 65 %, May 49 %, Jun 42 %, Jul 56 %, Aug 56 %, Sep 64 %, Oct 84 %, Nov 90 %, Dec 93 %
Plan your trip
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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025
Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Shares its model grid cell with 2 nearby spots, so the numbers describe the area, not one beach. Confidence: high.
Cite this
In October, 77 % of days at Lancelin Island met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/lancelin-island
Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.