Sea · New South Wales · Australia
Palm Beach
Kite days peak in November at 30 %.
A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.
- Prime 60 % and more
- Good 40 to 59 %
- Possible 20 to 39 %
- Off under 20 %
- No data hatched
- Ringed: this month
Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.
Confidence highClose model cell, both models agree on the season, 9 full years.
Month by month
- Kite days
- 26 % Possibleabout 8 of 31 days
- Too light, kiteable, too strong
- Too light 74 %
- Kiteable 26 %
- Too strong 0 %
- Good years
- 0 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
- 10 day trip
- 1 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 2.7 expected
- Best hours
- 14:00 to 17:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
- Daylight
- 12.9 h
- Water
- 20 °C, 3/2
- Air
- 21 °Cdaily maximum, 19 °C during kite hours
- Rain
- 10 of 31with 1 mm or more
- In one sentence
In October, Palm Beach averaged 8 kite days out of 31 (26 %). Water 20 °C, 3/2. 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
| Kite days% of days | 28 | 26 | 22 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 19 | 20 | 24 | 26 | 30 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdictshare plus good years | Possible | Possible | Possible | Off | Off | Off | Off | Possible | Possible | Possible | Possible | Possible |
| 10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite days | 1 in 10 | 1 in 10 | 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | 1 in 10 | 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | 1 in 10 | 2 in 10 | 2 in 10 |
| Good yearsof 9, reached 50 % | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 |
| Best hourshour of day, most often 12 to 35 kn | 16 to 18 | 15 to 18 | 15 to 18 | 15 to 16 | 12 to 16 | 13 to 15 | 13 to 16 | 13 to 16 | 13 to 16 | 14 to 17 | 15 to 16 | 15 to 18 |
| Daylighth | 14.1 | 13.3 | 12.3 | 11.3 | 10.4 | 10.0 | 10.2 | 10.9 | 11.9 | 12.9 | 13.8 | 14.3 |
| Water°C at the surface | 23 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
| Air°C, daily maximum | 25 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 24 |
| Rain days1 mm or more | 12 of 31 | 13 of 28 | 15 of 31 | 10 of 30 | 10 of 31 | 10 of 30 | 8 of 31 | 7 of 31 | 7 of 30 | 10 of 31 | 10 of 30 | 10 of 31 |
| Wetsuitfor that water and the air on kite days, + boots and gloves | spring | shorty | spring | spring | 3/2 | 4/3 | 4/3 | 4/3 | 4/3 | 3/2 | spring | spring |
- In January, Palm Beach averaged 9 kite days out of 31 (28 %). Water 23 °C, spring suit. 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in January got at least 5 kite days.
- In February, Palm Beach averaged 7 kite days out of 28 (26 %). Water 24 °C, shorty. 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in February got at least 5 kite days.
- In March, Palm Beach averaged 7 kite days out of 31 (22 %). Water 23 °C, spring suit. 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in March got at least 5 kite days.
- In April, Palm Beach averaged 4 kite days out of 30 (13 %). Water 22 °C, spring suit. under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in April got at least 5 kite days.
- In May, Palm Beach averaged 5 kite days out of 31 (15 %). Water 21 °C, 3/2. under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in May got at least 5 kite days.
- In June, Palm Beach averaged 5 kite days out of 30 (15 %). Water 19 °C, 4/3. under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in June got at least 5 kite days.
- In July, Palm Beach averaged 6 kite days out of 31 (19 %). Water 18 °C, 4/3. 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in July got at least 5 kite days.
- In August, Palm Beach averaged 6 kite days out of 31 (20 %). Water 18 °C, 4/3. 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in August got at least 5 kite days.
- In September, Palm Beach averaged 7 kite days out of 30 (24 %). Water 19 °C, 4/3. under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in September got at least 5 kite days.
- In October, Palm Beach averaged 8 kite days out of 31 (26 %). Water 20 °C, 3/2. 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
- In November, Palm Beach averaged 9 kite days out of 30 (30 %). Water 21 °C, spring suit. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in November got at least 5 kite days.
- In December, Palm Beach averaged 9 kite days out of 31 (28 %). Water 22 °C, spring suit. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in December got at least 5 kite days.
Good year: at least half the days of that month were kite days. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.
Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds
Trip odds at Palm Beach
How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.
- January1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.7 expected
- February1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.6 expected
- March1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.9 expected
- Aprilunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.3 expected
- Mayunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.7 expected
- Juneunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.4 expected
- July1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.8 expected
- August1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.2 expected
- Septemberunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.2 expected
- October (now)1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.7 expected
- November2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.0 expected
- December2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.0 expected
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Trip odds by start week
Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.
Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025
- 1
- 1
- 2
- 1
- 3
- 1
- 2
- 1
- 1
- 0
- 1
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 1
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 1
- 0
- 0
- 2
- 1
- 1
- 1
- 1
- 0
- 0
- 2
- 2
- 1
- 1
- 0
- 1
- 2
- 3
- 2
- 1
- 1
- 1
- 3
Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count
1 in 10
trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).
