Sea · Florida · United States
Alligator Point
Kite days stay under 30 % in every month.
A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.
- Prime 60 % and more
- Good 40 to 59 %
- Possible 20 to 39 %
- Off under 20 %
- No data hatched
- Ringed: this month
Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.
Confidence highHourly model data, 2017 to 2025, checked against the season shape of a nearby weather station, a regional model or a documented season.
Month by month
- Kite days
- 19 % Offabout 6 of 31 days
- Too light, kiteable, too strong
- Too light 80 %
- Kiteable 19 %
- Too strong 1 %
- Good years
- 1 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
- 10 day trip
- under 1 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 1.8 expected
- Best hours
- 10:00 to 11:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
- Daylight
- 11.5 h
- Water
- 25 °C, shorty
- Air
- 25 °Cdaily maximum, 25 °C during kite hours
- Rain
- 6 of 31with 1 mm or more
- In one sentence
In October, Alligator Point averaged 6 kite days out of 31 (19 %). Water 25 °C, shorty. under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
| Kite days% of days | 21 | 15 | 23 | 26 | 24 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 19 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdictshare plus good years | Possible | Off | Possible | Possible | Possible | Possible | Off | Off | Off | Off | Off | Off |
| 10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite days | under 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | 2 in 10 | 1 in 10 | 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | 1 in 10 |
| Good yearsof 9, reached 50 % | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 1 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 1 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 |
| Best hourshour of day, most often 12 to 35 kn | 10 to 11 | 10 to 10 | 10 to 17 | 10 to 17 | 16 to 19 | 16 to 18 | · | · | 10 to 12 | 10 to 11 | 10 to 11 | 10 to 13 |
| Daylighth | 10.5 | 11.1 | 12.0 | 12.9 | 13.6 | 14.0 | 13.9 | 13.2 | 12.4 | 11.5 | 10.7 | 10.3 |
| Water°C at the surface | 14 | 17 | 20 | 23 | 27 | 29 | 31 | 31 | 29 | 25 | 21 | 16 |
| Air°C, daily maximum | 15 | 17 | 20 | 22 | 26 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 25 | 21 | 17 |
| Rain days1 mm or more | 8 of 31 | 8 of 28 | 8 of 31 | 7 of 30 | 9 of 31 | 17 of 30 | 19 of 31 | 22 of 31 | 13 of 30 | 6 of 31 | 6 of 30 | 8 of 31 |
| Wetsuitfor that water and the air on kite days, + boots and gloves | 4/3 | 4/3 | 3/2 | spring | shorts | shorts | shorts | shorts | shorts | shorty | spring | 4/3 |
- In January, Alligator Point averaged 7 kite days out of 31 (21 %). Water 14 °C, 4/3. under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in January got at least 5 kite days.
- In February, Alligator Point averaged 4 kite days out of 28 (15 %). Water 17 °C, 4/3. under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in February got at least 5 kite days.
- In March, Alligator Point averaged 7 kite days out of 31 (23 %). Water 20 °C, 3/2. under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in March got at least 5 kite days.
- In April, Alligator Point averaged 8 kite days out of 30 (26 %). Water 23 °C, spring suit. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in April got at least 5 kite days.
- In May, Alligator Point averaged 7 kite days out of 31 (24 %). Water 27 °C, boardshorts. 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in May got at least 5 kite days.
- In June, Alligator Point averaged 6 kite days out of 30 (20 %). Water 29 °C, boardshorts. 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in June got at least 5 kite days.
- In July, Alligator Point averaged 2 kite days out of 31 (6 %). Water 31 °C, boardshorts. under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in July got at least 5 kite days.
- In August, Alligator Point averaged 3 kite days out of 31 (10 %). Water 31 °C, boardshorts. under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in August got at least 5 kite days.
- In September, Alligator Point averaged 4 kite days out of 30 (14 %). Water 29 °C, boardshorts. 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in September got at least 5 kite days.
- In October, Alligator Point averaged 6 kite days out of 31 (19 %). Water 25 °C, shorty. under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
- In November, Alligator Point averaged 4 kite days out of 30 (14 %). Water 21 °C, spring suit. under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in November got at least 5 kite days.
- In December, Alligator Point averaged 5 kite days out of 31 (15 %). Water 16 °C, 4/3. 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in December got at least 5 kite days.
Good year: at least half the days of that month were kite days. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.
Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds
Trip odds at Alligator Point
How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.
- Januaryunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.0 expected
- Februaryunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.7 expected
- Marchunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.2 expected
- April2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.5 expected
- May1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.3 expected
- June1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.9 expected
- Julyunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 0.7 expected
- Augustunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.0 expected
- September1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.7 expected
- October (now)under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.8 expected
- Novemberunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.4 expected
- December1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.7 expected
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Trip odds by start week
Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.
Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 1
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 1
- 2
- 1
- 1
- 2
- 1
- 2
- 0
- 0
- 1
- 1
- 2
- 1
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 1
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 1
- 1
- 1
- 1
- 1
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 1
- 1
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 1
- 1
- 0
- 0
Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count
1 in 10
trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).
Zero wind trips: 1 in 10
about 2.3 kite days expected out of 10
Kite days per trip, 63 trips
Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).
How the wind behaves
In April, the windiest month
- Too light 74 %
- Kiteable 26 %
- Too strong 0 %
Too light on 74 %, kiteable on 26 %, too strong on 0 % of days.
Best hours: 10:00 to 17:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.
Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors
Wind mostly from SW (225°), fairly steady direction.
Kitesurfing at Alligator Point: quick answers
When is the best time to kitesurf at Alligator Point?
No month reaches 50 % kite days. The windiest month is April, when 26 % of days were kite days from 2017 to 2025.
Is Alligator Point windy in October?
Rarely. 19 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 6 days in a typical October. Fewer than 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.
What is the water temperature at Alligator Point?
The water ranges from 14 °C in January to 31 °C in July. In October it is about 25 °C (wetsuit: shorty).
How many kite days does Alligator Point get in a year?
About 63 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.
Live forecast
The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.
Live forecast from Windy
The forecast map for Alligator Point comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.
Spot facts
- Region
- Florida
- Country
- United States
- Water body
- Sea, from Natural Earth map data
- Nearest airport
- Tallahassee International Airport (TLH), 55 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
- Time zone
- UTC-04:00 in October
- Coordinates
- 29.9068, -84.4290
- Model
- ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Conditions, checked against kite guides
Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.
Not yet checked against kite guides. We research spot conditions one by one and show only what a kite source says.
Nearby kite spots in Florida
Kite days in October, % of days
- Dog Island
United States · 39 points more kite days than Alligator Point in October
58 %Kite days by month at Dog Island: Jan 48 %, Feb 45 %, Mar 55 %, Apr 51 %, May 53 %, Jun 46 %, Jul 31 %, Aug 35 %, Sep 39 %, Oct 58 %, Nov 45 %, Dec 45 % - St. Andrews State Park
United States · 11 points more kite days than Alligator Point in October
30 %Kite days by month at St. Andrews State Park: Jan 36 %, Feb 40 %, Mar 43 %, Apr 50 %, May 34 %, Jun 30 %, Jul 17 %, Aug 19 %, Sep 17 %, Oct 30 %, Nov 23 %, Dec 28 % - Destin
United States · 7 points more kite days than Alligator Point in October
26 %Kite days by month at Destin: Jan 35 %, Feb 34 %, Mar 37 %, Apr 35 %, May 28 %, Jun 27 %, Jul 14 %, Aug 14 %, Sep 16 %, Oct 26 %, Nov 22 %, Dec 30 % - Caladesi Island
United States · 19 points more kite days than Alligator Point in October
38 %Kite days by month at Caladesi Island: Jan 44 %, Feb 33 %, Mar 44 %, Apr 42 %, May 33 %, Jun 16 %, Jul 13 %, Aug 13 %, Sep 17 %, Oct 38 %, Nov 37 %, Dec 34 % - Pensacola Beach
United States · 27 points more kite days than Alligator Point in October
46 %Kite days by month at Pensacola Beach: Jan 51 %, Feb 53 %, Mar 51 %, Apr 52 %, May 42 %, Jun 42 %, Jul 29 %, Aug 31 %, Sep 28 %, Oct 46 %, Nov 46 %, Dec 44 % - Jacksonville Beach
United States · 28 points more kite days than Alligator Point in October
47 %Kite days by month at Jacksonville Beach: Jan 42 %, Feb 34 %, Mar 47 %, Apr 50 %, May 47 %, Jun 32 %, Jul 15 %, Aug 18 %, Sep 43 %, Oct 47 %, Nov 44 %, Dec 40 % - Fort Desoto
United States · 27 points more kite days than Alligator Point in October
46 %Kite days by month at Fort Desoto: Jan 46 %, Feb 40 %, Mar 51 %, Apr 54 %, May 45 %, Jun 21 %, Jul 18 %, Aug 17 %, Sep 26 %, Oct 46 %, Nov 39 %, Dec 36 % - Bahia Beach
United States · 6 points more kite days than Alligator Point in October
25 %Kite days by month at Bahia Beach: Jan 28 %, Feb 24 %, Mar 38 %, Apr 36 %, May 29 %, Jun 10 %, Jul 6 %, Aug 8 %, Sep 13 %, Oct 25 %, Nov 26 %, Dec 21 %
Plan your trip
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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025
Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Confidence: high.
Cite this
In October, 19 % of days at Alligator Point met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/alligator-point
Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.