Sea · Scotland · United Kingdom
Ardersier Bay
Kite days peak in October at 45 %. Also windy, but cold (water and air under 12 °C or short days): February.
A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.
- Prime 60 % and more
- Good 40 to 59 %
- Possible 20 to 39 %
- Off under 20 %
- No data hatched
- Ringed: this month
Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.
Confidence highHourly model data, 2017 to 2025, checked against the season shape of a nearby weather station, a regional model or a documented season.
Month by month
- Kite days
- 45 % Goodabout 14 of 31 days
- Too light, kiteable, too strong
- Too light 55 %
- Kiteable 45 %
- Too strong 0 %
- 10 day trip
- 4 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 4.4 expected
- Best hours
- 12:00 to 17:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
- Daylight
- 10.4 h
- Water
- 12 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves
- Air
- 12 °Cdaily maximum, 12 °C during kite hours
- Rain
- 18 of 31with 1 mm or more
- In one sentence
In October, Ardersier Bay averaged 14 kite days out of 31 (45 %). Water 12 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
| Kite days% of days | 39 | 50 | 42 | 34 | 32 | 37 | 27 | 32 | 36 | 45 | 33 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdictshare plus good years | cold | cold | cold | cold | Possible | Possible | Possible | Possible | Possible | Good | cold | cold |
| 10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite days | 5 in 10 | 6 in 10 | 5 in 10 | 3 in 10 | 2 in 10 | 4 in 10 | 2 in 10 | 3 in 10 | 4 in 10 | 4 in 10 | 2 in 10 | 2 in 10 |
| Good yearsof 0, reached 50 % | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Best hourshour of day, most often 12 to 35 kn | 11 to 15 | 11 to 16 | 10 to 17 | 13 to 17 | 12 to 19 | 12 to 19 | 12 to 16 | 12 to 18 | 13 to 17 | 12 to 17 | 10 to 15 | 10 to 15 |
| Daylighth | 7.4 | 9.4 | 11.8 | 14.3 | 16.6 | 17.9 | 17.3 | 15.3 | 12.9 | 10.4 | 8.1 | 6.7 |
| Water°C at the surface | 5 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 6 |
| Air°C, daily maximum | 7 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 7 |
| Rain days1 mm or more | 15 of 31 | 13 of 28 | 13 of 31 | 10 of 30 | 11 of 31 | 12 of 30 | 14 of 31 | 14 of 31 | 14 of 30 | 18 of 31 | 17 of 30 | 17 of 31 |
| Wetsuitfor that water and the air on kite days, + boots and gloves | 6/5+ | 6/5+ | 6/5+ | 6/5+ | 6/5+ | 5/4 | 4/3 | 5/4 | 5/4 | 6/5+ | 6/5+ | 6/5+ |
- In January, Ardersier Bay averaged 12 kite days out of 31 (39 %). Water 5 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 5 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in January got at least 5 kite days.
- In February, Ardersier Bay averaged 14 kite days out of 28 (50 %). Water 5 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in February got at least 5 kite days.
- In March, Ardersier Bay averaged 13 kite days out of 31 (42 %). Water 6 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 5 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in March got at least 5 kite days.
- In April, Ardersier Bay averaged 10 kite days out of 30 (34 %). Water 9 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 3 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in April got at least 5 kite days.
- In May, Ardersier Bay averaged 10 kite days out of 31 (32 %). Water 13 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in May got at least 5 kite days.
- In June, Ardersier Bay averaged 11 kite days out of 30 (37 %). Water 15 °C, 5/4. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in June got at least 5 kite days.
- In July, Ardersier Bay averaged 8 kite days out of 31 (27 %). Water 17 °C, 4/3. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in July got at least 5 kite days.
- In August, Ardersier Bay averaged 10 kite days out of 31 (32 %). Water 17 °C, 5/4. 3 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in August got at least 5 kite days.
- In September, Ardersier Bay averaged 11 kite days out of 30 (36 %). Water 15 °C, 5/4. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in September got at least 5 kite days.
- In October, Ardersier Bay averaged 14 kite days out of 31 (45 %). Water 12 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
- In November, Ardersier Bay averaged 10 kite days out of 30 (33 %). Water 9 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in November got at least 5 kite days.
- In December, Ardersier Bay averaged 9 kite days out of 31 (28 %). Water 6 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in December got at least 5 kite days.
Good years are not shown here: this spot has no complete per year values, because the two models drift apart over the years. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.
Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds
Trip odds at Ardersier Bay
How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.
- January5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.2 expected
- February6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.8 expected
- March5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.3 expected
- April3 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.3 expected
- May2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.1 expected
- June4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.9 expected
- July2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.6 expected
- August3 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.3 expected
- September4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.9 expected
- October (now)4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.4 expected
- November2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.1 expected
- December2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.9 expected
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Trip odds by start week
Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.
Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025
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Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count
1 in 10
trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).
Zero wind trips: fewer than 1 in 20
about 2.7 kite days expected out of 10
Kite days per trip, 63 trips
Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).
How the wind behaves
In February, the windiest month
- Too light 50 %
- Kiteable 50 %
- Too strong 0 %
Too light on 50 %, kiteable on 50 %, too strong on 0 % of days.
Best hours: 11:00 to 16:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.
Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors
Wind mostly from SW (225°), fairly steady direction.
Kitesurfing at Ardersier Bay: quick answers
When is the best time to kitesurf at Ardersier Bay?
No month reaches 50 % kite days. The windiest month is February, when 50 % of days were kite days from 2017 to 2025.
Is Ardersier Bay windy in October?
Yes, often. 45 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 14 days in a typical October. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.
What is the water temperature at Ardersier Bay?
The water ranges from 5 °C in January to 17 °C in July. In October it is about 12 °C (wetsuit: 6/5 with boots and gloves).
How many kite days does Ardersier Bay get in a year?
About 132 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.
Live forecast
The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.
Live forecast from Windy
The forecast map for Ardersier Bay comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.
Spot facts
- Region
- Scotland
- Country
- United Kingdom
- Water body
- Sea, from Natural Earth map data
- Nearest airport
- Inverness Airport (INV), 4 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
- Time zone
- UTC+01:00 in October
- Coordinates
- 57.5788, -4.0504
- Model
- ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Conditions, checked against kite guides
Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.
Not yet checked against kite guides. We research spot conditions one by one and show only what a kite source says.
Nearby kite spots in Scotland
Kite days in October, % of days
- Burghead Bay
United Kingdom · 13 points more kite days than Ardersier Bay in October
58 %Kite days by month at Burghead Bay: Jan 63 %, Feb 60 %, Mar 53 %, Apr 50 %, May 45 %, Jun 42 %, Jul 41 %, Aug 38 %, Sep 48 %, Oct 58 %, Nov 50 %, Dec 49 % - Banff
United Kingdom · 6 points more kite days than Ardersier Bay in October
51 %Kite days by month at Banff: Jan 48 %, Feb 60 %, Mar 51 %, Apr 46 %, May 37 %, Jun 36 %, Jul 30 %, Aug 36 %, Sep 50 %, Oct 51 %, Nov 47 %, Dec 40 % - Sinclair's Bay
United Kingdom · 31 points more kite days than Ardersier Bay in October
76 %Kite days by month at Sinclair's Bay: Jan 66 %, Feb 76 %, Mar 69 %, Apr 63 %, May 50 %, Jun 53 %, Jul 51 %, Aug 52 %, Sep 64 %, Oct 76 %, Nov 71 %, Dec 65 % - Thurso Bay
United Kingdom · 30 points more kite days than Ardersier Bay in October
75 %Kite days by month at Thurso Bay: Jan 72 %, Feb 75 %, Mar 68 %, Apr 64 %, May 58 %, Jun 57 %, Jul 53 %, Aug 53 %, Sep 65 %, Oct 75 %, Nov 72 %, Dec 65 % - Dunnet Bay
United Kingdom · 27 points more kite days than Ardersier Bay in October
72 %Kite days by month at Dunnet Bay: Jan 68 %, Feb 71 %, Mar 66 %, Apr 61 %, May 51 %, Jun 50 %, Jul 50 %, Aug 48 %, Sep 61 %, Oct 72 %, Nov 67 %, Dec 55 % - Freswick Bay
United Kingdom · 33 points more kite days than Ardersier Bay in October
78 %Kite days by month at Freswick Bay: Jan 72 %, Feb 79 %, Mar 71 %, Apr 68 %, May 54 %, Jun 56 %, Jul 55 %, Aug 56 %, Sep 69 %, Oct 78 %, Nov 73 %, Dec 69 % - Balmedie Beach
United Kingdom · 21 points more kite days than Ardersier Bay in October
66 %Kite days by month at Balmedie Beach: Jan 56 %, Feb 72 %, Mar 62 %, Apr 58 %, May 51 %, Jun 53 %, Jul 41 %, Aug 52 %, Sep 66 %, Oct 66 %, Nov 67 %, Dec 53 % - Newburgh
United Kingdom · 12 points more kite days than Ardersier Bay in October
57 %Kite days by month at Newburgh: Jan 47 %, Feb 64 %, Mar 54 %, Apr 47 %, May 40 %, Jun 42 %, Jul 34 %, Aug 42 %, Sep 54 %, Oct 57 %, Nov 56 %, Dec 46 %
Plan your trip
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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025
Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Confidence: high.
Cite this
In October, 45 % of days at Ardersier Bay met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/ardersier-bay
Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.