Sea · Baja California · Mexico
El Tomatal
Best for kiting from March to May, with 50 to 56 % kite days. Water 17 °C.
A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.
- Prime 60 % and more
- Good 40 to 59 %
- Possible 20 to 39 %
- Off under 20 %
- No data hatched
- Ringed: this month
Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.
Confidence highHourly model data, 2017 to 2025, checked against the season shape of a nearby weather station, a regional model or a documented season.
Month by month
- Kite days
- 33 % Possibleabout 10 of 31 days
- Too light, kiteable, too strong
- Too light 67 %
- Kiteable 33 %
- Too strong 0 %
- Good years
- 1 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
- 10 day trip
- 2 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 3.1 expected
- Best hours
- 14:00 to 17:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
- Daylight
- 11.5 h
- Water
- 21 °C, spring suit
- Air
- 22 °Cdaily maximum, 21 °C during kite hours
- Rain
- 1 of 31with 1 mm or more
- In one sentence
In October, El Tomatal averaged 10 kite days out of 31 (33 %). Water 21 °C, spring suit. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
| Kite days% of days | 38 | 40 | 55 | 50 | 56 | 43 | 29 | 24 | 33 | 33 | 29 | 33 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdictshare plus good years | Possible | Good | Good | Good | Good | Good | Possible | Possible | Possible | Possible | Possible | Possible |
| 10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite days | 3 in 10 | 5 in 10 | 7 in 10 | 6 in 10 | 6 in 10 | 4 in 10 | 1 in 10 | 2 in 10 | 2 in 10 | 2 in 10 | 2 in 10 | 2 in 10 |
| Good yearsof 9, reached 50 % | 1 of 9 | 1 of 9 | 6 of 9 | 6 of 9 | 6 of 9 | 2 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 2 of 9 | 1 of 9 | 0 of 9 | 1 of 9 |
| Best hourshour of day, most often 12 to 35 kn | 14 to 16 | 13 to 16 | 13 to 18 | 14 to 18 | 14 to 18 | 14 to 18 | 15 to 16 | 14 to 17 | 14 to 17 | 14 to 17 | 13 to 16 | 14 to 16 |
| Daylighth | 10.6 | 11.2 | 12.0 | 12.8 | 13.6 | 13.9 | 13.8 | 13.2 | 12.4 | 11.5 | 10.8 | 10.4 |
| Water°C at the surface | 17 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 23 | 21 | 20 | 19 |
| Air°C, daily maximum | 18 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 19 |
| Rain days1 mm or more | 3 of 31 | 3 of 28 | 2 of 31 | 0 of 30 | 0 of 31 | 0 of 30 | 0 of 31 | 0 of 31 | 1 of 30 | 1 of 31 | 1 of 30 | 2 of 31 |
| Wetsuitfor that water and the air on kite days, + boots and gloves | 4/3 | 4/3 | 4/3 | 4/3 | 4/3 | 3/2 | 3/2 | spring | spring | spring | 3/2 | 3/2 |
- In January, El Tomatal averaged 12 kite days out of 31 (38 %). Water 17 °C, 4/3. 3 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in January got at least 5 kite days.
- In February, El Tomatal averaged 11 kite days out of 28 (40 %). Water 16 °C, 4/3. 5 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in February got at least 5 kite days.
- In March, El Tomatal averaged 17 kite days out of 31 (55 %). Water 17 °C, 4/3. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in March got at least 5 kite days.
- In April, El Tomatal averaged 15 kite days out of 30 (50 %). Water 17 °C, 4/3. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in April got at least 5 kite days.
- In May, El Tomatal averaged 17 kite days out of 31 (56 %). Water 17 °C, 4/3. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in May got at least 5 kite days.
- In June, El Tomatal averaged 13 kite days out of 30 (43 %). Water 18 °C, 3/2. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in June got at least 5 kite days.
- In July, El Tomatal averaged 9 kite days out of 31 (29 %). Water 20 °C, 3/2. 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in July got at least 5 kite days.
- In August, El Tomatal averaged 7 kite days out of 31 (24 %). Water 22 °C, spring suit. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in August got at least 5 kite days.
- In September, El Tomatal averaged 10 kite days out of 30 (33 %). Water 23 °C, spring suit. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in September got at least 5 kite days.
- In October, El Tomatal averaged 10 kite days out of 31 (33 %). Water 21 °C, spring suit. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
- In November, El Tomatal averaged 9 kite days out of 30 (29 %). Water 20 °C, 3/2. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in November got at least 5 kite days.
- In December, El Tomatal averaged 10 kite days out of 31 (33 %). Water 19 °C, 3/2. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in December got at least 5 kite days.
Good year: at least half the days of that month were kite days. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.
Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds
Trip odds at El Tomatal
How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.
- January3 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.7 expected
- February5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.5 expected
- March7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.2 expected
- April6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.0 expected
- May6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.5 expected
- June4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.3 expected
- July1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.5 expected
- August2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.6 expected
- September2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.4 expected
- October (now)2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.1 expected
- November2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.1 expected
- December2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.4 expected
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Trip odds by start week
Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.
Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025
- 3
- 2
- 5
- 3
- 3
- 3
- 5
- 7
- 7
- 6
- 6
- 8
- 5
- 5
- 8
- 7
- 5
- 4
- 9
- 7
- 6
- 5
- 7
- 5
- 2
- 2
- 1
- 2
- 2
- 1
- 0
- 1
- 2
- 3
- 1
- 2
- 4
- 3
- 2
- 2
- 2
- 3
- 3
- 1
- 2
- 2
- 2
- 2
- 2
- 3
- 1
- 4
Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count
2 in 10
trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).
Zero wind trips: 1 in 10
about 3.0 kite days expected out of 10
Kite days per trip, 63 trips
Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).
How the wind behaves
In May, the windiest month
- Too light 44 %
- Kiteable 56 %
- Too strong 0 %
Too light on 44 %, kiteable on 56 %, too strong on 0 % of days.
Best hours: 14:00 to 18:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.
Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors
Wind steadily from NW (315°).
Kitesurfing at El Tomatal: quick answers
When is the best time to kitesurf at El Tomatal?
The best months are March to May: from 2017 to 2025, 50 to 56 % of days in those months were kite days.
Is El Tomatal windy in October?
Sometimes. 33 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 10 days in a typical October. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.
What is the water temperature at El Tomatal?
The water ranges from 16 °C in February to 23 °C in September. In October it is about 21 °C (wetsuit: spring suit).
How many kite days does El Tomatal get in a year?
About 140 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.
Live forecast
The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.
Live forecast from Windy
The forecast map for El Tomatal comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.
Spot facts
- Region
- Baja California
- Country
- Mexico
- Water body
- Sea, from Natural Earth map data
- Time zone
- UTC-07:00 in October
- Coordinates
- 28.4864, -114.0674
- Model
- ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Conditions, checked against kite guides
Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.
Not yet checked against kite guides. We research spot conditions one by one and show only what a kite source says.
Nearby kite spots in Baja California
Kite days in October, % of days
- Punta La Gringa
Mexico · 9 points fewer kite days than El Tomatal in October
24 %Kite days by month at Punta La Gringa: Jan 31 %, Feb 27 %, Mar 30 %, Apr 30 %, May 33 %, Jun 20 %, Jul 4 %, Aug 6 %, Sep 13 %, Oct 24 %, Nov 29 %, Dec 25 % - Punta San Carlos
Mexico · 28 points more kite days than El Tomatal in October
61 %Kite days by month at Punta San Carlos: Jan 41 %, Feb 54 %, Mar 76 %, Apr 83 %, May 80 %, Jun 70 %, Jul 75 %, Aug 75 %, Sep 72 %, Oct 61 %, Nov 42 %, Dec 39 % - Nuevo Mazatlan
Mexico · 1 point fewer kite days than El Tomatal in October
32 %Kite days by month at Nuevo Mazatlan: Jan 47 %, Feb 41 %, Mar 35 %, Apr 25 %, May 29 %, Jun 31 %, Jul 48 %, Aug 41 %, Sep 23 %, Oct 32 %, Nov 43 %, Dec 42 % - La Pinta
Mexico · 2 points fewer kite days than El Tomatal in October
31 %Kite days by month at La Pinta: Jan 20 %, Feb 33 %, Mar 55 %, Apr 62 %, May 60 %, Jun 40 %, Jul 42 %, Aug 52 %, Sep 50 %, Oct 31 %, Nov 20 %, Dec 21 % - Bahia Magdalena
Mexico · 32 points fewer kite days than El Tomatal in October
1 %Kite days by month at Bahia Magdalena: Jan 4 %, Feb 7 %, Mar 12 %, Apr 11 %, May 9 %, Jun 3 %, Jul 0 %, Aug 0 %, Sep 2 %, Oct 1 %, Nov 5 %, Dec 3 % - Rauls
Mexico · 25 points fewer kite days than El Tomatal in October
8 %Kite days by month at Rauls: Jan 18 %, Feb 24 %, Mar 23 %, Apr 15 %, May 10 %, Jun 6 %, Jul 7 %, Aug 6 %, Sep 9 %, Oct 8 %, Nov 14 %, Dec 13 %
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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025
Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Confidence: high.
Cite this
In October, 33 % of days at El Tomatal met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/el-tomatal
Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.