Zero wind trips: fewer than 1 in 20
about 2.8 kite days expected out of 10
Kite days per trip, 63 trips
Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).
How the wind behaves
In November, the windiest month
- Too light 70 %
- Kiteable 30 %
- Too strong 0 %
Too light on 70 %, kiteable on 30 %, too strong on 0 % of days.
Best hours: 15:00 to 16:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.
Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors
Wind direction varies, most often NE (45°).
Kitesurfing at Palm Beach: quick answers
When is the best time to kitesurf at Palm Beach?
No month reaches 50 % kite days. The windiest month is November, when 30 % of days were kite days from 2017 to 2025.
Is Palm Beach windy in October?
Sometimes. 26 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 8 days in a typical October. 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.
What is the water temperature at Palm Beach?
The water ranges from 18 °C in July to 24 °C in February. In October it is about 20 °C (wetsuit: 3/2).
How many kite days does Palm Beach get in a year?
About 81 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.
Live forecast
The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.
Live forecast from Windy
The forecast map for Palm Beach comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.
Spot facts
- Region
- New South Wales
- Country
- Australia
- Water body
- Sea, from Natural Earth map data
- Nearest airport
- Sydney Kingsford Smith International Airport (SYD), 42 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
- Time zone
- UTC+11:00 in October
- Coordinates
- -33.5863, 151.3270
- Model
- ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Conditions, checked against kite guides
Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.
- A flat area and real waves, both normal here.
- A flat or sheltered area exists for riding.
- Breaking waves are normal in the season.
- Learning possible in parts: a flat area plus a wave zone.
- Ocean side has 1 to 4 ft sucky waves in summer NE sea breeze, while the Pittwater bayside a few hundred metres away is flat with no waves and listed for beginners.
Checked 2026-10-08, confidence high (two or more kite sources agree). Sources: se.kiteforum.com, se.kiteforum.com.
Nearby kite spots in New South Wales
Kite days in October, % of days
- Newy
Australia · 35 points more kite days than Palm Beach in October
61 %Kite days by month at Newy: Jan 66 %, Feb 64 %, Mar 53 %, Apr 30 %, May 34 %, Jun 40 %, Jul 38 %, Aug 43 %, Sep 55 %, Oct 61 %, Nov 63 %, Dec 63 % - Collaroy
Australia · 28 points more kite days than Palm Beach in October
54 %Kite days by month at Collaroy: Jan 58 %, Feb 59 %, Mar 50 %, Apr 28 %, May 32 %, Jun 37 %, Jul 38 %, Aug 39 %, Sep 52 %, Oct 54 %, Nov 57 %, Dec 60 % - The Bend
Australia · 32 points more kite days than Palm Beach in October
58 %Kite days by month at The Bend: Jan 63 %, Feb 61 %, Mar 51 %, Apr 28 %, May 29 %, Jun 39 %, Jul 35 %, Aug 40 %, Sep 52 %, Oct 58 %, Nov 59 %, Dec 62 % - Sydney, Australia
Australia · 28 points more kite days than Palm Beach in October
54 %Kite days by month at Sydney, Australia: Jan 61 %, Feb 59 %, Mar 47 %, Apr 26 %, May 28 %, Jun 37 %, Jul 36 %, Aug 40 %, Sep 51 %, Oct 54 %, Nov 55 %, Dec 59 % - Maroubra Beach
Australia · 40 points more kite days than Palm Beach in October
66 %Kite days by month at Maroubra Beach: Jan 76 %, Feb 72 %, Mar 60 %, Apr 37 %, May 38 %, Jun 43 %, Jul 41 %, Aug 47 %, Sep 59 %, Oct 66 %, Nov 70 %, Dec 70 % - Kurnell
Australia · 45 points more kite days than Palm Beach in October
71 %Kite days by month at Kurnell: Jan 77 %, Feb 72 %, Mar 62 %, Apr 40 %, May 38 %, Jun 45 %, Jul 41 %, Aug 48 %, Sep 63 %, Oct 71 %, Nov 73 %, Dec 73 % - Towra
Australia · 37 points more kite days than Palm Beach in October
63 %Kite days by month at Towra: Jan 69 %, Feb 67 %, Mar 57 %, Apr 38 %, May 36 %, Jun 38 %, Jul 38 %, Aug 42 %, Sep 58 %, Oct 63 %, Nov 64 %, Dec 67 % - Seven Mile Beach
Australia · 34 points more kite days than Palm Beach in October
60 %Kite days by month at Seven Mile Beach: Jan 67 %, Feb 65 %, Mar 51 %, Apr 37 %, May 41 %, Jun 42 %, Jul 46 %, Aug 41 %, Sep 58 %, Oct 60 %, Nov 62 %, Dec 67 %
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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025
Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Confidence: high.
Cite this
In October, 26 % of days at Palm Beach met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/palm-beach-aus
Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.