Sea · Schleswig-Holstein · Germany
Elbe River
Kite days stay under 30 % in every month.
A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.
- Prime 60 % and more
- Good 40 to 59 %
- Possible 20 to 39 %
- Off under 20 %
- No data hatched
- Ringed: this month
Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.
Confidence highHourly model data, 2017 to 2025, checked against the season shape of a nearby weather station, a regional model or a documented season.
Month by month
- Kite days
- 21 % Possibleabout 6 of 31 days
- Too light, kiteable, too strong
- Too light 79 %
- Kiteable 21 %
- Too strong 0 %
- 10 day trip
- 1 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 1.8 expected
- Best hours
- 11:00 to 16:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
- Daylight
- 10.6 h
- Air
- 15 °Cdaily maximum, 14 °C during kite hours
- Rain
- 15 of 31with 1 mm or more
- In one sentence
In October, Elbe River averaged 6 kite days out of 31 (21 %). 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
| Kite days% of days | 24 | 23 | 22 | 20 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 12 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdictshare plus good years | cold | cold | cold | Possible | Off | Off | Off | Off | Off | Possible | cold | cold |
| 10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite days | 1 in 10 | 1 in 10 | 1 in 10 | 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | 1 in 10 | 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | 1 in 10 |
| Good yearsof 0, reached 50 % | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Best hourshour of day, most often 12 to 35 kn | 10 to 15 | 11 to 16 | 11 to 16 | 13 to 17 | 13 to 17 | 13 to 15 | 12 to 17 | · | 13 to 15 | 11 to 16 | 11 to 13 | 11 to 15 |
| Daylighth | 8.1 | 9.8 | 11.8 | 14.0 | 15.9 | 17.0 | 16.5 | 14.8 | 12.8 | 10.6 | 8.7 | 7.6 |
| Air°C, daily maximum | 5 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 6 |
| Rain days1 mm or more | 14 of 31 | 12 of 28 | 11 of 31 | 11 of 30 | 12 of 31 | 12 of 30 | 15 of 31 | 12 of 31 | 11 of 30 | 15 of 31 | 14 of 30 | 14 of 31 |
- In January, Elbe River averaged 7 kite days out of 31 (24 %). 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in January got at least 5 kite days.
- In February, Elbe River averaged 6 kite days out of 28 (23 %). 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in February got at least 5 kite days.
- In March, Elbe River averaged 7 kite days out of 31 (22 %). 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in March got at least 5 kite days.
- In April, Elbe River averaged 6 kite days out of 30 (20 %). 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in April got at least 5 kite days.
- In May, Elbe River averaged 5 kite days out of 31 (17 %). under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in May got at least 5 kite days.
- In June, Elbe River averaged 4 kite days out of 30 (14 %). 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in June got at least 5 kite days.
- In July, Elbe River averaged 4 kite days out of 31 (13 %). under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in July got at least 5 kite days.
- In August, Elbe River averaged 3 kite days out of 31 (9 %). under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in August got at least 5 kite days.
- In September, Elbe River averaged 5 kite days out of 30 (16 %). 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in September got at least 5 kite days.
- In October, Elbe River averaged 6 kite days out of 31 (21 %). 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
- In November, Elbe River averaged 4 kite days out of 30 (12 %). under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in November got at least 5 kite days.
- In December, Elbe River averaged 5 kite days out of 31 (17 %). 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in December got at least 5 kite days.
Good years are not shown here: this spot has no complete per year values, because the two models drift apart over the years. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.
Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds
Trip odds at Elbe River
How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.
- January1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.4 expected
- February1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.1 expected
- March1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.3 expected
- April1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.0 expected
- Mayunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.5 expected
- June1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.7 expected
- Julyunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.0 expected
- Augustunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 0.9 expected
- September1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.0 expected
- October (now)1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.8 expected
- Novemberunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.2 expected
- December1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.0 expected
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Trip odds by start week
Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.
Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025
- 1
- 1
- 1
- 2
- 2
- 2
- 2
- 1
- 1
- 3
- 1
- 1
- 1
- 2
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 1
- 1
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 1
- 2
- 0
- 0
- 1
- 0
- 0
- 1
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 1
- 2
- 3
Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count
under 1 in 10
trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).
