Sea · Texas · United States
North Flats
Best for kiting all year, with 51 to 83 % kite days. Water 18 to 31 °C.
A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.
- Prime 60 % and more
- Good 40 to 59 %
- Possible 20 to 39 %
- Off under 20 %
- No data hatched
- Ringed: this month
Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.
Confidence highHourly model data, 2017 to 2025, checked against the season shape of a nearby weather station, a regional model or a documented season. Shares its model grid cell with 2 nearby spots, so the numbers describe the area, not one beach.
Month by month
- Kite days
- 61 % Primeabout 19 of 31 days
- Too light, kiteable, too strong
- Too light 39 %
- Kiteable 61 %
- Too strong 0 %
- Good years
- 8 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
- 10 day trip
- 8 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 6.2 expected
- Best hours
- 14:00 to 18:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
- Daylight
- 11.6 h
- Water
- 28 °C, boardshorts
- Air
- 27 °Cdaily maximum, 27 °C during kite hours
- Rain
- 12 of 31with 1 mm or more
- In one sentence
In October, North Flats averaged 19 kite days out of 31 (61 %). Water 28 °C, boardshorts. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
| Kite days% of days | 66 | 74 | 77 | 83 | 83 | 76 | 76 | 65 | 51 | 61 | 62 | 58 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdictshare plus good years | Prime | Prime | Prime | Prime | Prime | Prime | Prime | Prime | Good | Prime | Prime | Good |
| 10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite days | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 8 in 10 | 6 in 10 | 8 in 10 | 8 in 10 | 8 in 10 |
| Good yearsof 9, reached 50 % | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 7 of 9 | 5 of 9 | 8 of 9 | 8 of 9 | 7 of 9 |
| Best hourshour of day, most often 12 to 35 kn | 10 to 17 | 10 to 17 | 11 to 18 | 10 to 19 | 12 to 19 | 13 to 19 | 13 to 19 | 14 to 19 | 15 to 19 | 14 to 18 | 10 to 17 | 10 to 17 |
| Daylighth | 10.7 | 11.3 | 12.0 | 12.8 | 13.4 | 13.8 | 13.6 | 13.1 | 12.3 | 11.6 | 10.9 | 10.5 |
| Water°C at the surface | 18 | 18 | 21 | 24 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 28 | 25 | 21 |
| Air°C, daily maximum | 19 | 20 | 22 | 24 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 27 | 24 | 21 |
| Rain days1 mm or more | 10 of 31 | 8 of 28 | 7 of 31 | 6 of 30 | 8 of 31 | 11 of 30 | 8 of 31 | 8 of 31 | 16 of 30 | 12 of 31 | 10 of 30 | 7 of 31 |
| Wetsuitfor that water and the air on kite days, + boots and gloves | 3/2 | 3/2 | spring | shorty | shorts | shorts | shorts | shorts | shorts | shorts | shorty | spring |
- In January, North Flats averaged 21 kite days out of 31 (66 %). Water 18 °C, 3/2. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in January got at least 5 kite days.
- In February, North Flats averaged 21 kite days out of 28 (74 %). Water 18 °C, 3/2. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in February got at least 5 kite days.
- In March, North Flats averaged 24 kite days out of 31 (77 %). Water 21 °C, spring suit. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in March got at least 5 kite days.
- In April, North Flats averaged 25 kite days out of 30 (83 %). Water 24 °C, shorty. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in April got at least 5 kite days.
- In May, North Flats averaged 26 kite days out of 31 (83 %). Water 28 °C, boardshorts. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in May got at least 5 kite days.
- In June, North Flats averaged 23 kite days out of 30 (76 %). Water 30 °C, boardshorts. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in June got at least 5 kite days.
- In July, North Flats averaged 23 kite days out of 31 (76 %). Water 30 °C, boardshorts. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in July got at least 5 kite days.
- In August, North Flats averaged 20 kite days out of 31 (65 %). Water 31 °C, boardshorts. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in August got at least 5 kite days.
- In September, North Flats averaged 15 kite days out of 30 (51 %). Water 30 °C, boardshorts. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in September got at least 5 kite days.
- In October, North Flats averaged 19 kite days out of 31 (61 %). Water 28 °C, boardshorts. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
- In November, North Flats averaged 19 kite days out of 30 (62 %). Water 25 °C, shorty. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in November got at least 5 kite days.
- In December, North Flats averaged 18 kite days out of 31 (58 %). Water 21 °C, spring suit. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in December got at least 5 kite days.
Good year: at least half the days of that month were kite days. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.
Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds
Trip odds at North Flats
How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.
