Sea · French Polynesia
Tubuai
Best for kiting all year except February and March, with 50 to 69 % kite days. Water 23 to 26 °C.
A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.
- Prime 60 % and more
- Good 40 to 59 %
- Possible 20 to 39 %
- Off under 20 %
- No data hatched
- Ringed: this month
Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.
Confidence highHourly model data, 2017 to 2025, checked against the season shape of a nearby weather station, a regional model or a documented season.
Month by month
- Kite days
- 69 % Primeabout 21 of 31 days
- Too light, kiteable, too strong
- Too light 31 %
- Kiteable 69 %
- Too strong 0 %
- 10 day trip
- 8 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 6.8 expected
- Best hours
- 10:00 to 17:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
- Daylight
- 12.6 h
- Water
- 24 °C, shorty
- Air
- 23 °Cdaily maximum, 22 °C during kite hours
- Rain
- 14 of 31with 1 mm or more
- In one sentence
In October, Tubuai averaged 21 kite days out of 31 (69 %). Water 24 °C, shorty. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
| Kite days% of days | 56 | 49 | 49 | 61 | 61 | 66 | 59 | 67 | 64 | 69 | 62 | 50 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdictshare plus good years | Good | Good | Good | Prime | Prime | Prime | Good | Prime | Prime | Prime | Prime | Good |
| 10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite days | 7 in 10 | 5 in 10 | 5 in 10 | 7 in 10 | 8 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 7 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 8 in 10 | 8 in 10 | 7 in 10 | 6 in 10 |
| Good yearsof 0, reached 50 % | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Best hourshour of day, most often 12 to 35 kn | 10 to 18 | 10 to 18 | 10 to 17 | 10 to 17 | 10 to 16 | 10 to 16 | 10 to 16 | 10 to 17 | 10 to 17 | 10 to 17 | 10 to 17 | 10 to 18 |
| Daylighth | 13.4 | 12.9 | 12.2 | 11.6 | 11.0 | 10.7 | 10.8 | 11.3 | 11.9 | 12.6 | 13.2 | 13.5 |
| Water°C at the surface | 26 | 27 | 28 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 25 |
| Air°C, daily maximum | 27 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 26 |
| Rain days1 mm or more | 20 of 31 | 20 of 28 | 19 of 31 | 15 of 30 | 15 of 31 | 12 of 30 | 12 of 31 | 12 of 31 | 13 of 30 | 14 of 31 | 15 of 30 | 18 of 31 |
| Wetsuitfor that water and the air on kite days, + boots and gloves | shorty | shorts | shorts | shorty | shorty | shorty | shorty | spring | spring | shorty | shorty | shorty |
- In January, Tubuai averaged 17 kite days out of 31 (56 %). Water 26 °C, shorty. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in January got at least 5 kite days.
- In February, Tubuai averaged 14 kite days out of 28 (49 %). Water 27 °C, boardshorts. 5 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in February got at least 5 kite days.
- In March, Tubuai averaged 15 kite days out of 31 (49 %). Water 28 °C, boardshorts. 5 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in March got at least 5 kite days.
- In April, Tubuai averaged 18 kite days out of 30 (61 %). Water 26 °C, shorty. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in April got at least 5 kite days.
- In May, Tubuai averaged 19 kite days out of 31 (61 %). Water 25 °C, shorty. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in May got at least 5 kite days.
- In June, Tubuai averaged 20 kite days out of 30 (66 %). Water 24 °C, shorty. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in June got at least 5 kite days.
- In July, Tubuai averaged 18 kite days out of 31 (59 %). Water 24 °C, shorty. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in July got at least 5 kite days.
- In August, Tubuai averaged 21 kite days out of 31 (67 %). Water 23 °C, spring suit. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in August got at least 5 kite days.
- In September, Tubuai averaged 19 kite days out of 30 (64 %). Water 23 °C, spring suit. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in September got at least 5 kite days.
- In October, Tubuai averaged 21 kite days out of 31 (69 %). Water 24 °C, shorty. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
- In November, Tubuai averaged 18 kite days out of 30 (62 %). Water 24 °C, shorty. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in November got at least 5 kite days.
- In December, Tubuai averaged 15 kite days out of 31 (50 %). Water 25 °C, shorty. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in December got at least 5 kite days.
Good years are not shown here: this spot has no complete per year values, because the two models drift apart over the years. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.
Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds
Trip odds at Tubuai
How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.
- January7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.5 expected
- February5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.8 expected
- March5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.0 expected
- April7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.2 expected
- May8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.2 expected
- June9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.9 expected
- July7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.7 expected
- August9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.7 expected
- September8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.5 expected
- October (now)8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.8 expected
- November7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.8 expected
- December6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.2 expected
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Trip odds by start week
Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.
Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025
- 8
- 8
- 7
- 6
- 6
- 7
- 6
- 3
- 5
- 7
- 5
- 5
- 6
- 7
- 8
- 8
- 6
- 7
- 9
- 7
- 7
- 8
- 8
- 9
- 8
- 9
- 7
- 7
- 6
- 8
- 8
- 8
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 8
- 8
- 8
- 9
- 9
- 7
- 8
- 8
- 9
- 8
- 7
- 6
- 6
- 6
- 7
- 4
- 5
Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count
8 in 10
trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).
Zero wind trips: fewer than 1 in 20
about 5.7 kite days expected out of 10
Kite days per trip, 63 trips
Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).
How the wind behaves
In October, the windiest month
- Too light 31 %
- Kiteable 69 %
- Too strong 0 %
Too light on 31 %, kiteable on 69 %, too strong on 0 % of days.
Best hours: 10:00 to 17:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.
Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors
Wind mostly from ESE (113°), fairly steady direction.
Kitesurfing at Tubuai: quick answers
When is the best time to kitesurf at Tubuai?
The best months are all year except February and March: from 2017 to 2025, 50 to 69 % of days in those months were kite days.
Is Tubuai windy in October?
Yes, very. 69 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 21 days in a typical October. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.
What is the water temperature at Tubuai?
The water ranges from 23 °C in August to 28 °C in March. In October it is about 24 °C (wetsuit: shorty).
How many kite days does Tubuai get in a year?
About 217 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.
Live forecast
The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.
Live forecast from Windy
The forecast map for Tubuai comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.
Spot facts
- Country
- French Polynesia
- Water body
- Sea, from Natural Earth map data
- Nearest airport
- Tubuai Airport (TUB), 8 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
- Time zone
- UTC-10:00 in October
- Coordinates
- -23.3501, -149.4446
- Model
- ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Conditions, checked against kite guides
Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.
Not yet checked against kite guides. We research spot conditions one by one and show only what a kite source says.
Nearby kite spots in French Polynesia
Kite days in October, % of days
- Raivavae
French Polynesia · 3 points fewer kite days than Tubuai in October
66 %Kite days by month at Raivavae: Jan 54 %, Feb 50 %, Mar 48 %, Apr 62 %, May 58 %, Jun 69 %, Jul 58 %, Aug 65 %, Sep 64 %, Oct 66 %, Nov 62 %, Dec 56 % - Arei Point
French Polynesia · 9 points more kite days than Tubuai in October
78 %Kite days by month at Arei Point: Jan 58 %, Feb 52 %, Mar 51 %, Apr 63 %, May 61 %, Jun 69 %, Jul 66 %, Aug 63 %, Sep 70 %, Oct 78 %, Nov 64 %, Dec 54 % - Rimatara
French Polynesia · 7 points more kite days than Tubuai in October
76 %Kite days by month at Rimatara: Jan 56 %, Feb 53 %, Mar 51 %, Apr 63 %, May 63 %, Jun 68 %, Jul 68 %, Aug 66 %, Sep 69 %, Oct 76 %, Nov 65 %, Dec 58 % - Teahupoo
French Polynesia · 35 points fewer kite days than Tubuai in October
34 %Kite days by month at Teahupoo: Jan 18 %, Feb 15 %, Mar 10 %, Apr 15 %, May 20 %, Jun 29 %, Jul 38 %, Aug 31 %, Sep 33 %, Oct 34 %, Nov 28 %, Dec 18 % - Vairao
French Polynesia · 55 points fewer kite days than Tubuai in October
14 %Kite days by month at Vairao: Jan 9 %, Feb 8 %, Mar 4 %, Apr 8 %, May 8 %, Jun 12 %, Jul 20 %, Aug 21 %, Sep 16 %, Oct 14 %, Nov 9 %, Dec 8 % - Maraa
French Polynesia · 30 points fewer kite days than Tubuai in October
39 %Kite days by month at Maraa: Jan 16 %, Feb 16 %, Mar 12 %, Apr 20 %, May 19 %, Jun 26 %, Jul 40 %, Aug 37 %, Sep 33 %, Oct 39 %, Nov 31 %, Dec 12 % - Sapinus
French Polynesia · 58 points fewer kite days than Tubuai in October
11 %Kite days by month at Sapinus: Jan 20 %, Feb 21 %, Mar 4 %, Apr 5 %, May 8 %, Jun 11 %, Jul 15 %, Aug 20 %, Sep 9 %, Oct 11 %, Nov 13 %, Dec 12 % - Atiha Lagoon
French Polynesia · 34 points fewer kite days than Tubuai in October
35 %Kite days by month at Atiha Lagoon: Jan 33 %, Feb 32 %, Mar 16 %, Apr 24 %, May 23 %, Jun 32 %, Jul 39 %, Aug 46 %, Sep 31 %, Oct 35 %, Nov 34 %, Dec 30 %
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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025
Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Confidence: high.
Cite this
In October, 69 % of days at Tubuai met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/tubuai
Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.