Sea · Region of Southern Denmark · Denmark
Osterby, Kegnæs
Best for kiting in May, in July and from September to October, with 52 to 65 % kite days. Water 13 to 19 °C. Also windy, but cold (water and air under 12 °C or short days): November to April.
A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.
- Prime 60 % and more
- Good 40 to 59 %
- Possible 20 to 39 %
- Off under 20 %
- No data hatched
- Ringed: this month
Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.
Confidence highHourly model data, 2017 to 2025, checked against the season shape of a nearby weather station, a regional model or a documented season. Shares its model grid cell with 3 nearby spots, so the numbers describe the area, not one beach.
Month by month
- Kite days
- 65 % Primeabout 20 of 31 days
- Too light, kiteable, too strong
- Too light 34 %
- Kiteable 65 %
- Too strong 1 %
- Good years
- 9 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
- 10 day trip
- 8 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 6.3 expected
- Best hours
- 10:00 to 17:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
- Daylight
- 10.6 h
- Water
- 14 °C, 5/4
- Air
- 14 °Cdaily maximum, 13 °C during kite hours
- Rain
- 15 of 31with 1 mm or more
- In one sentence
In October, Osterby, Kegnæs averaged 20 kite days out of 31 (65 %). Water 14 °C, 5/4. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
| Kite days% of days | 59 | 61 | 53 | 50 | 52 | 47 | 53 | 44 | 55 | 65 | 55 | 60 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdictshare plus good years | cold | cold | cold | cold | Good | Good | Good | Good | Good | Prime | cold | cold |
| 10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite days | 8 in 10 | 7 in 10 | 7 in 10 | 6 in 10 | 6 in 10 | 6 in 10 | 5 in 10 | 5 in 10 | 8 in 10 | 8 in 10 | 7 in 10 | 8 in 10 |
| Good yearsof 9, reached 50 % | 7 of 9 | 8 of 9 | 5 of 9 | 5 of 9 | 6 of 9 | 3 of 9 | 6 of 9 | 3 of 9 | 6 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 7 of 9 | 9 of 9 |
| Best hourshour of day, most often 12 to 35 kn | 10 to 15 | 10 to 16 | 10 to 18 | 10 to 19 | 13 to 19 | 12 to 19 | 10 to 19 | 10 to 18 | 10 to 19 | 10 to 17 | 10 to 15 | 10 to 15 |
| Daylighth | 7.9 | 9.7 | 11.8 | 14.1 | 16.1 | 17.2 | 16.7 | 15.0 | 12.8 | 10.6 | 8.5 | 7.3 |
| Water°C at the surface | 4 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 14 | 10 | 6 |
| Air°C, daily maximum | 5 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 17 | 14 | 9 | 6 |
| Rain days1 mm or more | 14 of 31 | 12 of 28 | 10 of 31 | 9 of 30 | 9 of 31 | 9 of 30 | 13 of 31 | 11 of 31 | 11 of 30 | 15 of 31 | 15 of 30 | 15 of 31 |
| Wetsuitfor that water and the air on kite days, + boots and gloves | 6/5+ | 6/5+ | 6/5+ | 6/5+ | 5/4 | 4/3 | 3/2 | 3/2 | 4/3 | 5/4 | 6/5+ | 6/5+ |
- In January, Osterby, Kegnæs averaged 18 kite days out of 31 (59 %). Water 4 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in January got at least 5 kite days.
- In February, Osterby, Kegnæs averaged 17 kite days out of 28 (61 %). Water 3 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in February got at least 5 kite days.
- In March, Osterby, Kegnæs averaged 16 kite days out of 31 (53 %). Water 5 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in March got at least 5 kite days.
- In April, Osterby, Kegnæs averaged 15 kite days out of 30 (50 %). Water 8 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in April got at least 5 kite days.
- In May, Osterby, Kegnæs averaged 16 kite days out of 31 (52 %). Water 13 °C, 5/4. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in May got at least 5 kite days.
- In June, Osterby, Kegnæs averaged 14 kite days out of 30 (47 %). Water 17 °C, 4/3. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in June got at least 5 kite days.
- In July, Osterby, Kegnæs averaged 16 kite days out of 31 (53 %). Water 19 °C, 3/2. 5 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in July got at least 5 kite days.
- In August, Osterby, Kegnæs averaged 14 kite days out of 31 (44 %). Water 19 °C, 3/2. 5 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in August got at least 5 kite days.
- In September, Osterby, Kegnæs averaged 17 kite days out of 30 (55 %). Water 18 °C, 4/3. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in September got at least 5 kite days.
- In October, Osterby, Kegnæs averaged 20 kite days out of 31 (65 %). Water 14 °C, 5/4. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
- In November, Osterby, Kegnæs averaged 17 kite days out of 30 (55 %). Water 10 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in November got at least 5 kite days.
- In December, Osterby, Kegnæs averaged 19 kite days out of 31 (60 %). Water 6 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in December got at least 5 kite days.
Good year: at least half the days of that month were kite days. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.
Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds
Trip odds at Osterby, Kegnæs
How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.