Zero wind trips: 4 in 10
about 0.8 kite days expected out of 10
Kite days per trip, 63 trips
Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).
How the wind behaves
In January, the windiest month
- Too light 76 %
- Kiteable 24 %
- Too strong 0 %
Too light on 76 %, kiteable on 24 %, too strong on 0 % of days.
Best hours: 10:00 to 15:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.
Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors
Wind steadily from WSW (248°).
Kitesurfing at Elbe River: quick answers
When is the best time to kitesurf at Elbe River?
No month reaches 50 % kite days. The windiest month is January, when 24 % of days were kite days from 2017 to 2025.
Is Elbe River windy in October?
Sometimes. 21 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 6 days in a typical October. 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.
How many kite days does Elbe River get in a year?
About 63 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.
Live forecast
The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.
Live forecast from Windy
The forecast map for Elbe River comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.
Spot facts
- Region
- Schleswig-Holstein
- Country
- Germany
- Water body
- Sea, from Natural Earth map data
- Nearest airport
- Hamburg Helmut Schmidt Airport (HAM), 26 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
- Time zone
- UTC+02:00 in October
- Coordinates
- 53.6024, 9.6023
- Model
- ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Conditions, checked against kite guides
Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.
Not yet checked against kite guides. We research spot conditions one by one and show only what a kite source says.
Nearby kite spots in Schleswig-Holstein
Kite days in October, % of days
- Glückstadt
Germany · 5 points more kite days than Elbe River in October
26 %Kite days by month at Glückstadt: Jan 27 %, Feb 29 %, Mar 26 %, Apr 26 %, May 25 %, Jun 18 %, Jul 20 %, Aug 11 %, Sep 20 %, Oct 26 %, Nov 17 %, Dec 22 % - Büsum
Germany · 28 points more kite days than Elbe River in October
49 %Kite days by month at Büsum: Jan 47 %, Feb 48 %, Mar 41 %, Apr 43 %, May 42 %, Jun 33 %, Jul 45 %, Aug 29 %, Sep 40 %, Oct 49 %, Nov 40 %, Dec 44 % - Vollerwiek
Germany · 44 points more kite days than Elbe River in October
65 %Kite days by month at Vollerwiek: Jan 63 %, Feb 61 %, Mar 55 %, Apr 53 %, May 54 %, Jun 46 %, Jul 56 %, Aug 44 %, Sep 48 %, Oct 65 %, Nov 52 %, Dec 59 % - SPO, Böhl
Germany · 56 points more kite days than Elbe River in October
77 %Kite days by month at SPO, Böhl: Jan 72 %, Feb 71 %, Mar 63 %, Apr 61 %, May 61 %, Jun 55 %, Jul 62 %, Aug 54 %, Sep 57 %, Oct 77 %, Nov 64 %, Dec 73 % - Aschau
Germany · 40 points more kite days than Elbe River in October
61 %Kite days by month at Aschau: Jan 55 %, Feb 57 %, Mar 53 %, Apr 49 %, May 47 %, Jun 50 %, Jul 52 %, Aug 44 %, Sep 53 %, Oct 61 %, Nov 54 %, Dec 55 % - Rettin
Germany · 20 points more kite days than Elbe River in October
41 %Kite days by month at Rettin: Jan 41 %, Feb 46 %, Mar 39 %, Apr 41 %, May 34 %, Jun 33 %, Jul 34 %, Aug 27 %, Sep 33 %, Oct 41 %, Nov 33 %, Dec 34 % - Auf der Schlei
Germany · 12 points more kite days than Elbe River in October
33 %Kite days by month at Auf der Schlei: Jan 30 %, Feb 39 %, Mar 34 %, Apr 32 %, May 31 %, Jun 28 %, Jul 29 %, Aug 19 %, Sep 27 %, Oct 33 %, Nov 26 %, Dec 24 % - Bülk
Germany · 35 points more kite days than Elbe River in October
56 %Kite days by month at Bülk: Jan 53 %, Feb 55 %, Mar 50 %, Apr 47 %, May 43 %, Jun 41 %, Jul 47 %, Aug 41 %, Sep 47 %, Oct 56 %, Nov 52 %, Dec 52 %
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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025
Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Confidence: high.
Cite this
In October, 21 % of days at Elbe River met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/elbe-river
Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.