Sea · French Polynesia
Manihi
Best for kiting from May to October and from December to February, with 55 to 69 % kite days. Water 27 to 29 °C.
A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.
- Prime 60 % and more
- Good 40 to 59 %
- Possible 20 to 39 %
- Off under 20 %
- No data hatched
- Ringed: this month
Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.
Confidence highClose model cell, both models agree on the season, 9 full years.
Month by month
- Kite days
- 60 % Goodabout 19 of 31 days
- Too light, kiteable, too strong
- Too light 40 %
- Kiteable 60 %
- Too strong 0 %
- Good years
- 5 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
- 10 day trip
- 6 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 5.7 expected
- Best hours
- 10:00 to 14:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
- Daylight
- 12.4 h
- Water
- 28 °C, boardshorts
- Air
- 27 °Cdaily maximum, 26 °C during kite hours
- Rain
- 14 of 31with 1 mm or more
- In one sentence
In October, Manihi averaged 19 kite days out of 31 (60 %). Water 28 °C, boardshorts. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
| Kite days% of days | 58 | 55 | 38 | 42 | 60 | 63 | 67 | 69 | 68 | 60 | 43 | 59 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdictshare plus good years | Good | Good | Possible | Good | Prime | Prime | Prime | Prime | Prime | Good | Good | Good |
| 10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite days | 8 in 10 | 5 in 10 | 4 in 10 | 4 in 10 | 7 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 8 in 10 | 8 in 10 | 8 in 10 | 6 in 10 | 5 in 10 | 7 in 10 |
| Good yearsof 9, reached 50 % | 7 of 9 | 5 of 9 | 3 of 9 | 3 of 9 | 7 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 7 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 7 of 9 | 5 of 9 | 3 of 9 | 7 of 9 |
| Best hourshour of day, most often 12 to 35 kn | 10 to 17 | 10 to 17 | 10 to 17 | 10 to 17 | 10 to 16 | 10 to 16 | 10 to 17 | 10 to 17 | 10 to 17 | 10 to 14 | 10 to 14 | 10 to 17 |
| Daylighth | 12.9 | 12.6 | 12.2 | 11.8 | 11.5 | 11.3 | 11.4 | 11.6 | 12.0 | 12.4 | 12.8 | 13.0 |
| Water°C at the surface | 29 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 29 |
| Air°C, daily maximum | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 28 |
| Rain days1 mm or more | 22 of 31 | 20 of 28 | 21 of 31 | 19 of 30 | 17 of 31 | 15 of 30 | 12 of 31 | 12 of 31 | 13 of 30 | 14 of 31 | 19 of 30 | 21 of 31 |
| Wetsuitfor that water | boardshorts all year | |||||||||||
- In January, Manihi averaged 18 kite days out of 31 (58 %). Water 29 °C, boardshorts. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in January got at least 5 kite days.
- In February, Manihi averaged 15 kite days out of 28 (55 %). Water 29 °C, boardshorts. 5 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in February got at least 5 kite days.
- In March, Manihi averaged 12 kite days out of 31 (38 %). Water 30 °C, boardshorts. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in March got at least 5 kite days.
- In April, Manihi averaged 13 kite days out of 30 (42 %). Water 30 °C, boardshorts. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in April got at least 5 kite days.
- In May, Manihi averaged 18 kite days out of 31 (60 %). Water 29 °C, boardshorts. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in May got at least 5 kite days.
- In June, Manihi averaged 19 kite days out of 30 (63 %). Water 28 °C, boardshorts. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in June got at least 5 kite days.
- In July, Manihi averaged 21 kite days out of 31 (67 %). Water 28 °C, boardshorts. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in July got at least 5 kite days.
- In August, Manihi averaged 21 kite days out of 31 (69 %). Water 27 °C, boardshorts. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in August got at least 5 kite days.
- In September, Manihi averaged 20 kite days out of 30 (68 %). Water 27 °C, boardshorts. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in September got at least 5 kite days.
- In October, Manihi averaged 19 kite days out of 31 (60 %). Water 28 °C, boardshorts. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
- In November, Manihi averaged 13 kite days out of 30 (43 %). Water 28 °C, boardshorts. 5 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in November got at least 5 kite days.
- In December, Manihi averaged 18 kite days out of 31 (59 %). Water 29 °C, boardshorts. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in December got at least 5 kite days.
Good year: at least half the days of that month were kite days. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.
Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds
Trip odds at Manihi
How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.
- January8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.2 expected
- February5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.8 expected
- March4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.8 expected
- April4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.5 expected
- May7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.8 expected
- June9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.8 expected
- July8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.5 expected
- August8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.9 expected
- September8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.8 expected
- October (now)6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.7 expected
- November5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.8 expected
- December7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.4 expected
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Trip odds by start week
Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.
Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025
- 5
- 8
- 9
- 8
- 8
- 6
- 5
- 4
- 3
- 3
- 4
- 5
- 3
- 4
- 3
- 3
- 7
- 6
- 7
- 7
- 7
- 7
- 8
- 8
- 9
- 9
- 7
- 7
- 7
- 8
- 9
- 8
- 9
- 9
- 7
- 7
- 8
- 8
- 7
- 6
- 7
- 7
- 4
- 5
- 4
- 4
- 6
- 9
- 7
- 5
- 7
- 7
Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count
4 in 10
trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).
Zero wind trips: fewer than 1 in 20
about 3.9 kite days expected out of 10
Kite days per trip, 63 trips
Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).
How the wind behaves
In August, the windiest month
- Too light 31 %
- Kiteable 69 %
- Too strong 0 %
Too light on 31 %, kiteable on 69 %, too strong on 0 % of days.
Best hours: 10:00 to 17:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.
Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors
Wind steadily from E (90°).
Kitesurfing at Manihi: quick answers
When is the best time to kitesurf at Manihi?
The best months are May to October and December to February: from 2017 to 2025, 55 to 69 % of days in those months were kite days.
Is Manihi windy in October?
Yes, often. 60 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 19 days in a typical October. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.
What is the water temperature at Manihi?
The water ranges from 27 °C in August to 30 °C in March. In October it is about 28 °C (wetsuit: boardshorts).
How many kite days does Manihi get in a year?
About 207 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.
Live forecast
The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.
Live forecast from Windy
The forecast map for Manihi comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.
Spot facts
- Country
- French Polynesia
- Water body
- Sea, from Natural Earth map data
- Nearest airport
- Manihi Airport (XMH), 6 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
- Time zone
- UTC-10:00 in October
- Coordinates
- -14.4648, -146.0264
- Model
- ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Conditions, checked against kite guides
Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.
Not yet checked against kite guides. We research spot conditions one by one and show only what a kite source says.
Nearby kite spots in French Polynesia
Kite days in October, % of days
- Ahe
French Polynesia · 1 point more kite days than Manihi in October
61 %Kite days by month at Ahe: Jan 58 %, Feb 55 %, Mar 40 %, Apr 44 %, May 59 %, Jun 63 %, Jul 66 %, Aug 69 %, Sep 67 %, Oct 61 %, Nov 43 %, Dec 57 % - Takapoto
French Polynesia · 2 points fewer kite days than Manihi in October
58 %Kite days by month at Takapoto: Jan 58 %, Feb 56 %, Mar 39 %, Apr 46 %, May 60 %, Jun 66 %, Jul 64 %, Aug 69 %, Sep 67 %, Oct 58 %, Nov 44 %, Dec 60 % - Arutua
French Polynesia · 2 points fewer kite days than Manihi in October
58 %Kite days by month at Arutua: Jan 58 %, Feb 53 %, Mar 37 %, Apr 47 %, May 57 %, Jun 65 %, Jul 65 %, Aug 69 %, Sep 64 %, Oct 58 %, Nov 44 %, Dec 55 % - Takaroa
French Polynesia · 1 point more kite days than Manihi in October
61 %Kite days by month at Takaroa: Jan 60 %, Feb 53 %, Mar 40 %, Apr 45 %, May 60 %, Jun 68 %, Jul 66 %, Aug 72 %, Sep 72 %, Oct 61 %, Nov 46 %, Dec 61 % - Paparara
French Polynesia · 2 points fewer kite days than Manihi in October
58 %Kite days by month at Paparara: Jan 57 %, Feb 53 %, Mar 40 %, Apr 46 %, May 61 %, Jun 67 %, Jul 63 %, Aug 70 %, Sep 67 %, Oct 58 %, Nov 48 %, Dec 57 % - Raitahiti
French Polynesia · 3 points fewer kite days than Manihi in October
57 %Kite days by month at Raitahiti: Jan 58 %, Feb 52 %, Mar 36 %, Apr 47 %, May 58 %, Jun 63 %, Jul 65 %, Aug 67 %, Sep 67 %, Oct 57 %, Nov 46 %, Dec 56 % - Rangiroa Atoll
French Polynesia · same kite days as Manihi in October
60 %Kite days by month at Rangiroa Atoll: Jan 59 %, Feb 53 %, Mar 37 %, Apr 45 %, May 62 %, Jun 63 %, Jul 66 %, Aug 68 %, Sep 67 %, Oct 60 %, Nov 46 %, Dec 54 % - Fakarava
French Polynesia · 7 points fewer kite days than Manihi in October
53 %Kite days by month at Fakarava: Jan 57 %, Feb 49 %, Mar 39 %, Apr 48 %, May 57 %, Jun 66 %, Jul 61 %, Aug 64 %, Sep 66 %, Oct 53 %, Nov 49 %, Dec 53 %
Plan your trip
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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025
Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Confidence: high.
Cite this
In October, 60 % of days at Manihi met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/manihi
Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.