- January8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.9 expected
- February7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.7 expected
- March7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.5 expected
- April6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.0 expected
- May6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.1 expected
- June6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.0 expected
- July5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.8 expected
- August5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.6 expected
- September8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.0 expected
- October (now)8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.3 expected
- November7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.5 expected
- December8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.0 expected
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Trip odds by start week
Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.
Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025
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Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count
5 in 10
trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).
Zero wind trips: fewer than 1 in 20
about 4.9 kite days expected out of 10
Kite days per trip, 63 trips
Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).
How the wind behaves
In October, the windiest month
- Too light 34 %
- Kiteable 65 %
- Too strong 1 %
Too light on 34 %, kiteable on 65 %, too strong on 1 % of days.
Best hours: 10:00 to 17:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.
Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors
Wind direction varies, most often SW (225°).
Kitesurfing at Osterby, Kegnæs: quick answers
When is the best time to kitesurf at Osterby, Kegnæs?
The best months are May, July and September to October: from 2017 to 2025, 52 to 65 % of days in those months were kite days.
Is Osterby, Kegnæs windy in October?
Yes, very. 65 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 20 days in a typical October. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.
What is the water temperature at Osterby, Kegnæs?
The water ranges from 3 °C in February to 19 °C in July. In October it is about 14 °C (wetsuit: 5/4).
How many kite days does Osterby, Kegnæs get in a year?
About 199 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.
Live forecast
The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.
Live forecast from Windy
The forecast map for Osterby, Kegnæs comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.
Spot facts
- Region
- Region of Southern Denmark
- Country
- Denmark
- Water body
- Sea, from Natural Earth map data
- Nearest airport
- Sønderborg Airport (SGD), 14 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
- Time zone
- UTC+02:00 in October
- Coordinates
- 54.8638, 9.9107
- Model
- ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Conditions, checked against kite guides
Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.
Not yet checked against kite guides. We research spot conditions one by one and show only what a kite source says.
Nearby kite spots in Region of Southern Denmark
Kite days in October, % of days
- Als / Mommark
Denmark · same kite days as Osterby, Kegnæs in October
65 %Kite days by month at Als / Mommark: Jan 59 %, Feb 61 %, Mar 53 %, Apr 50 %, May 52 %, Jun 47 %, Jul 53 %, Aug 44 %, Sep 55 %, Oct 65 %, Nov 55 %, Dec 60 % - Nordborg
Denmark · 8 points fewer kite days than Osterby, Kegnæs in October
57 %Kite days by month at Nordborg: Jan 48 %, Feb 55 %, Mar 47 %, Apr 42 %, May 43 %, Jun 42 %, Jul 46 %, Aug 35 %, Sep 45 %, Oct 57 %, Nov 44 %, Dec 49 % - Björnö
Denmark · 5 points more kite days than Osterby, Kegnæs in October
70 %Kite days by month at Björnö: Jan 60 %, Feb 59 %, Mar 51 %, Apr 45 %, May 50 %, Jun 46 %, Jul 50 %, Aug 45 %, Sep 56 %, Oct 70 %, Nov 55 %, Dec 63 % - Skarrev
Denmark · 18 points fewer kite days than Osterby, Kegnæs in October
47 %Kite days by month at Skarrev: Jan 41 %, Feb 52 %, Mar 43 %, Apr 42 %, May 38 %, Jun 38 %, Jul 40 %, Aug 32 %, Sep 40 %, Oct 47 %, Nov 37 %, Dec 39 % - Sønderstrand
Denmark · 31 points fewer kite days than Osterby, Kegnæs in October
34 %Kite days by month at Sønderstrand: Jan 31 %, Feb 40 %, Mar 35 %, Apr 33 %, May 30 %, Jun 31 %, Jul 31 %, Aug 22 %, Sep 30 %, Oct 34 %, Nov 27 %, Dec 25 % - Spot X
Denmark · 7 points more kite days than Osterby, Kegnæs in October
72 %Kite days by month at Spot X: Jan 66 %, Feb 63 %, Mar 54 %, Apr 45 %, May 51 %, Jun 46 %, Jul 51 %, Aug 44 %, Sep 59 %, Oct 72 %, Nov 60 %, Dec 66 % - Bagenkop
Denmark · 9 points more kite days than Osterby, Kegnæs in October
74 %Kite days by month at Bagenkop: Jan 72 %, Feb 65 %, Mar 58 %, Apr 53 %, May 52 %, Jun 50 %, Jul 57 %, Aug 49 %, Sep 62 %, Oct 74 %, Nov 67 %, Dec 70 % - Flyvesandet Strand
Denmark · 1 point more kite days than Osterby, Kegnæs in October
66 %Kite days by month at Flyvesandet Strand: Jan 62 %, Feb 63 %, Mar 56 %, Apr 54 %, May 50 %, Jun 49 %, Jul 54 %, Aug 45 %, Sep 58 %, Oct 66 %, Nov 58 %, Dec 65 %
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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025
Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Shares its model grid cell with 3 nearby spots, so the numbers describe the area, not one beach. Confidence: high.
Cite this
In October, 65 % of days at Osterby, Kegnæs met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/osterby-kegnaes
Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.