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12 kn+. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots between 10:00 and 19:00. How we count.

Sea · Virginia · United States

Bayside

Best for kiting from April to July and from September to November, with 50 to 75 % kite days. Water 14 to 29 °C. Also windy, but cold (water and air under 12 °C or short days): December to March.

A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.

  1. J57
  2. F64
  3. M69
  4. A75
  5. M63
  6. J60
  7. J55
  8. A44
  9. S56
  10. O55
  11. N50
  12. D50
Kite days by month at Bayside: Jan 57 %, Feb 64 %, Mar 69 %, Apr 75 %, May 63 %, Jun 60 %, Jul 55 %, Aug 44 %, Sep 56 %, Oct 55 %, Nov 50 %, Dec 50 %
  • Prime 60 % and more
  • Good 40 to 59 %
  • Possible 20 to 39 %
  • Off under 20 %
  • No data hatched
  • Ringed: this month

Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.

Confidence highHourly model data, 2017 to 2025, checked against the season shape of a nearby weather station, a regional model or a documented season.

See the best monthsLive forecastShow on map

Month by month

MonthKite days% of days, verdict10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite daysWater°C, what to wear
  • Kite days
    55 % Goodabout 17 of 31 days
    Too light, kiteable, too strong
    • Too light 45 %
    • Kiteable 55 %
    • Too strong 0 %
    Good years
    2017: 65 % kite days2018: 61 % kite days2019: 61 % kite days2020: 42 % kite days2021: 55 % kite days2022: 48 % kite days2023: 36 % kite days2024: 48 % kite days2025: 74 % kite days5 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
    10 day trip
    7 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 5.4 expected
    Best hours
    10:00 to 17:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
    Daylight
    11.3 h
    Water
    20 °C, 3/2
    Air
    20 °Cdaily maximum, 18 °C during kite hours
    Rain
    8 of 31with 1 mm or more
    In one sentence

    In October, Bayside averaged 17 kite days out of 31 (55 %). Water 20 °C, 3/2. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.

Good year: at least half the days of that month were kite days. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.

Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds

Trip odds at Bayside

How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.

  1. January8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.6 expected
  2. February9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.5 expected
  3. March9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.1 expected
  4. April9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.5 expected
  5. May8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.0 expected
  6. June8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.2 expected
  7. July7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.4 expected
  8. August5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.4 expected
  9. September7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.5 expected
  10. October (now)7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.4 expected
  11. November6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.1 expected
  12. December6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.9 expected

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.

Open in the trip planner

Trip odds by start week

Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.

Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025

Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.

Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count

Trip odds by start week in Bayside: W1 8 in 10, W2 9 in 10, W3 7 in 10, W4 7 in 10, W5 8 in 10, W6 9 in 10, W7 9 in 10, W8 9 in 10, W9 9 in 10, W10 9 in 10, W11 9 in 10, W12 9 in 10, W13 9 in 10, W14 9 in 10, W15 9 in 10, W16 9 in 10, W17 9 in 10, W18 9 in 10, W19 9 in 10, W20 8 in 10, W21 6 in 10, W22 8 in 10, W23 9 in 10, W24 9 in 10, W25 7 in 10, W26 8 in 10, W27 9 in 10, W28 6 in 10, W29 6 in 10, W30 7 in 10, W31 7 in 10, W32 3 in 10, W33 4 in 10, W34 5 in 10, W35 6 in 10, W36 7 in 10, W37 8 in 10, W38 8 in 10, W39 7 in 10, W40 7 in 10, W41 7 in 10, W42 5 in 10, W43 7 in 10, W44 7 in 10, W45 8 in 10, W46 6 in 10, W47 7 in 10, W48 6 in 10, W49 8 in 10, W50 7 in 10, W51 3 in 10, W52 6 in 10

8 in 10

trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).

Zero wind trips: fewer than 1 in 20

about 5.7 kite days expected out of 10

Kite days per trip, 63 trips

Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).

How the wind behaves

In April, the windiest month

  • Too light 25 %
  • Kiteable 75 %
  • Too strong 0 %

Too light on 25 %, kiteable on 75 %, too strong on 0 % of days.