- January9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.8 expected
- February9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.4 expected
- March9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 8.0 expected
- April9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 8.3 expected
- May9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.9 expected
- June9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 8.0 expected
- July9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.1 expected
- August8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.4 expected
- September6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.1 expected
- October (now)8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.2 expected
- November8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.2 expected
- December8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.8 expected
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Trip odds by start week
Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.
Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
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- 9
Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count
8 in 10
trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).
Zero wind trips: fewer than 1 in 20
about 6.6 kite days expected out of 10
Kite days per trip, 63 trips
Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).
How the wind behaves
In May, the windiest month
- Too light 17 %
- Kiteable 83 %
- Too strong 0 %
Too light on 17 %, kiteable on 83 %, too strong on 0 % of days.
Best hours: 12:00 to 19:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.
Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors
Wind steadily from SE (135°).
Kitesurfing at North Flats: quick answers
When is the best time to kitesurf at North Flats?
The best months are the whole year: from 2017 to 2025, 51 to 83 % of days were kite days in every month.
Is North Flats windy in October?
Yes, very. 61 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 19 days in a typical October. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.
What is the water temperature at North Flats?
The water ranges from 18 °C in January to 31 °C in August. In October it is about 28 °C (wetsuit: boardshorts).
How many kite days does North Flats get in a year?
About 253 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.
Live forecast
The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.
Live forecast from Windy
The forecast map for North Flats comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.
Spot facts
- Region
- Texas
- Country
- United States
- Water body
- Sea, from Natural Earth map data
- Nearest airport
- Brownsville South Padre Island International Airport (BRO), 38 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
- Time zone
- UTC-05:00 in October
- Coordinates
- 26.1639, -97.1821
- Model
- ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Conditions, checked against kite guides
Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.
Not yet checked against kite guides. We research spot conditions one by one and show only what a kite source says.
Nearby kite spots in Texas
Kite days in October, % of days
- South Flats
United States · 3 points fewer kite days than North Flats in October
58 %Kite days by month at South Flats: Jan 64 %, Feb 72 %, Mar 76 %, Apr 79 %, May 81 %, Jun 74 %, Jul 71 %, Aug 60 %, Sep 47 %, Oct 58 %, Nov 62 %, Dec 56 % - Race Flats
United States · same kite days as North Flats in October
61 %Kite days by month at Race Flats: Jan 66 %, Feb 74 %, Mar 77 %, Apr 83 %, May 83 %, Jun 76 %, Jul 76 %, Aug 65 %, Sep 51 %, Oct 61 %, Nov 62 %, Dec 58 % - Boca Chica
United States · 8 points fewer kite days than North Flats in October
53 %Kite days by month at Boca Chica: Jan 61 %, Feb 69 %, Mar 73 %, Apr 77 %, May 78 %, Jun 71 %, Jul 66 %, Aug 54 %, Sep 41 %, Oct 53 %, Nov 60 %, Dec 54 % - Bluffs Landing
United States · 10 points fewer kite days than North Flats in October
51 %Kite days by month at Bluffs Landing: Jan 55 %, Feb 58 %, Mar 69 %, Apr 76 %, May 77 %, Jun 71 %, Jul 70 %, Aug 53 %, Sep 44 %, Oct 51 %, Nov 48 %, Dec 42 % - North Packery
United States · 5 points fewer kite days than North Flats in October
56 %Kite days by month at North Packery: Jan 63 %, Feb 61 %, Mar 71 %, Apr 77 %, May 77 %, Jun 73 %, Jul 66 %, Aug 53 %, Sep 50 %, Oct 56 %, Nov 55 %, Dec 51 % - Galveston Island
United States · 11 points fewer kite days than North Flats in October
50 %Kite days by month at Galveston Island: Jan 62 %, Feb 61 %, Mar 64 %, Apr 73 %, May 66 %, Jun 55 %, Jul 34 %, Aug 28 %, Sep 32 %, Oct 50 %, Nov 50 %, Dec 44 % - Levee
United States · 18 points fewer kite days than North Flats in October
43 %Kite days by month at Levee: Jan 53 %, Feb 55 %, Mar 61 %, Apr 71 %, May 62 %, Jun 51 %, Jul 31 %, Aug 25 %, Sep 24 %, Oct 43 %, Nov 41 %, Dec 41 % - El Jardin
United States · 41 points fewer kite days than North Flats in October
20 %Kite days by month at El Jardin: Jan 28 %, Feb 33 %, Mar 42 %, Apr 48 %, May 42 %, Jun 25 %, Jul 7 %, Aug 7 %, Sep 10 %, Oct 20 %, Nov 19 %, Dec 18 %
Plan your trip
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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025
Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Shares its model grid cell with 2 nearby spots, so the numbers describe the area, not one beach. Confidence: high.
Cite this
In October, 61 % of days at North Flats met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/north-flats
Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.