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12 kn+. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots between 10:00 and 19:00. How we count.

Sea · Sonora · Mexico

Rocky Point

Kite days peak in July at 48 %.

A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.

  1. J22
  2. F26
  3. M40
  4. A44
  5. M44
  6. J43
  7. J48
  8. A47
  9. S40
  10. O29
  11. N19
  12. D19
Kite days by month at Rocky Point: Jan 22 %, Feb 26 %, Mar 40 %, Apr 44 %, May 44 %, Jun 43 %, Jul 48 %, Aug 47 %, Sep 40 %, Oct 29 %, Nov 19 %, Dec 19 %
  • Prime 60 % and more
  • Good 40 to 59 %
  • Possible 20 to 39 %
  • Off under 20 %
  • No data hatched
  • Ringed: this month

Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.

Confidence highHourly model data, 2017 to 2025, checked against the season shape of a nearby weather station, a regional model or a documented season.

See the best monthsLive forecastShow on map

Month by month

MonthKite days% of days, verdict10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite daysWater°C, what to wear
  • Kite days
    29 % Possibleabout 9 of 31 days
    Too light, kiteable, too strong
    • Too light 71 %
    • Kiteable 29 %
    • Too strong 0 %
    Good years
    2017: 29 % kite days2018: 26 % kite days2019: 36 % kite days2020: 26 % kite days2021: 36 % kite days2022: 29 % kite days2023: 45 % kite days2024: 10 % kite days2025: 26 % kite days0 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
    10 day trip
    1 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 3.0 expected
    Best hours
    15:00 to 17:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
    Daylight
    11.4 h
    Water
    28 °C, boardshorts
    Air
    28 °Cdaily maximum, 28 °C during kite hours
    Rain
    1 of 31with 1 mm or more
    In one sentence

    In October, Rocky Point averaged 9 kite days out of 31 (29 %). Water 28 °C, boardshorts. 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.

Good year: at least half the days of that month were kite days. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.

Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds

Trip odds at Rocky Point

How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.

  1. January1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.2 expected
  2. February1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.7 expected
  3. March4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.2 expected
  4. April5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.6 expected
  5. May5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.1 expected
  6. June5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.6 expected
  7. July5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.5 expected
  8. August6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.7 expected
  9. September3 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.8 expected
  10. October (now)1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.0 expected
  11. Novemberunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.6 expected
  12. December1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.1 expected

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.

Open in the trip planner

Trip odds by start week

Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.

Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025

Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.

Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count

Trip odds by start week in Rocky Point: W1 under 1 in 10, W2 1 in 10, W3 2 in 10, W4 under 1 in 10, W5 1 in 10, W6 1 in 10, W7 1 in 10, W8 2 in 10, W9 2 in 10, W10 3 in 10, W11 5 in 10, W12 6 in 10, W13 5 in 10, W14 5 in 10, W15 5 in 10, W16 4 in 10, W17 6 in 10, W18 6 in 10, W19 7 in 10, W20 4 in 10, W21 2 in 10, W22 4 in 10, W23 3 in 10, W24 5 in 10, W25 5 in 10, W26 7 in 10, W27 6 in 10, W28 7 in 10, W29 4 in 10, W30 3 in 10, W31 7 in 10, W32 8 in 10, W33 4 in 10, W34 4 in 10, W35 4 in 10, W36 5 in 10, W37 3 in 10, W38 3 in 10, W39 2 in 10, W40 1 in 10, W41 2 in 10, W42 1 in 10, W43 2 in 10, W44 2 in 10, W45 under 1 in 10, W46 under 1 in 10, W47 under 1 in 10, W48 under 1 in 10, W49 1 in 10, W50 under 1 in 10, W51 1 in 10, W52 3 in 10

under 1 in 10

trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).

Zero wind trips: 2 in 10

about 1.3 kite days expected out of 10

Kite days per trip, 63 trips

Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).