Best hours: all day, 10:00 to 19:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.

NESW

Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors

Wind direction varies, most often SE (135°).

Kitesurfing at Bayside: quick answers

When is the best time to kitesurf at Bayside?

The best months are April to July and September to November: from 2017 to 2025, 50 to 75 % of days in those months were kite days.

Is Bayside windy in October?

Yes, often. 55 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 17 days in a typical October. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.

What is the water temperature at Bayside?

The water ranges from 6 °C in January to 29 °C in July. In October it is about 20 °C (wetsuit: 3/2).

How many kite days does Bayside get in a year?

About 212 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.

Live forecast

The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.

Live forecast from Windy

The forecast map for Bayside comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.

Spot facts

Region
Virginia
Country
United States
Water body
Sea, from Natural Earth map data
Nearest airport
Newport News Williamsburg International Airport (PHF), 28 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
Time zone
UTC-04:00 in October
Coordinates
37.3204, -76.2814
Model
ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Satellite view of Bayside

Conditions, checked against kite guides

Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.

  • Flat water is the main riding area.
  • A flat or sheltered area exists for riding.
  • Good for learning: kite sources describe schools teaching here.
  • Shallow flat lagoon, launched from a slipway, with concrete on the beach. The guide names Norfolk as the next town, so it may describe a nearby spot.

Checked 2026-10-08, confidence medium (one kite source, or two that partly disagree). Sources: se.kiteforum.com.

Nearby kite spots in Virginia

Kite days in October, % of days

  1. First Landing State Park

    United States · 8 points fewer kite days than Bayside in October

    47 %
    January: 52 % kite days (Good)February: 55 % kite days (Good)March: 60 % kite days (Prime)April: 65 % kite days (Prime)May: 51 % kite days (Good)June: 38 % kite days (Possible)July: 27 % kite days (Possible)August: 29 % kite days (Possible)September: 47 % kite days (Good)October: 47 % kite days (Good)November: 46 % kite days (Good)December: 45 % kite days (Good)
    Kite days by month at First Landing State Park: Jan 52 %, Feb 55 %, Mar 60 %, Apr 65 %, May 51 %, Jun 38 %, Jul 27 %, Aug 29 %, Sep 47 %, Oct 47 %, Nov 46 %, Dec 45 %
  2. Assateague Island

    United States · 11 points fewer kite days than Bayside in October

    44 %
    January: 46 % kite days (Good)February: 45 % kite days (Good)March: 55 % kite days (Good)April: 58 % kite days (Good)May: 51 % kite days (Good)June: 38 % kite days (Possible)July: 33 % kite days (Possible)August: 25 % kite days (Possible)September: 44 % kite days (Good)October: 44 % kite days (Good)November: 44 % kite days (Good)December: 39 % kite days (Possible)
    Kite days by month at Assateague Island: Jan 46 %, Feb 45 %, Mar 55 %, Apr 58 %, May 51 %, Jun 38 %, Jul 33 %, Aug 25 %, Sep 44 %, Oct 44 %, Nov 44 %, Dec 39 %
  3. Westmoreland State Park

    United States · 36 points fewer kite days than Bayside in October

    19 %
    January: 27 % kite days (Possible)February: 27 % kite days (Possible)March: 31 % kite days (Possible)April: 29 % kite days (Possible)May: 18 % kite days (Off)June: 11 % kite days (Off)July: 2 % kite days (Off)August: 4 % kite days (Off)September: 9 % kite days (Off)October: 19 % kite days (Off)November: 22 % kite days (Possible)December: 21 % kite days (Possible)
    Kite days by month at Westmoreland State Park: Jan 27 %, Feb 27 %, Mar 31 %, Apr 29 %, May 18 %, Jun 11 %, Jul 2 %, Aug 4 %, Sep 9 %, Oct 19 %, Nov 22 %, Dec 21 %

Plan your trip

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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025

Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Confidence: high.

Cite this

In October, 55 % of days at Bayside met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/bayside

Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.