How the wind behaves

In July, the windiest month

  • Too light 52 %
  • Kiteable 48 %
  • Too strong 0 %

Too light on 52 %, kiteable on 48 %, too strong on 0 % of days.

Best hours: 12:00 to 14:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.

NESW

Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors

Wind steadily from S (180°).

Kitesurfing at Rocky Point: quick answers

When is the best time to kitesurf at Rocky Point?

No month reaches 50 % kite days. The windiest month is July, when 48 % of days were kite days from 2017 to 2025.

Is Rocky Point windy in October?

Sometimes. 29 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 9 days in a typical October. 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.

What is the water temperature at Rocky Point?

The water ranges from 17 °C in January to 32 °C in August. In October it is about 28 °C (wetsuit: boardshorts).

How many kite days does Rocky Point get in a year?

About 128 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.

Live forecast

The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.

Live forecast from Windy

The forecast map for Rocky Point comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.

Spot facts

Region
Sonora
Country
Mexico
Water body
Sea, from Natural Earth map data
Nearest airport
General Rodolfo Sánchez Taboada International Airport (MXL), 245 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
Time zone
UTC-07:00 in October
Coordinates
31.2414, -113.2337
Model
ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Satellite view of Rocky Point

Conditions, checked against kite guides

Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.

Not yet checked against kite guides. We research spot conditions one by one and show only what a kite source says.

Nearby kite spots in Sonora

Kite days in October, % of days

  1. Puerto Penasco

    Mexico · 5 points more kite days than Rocky Point in October

    34 %
    January: 34 % kite days (Possible)February: 34 % kite days (Possible)March: 36 % kite days (Possible)April: 39 % kite days (Possible)May: 41 % kite days (Good)June: 44 % kite days (Good)July: 54 % kite days (Good)August: 48 % kite days (Good)September: 36 % kite days (Possible)October: 34 % kite days (Possible)November: 29 % kite days (Possible)December: 31 % kite days (Possible)
    Kite days by month at Puerto Penasco: Jan 34 %, Feb 34 %, Mar 36 %, Apr 39 %, May 41 %, Jun 44 %, Jul 54 %, Aug 48 %, Sep 36 %, Oct 34 %, Nov 29 %, Dec 31 %
  2. El Golfo de Santa Clara

    Mexico · 5 points fewer kite days than Rocky Point in October

    24 %
    January: 38 % kite days (Possible)February: 32 % kite days (Possible)March: 24 % kite days (Possible)April: 27 % kite days (Possible)May: 36 % kite days (Possible)June: 46 % kite days (Good)July: 60 % kite days (Prime)August: 48 % kite days (Good)September: 28 % kite days (Possible)October: 24 % kite days (Possible)November: 36 % kite days (Possible)December: 37 % kite days (Possible)
    Kite days by month at El Golfo de Santa Clara: Jan 38 %, Feb 32 %, Mar 24 %, Apr 27 %, May 36 %, Jun 46 %, Jul 60 %, Aug 48 %, Sep 28 %, Oct 24 %, Nov 36 %, Dec 37 %
  3. Playa Los Algodones

    Mexico · 8 points more kite days than Rocky Point in October

    37 %
    January: 50 % kite days (Good)February: 54 % kite days (Good)March: 57 % kite days (Good)April: 43 % kite days (Good)May: 28 % kite days (Possible)June: 24 % kite days (Possible)July: 17 % kite days (Off)August: 18 % kite days (Off)September: 27 % kite days (Possible)October: 37 % kite days (Possible)November: 37 % kite days (Possible)December: 38 % kite days (Possible)
    Kite days by month at Playa Los Algodones: Jan 50 %, Feb 54 %, Mar 57 %, Apr 43 %, May 28 %, Jun 24 %, Jul 17 %, Aug 18 %, Sep 27 %, Oct 37 %, Nov 37 %, Dec 38 %

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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025

Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Confidence: high.

Cite this

In October, 29 % of days at Rocky Point met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/rocky-point

Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.