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12 kn+. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots between 10:00 and 19:00. How we count.

Sea · Quintana Roo · Mexico

Isla Holbox

Best for kiting all year except September, with 53 to 91 % kite days. Water 25 to 29 °C.

A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.

  1. J68
  2. F84
  3. M91
  4. A89
  5. M84
  6. J78
  7. J69
  8. A56
  9. S37
  10. O53
  11. N59
  12. D63
Kite days by month at Isla Holbox: Jan 68 %, Feb 84 %, Mar 91 %, Apr 89 %, May 84 %, Jun 78 %, Jul 69 %, Aug 56 %, Sep 37 %, Oct 53 %, Nov 59 %, Dec 63 %
  • Prime 60 % and more
  • Good 40 to 59 %
  • Possible 20 to 39 %
  • Off under 20 %
  • No data hatched
  • Ringed: this month

Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.

Confidence highClose model cell, both models agree on the season, 9 full years.

See the best monthsLive forecastShow on map

Month by month

MonthKite days% of days, verdict10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite daysWater°C, what to wear
  • Kite days
    53 % Goodabout 16 of 31 days
    Too light, kiteable, too strong
    • Too light 47 %
    • Kiteable 53 %
    • Too strong 0 %
    10 day trip
    7 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 5.5 expected
    Best hours
    15:00 to 17:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
    Daylight
    11.7 h
    Water
    29 °C, boardshorts
    Air
    29 °Cdaily maximum, 28 °C during kite hours
    Rain
    18 of 31with 1 mm or more
    In one sentence

    In October, Isla Holbox averaged 16 kite days out of 31 (53 %). Water 29 °C, boardshorts. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.

Good years are not shown here: this spot has no complete per year values, because the two models drift apart over the years. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.

Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds

Trip odds at Isla Holbox

How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.

  1. January9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.9 expected
  2. February9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 8.5 expected
  3. March9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 9.2 expected
  4. April9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 8.9 expected
  5. May9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 8.2 expected
  6. June9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.6 expected
  7. July8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.8 expected
  8. August6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.3 expected
  9. September4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.8 expected
  10. October (now)7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.5 expected
  11. November7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.9 expected
  12. December8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.3 expected

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.

Open in the trip planner

Trip odds by start week

Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.

Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025

Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.

Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count

Trip odds by start week in Isla Holbox: W1 9 in 10, W2 8 in 10, W3 9 in 10, W4 9 in 10, W5 9 in 10, W6 9 in 10, W7 9 in 10, W8 9 in 10, W9 9 in 10, W10 9 in 10, W11 9 in 10, W12 9 in 10, W13 9 in 10, W14 9 in 10, W15 9 in 10, W16 9 in 10, W17 9 in 10, W18 9 in 10, W19 9 in 10, W20 9 in 10, W21 9 in 10, W22 9 in 10, W23 8 in 10, W24 9 in 10, W25 9 in 10, W26 9 in 10, W27 9 in 10, W28 8 in 10, W29 8 in 10, W30 8 in 10, W31 8 in 10, W32 7 in 10, W33 7 in 10, W34 6 in 10, W35 3 in 10, W36 2 in 10, W37 3 in 10, W38 4 in 10, W39 6 in 10, W40 6 in 10, W41 5 in 10, W42 7 in 10, W43 9 in 10, W44 7 in 10, W45 8 in 10, W46 8 in 10, W47 7 in 10, W48 7 in 10, W49 7 in 10, W50 9 in 10, W51 8 in 10, W52 8 in 10

8 in 10

trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).

Zero wind trips: fewer than 1 in 20

about 6.1 kite days expected out of 10

Kite days per trip, 63 trips

Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).

How the wind behaves

In March, the windiest month

  • Too light 9 %
  • Kiteable 91 %
  • Too strong 0 %

Too light on 9 %, kiteable on 91 %, too strong on 0 % of days.

Best hours: 14:00 to 18:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.

NESW

Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors

Wind mostly from ENE (68°), fairly steady direction.

Kitesurfing at Isla Holbox: quick answers

When is the best time to kitesurf at Isla Holbox?

The best months are all year except September: from 2017 to 2025, 53 to 91 % of days in those months were kite days.

Is Isla Holbox windy in October?

Yes, often. 53 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 16 days in a typical October. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.

What is the water temperature at Isla Holbox?

The water ranges from 25 °C in January to 29 °C in September. In October it is about 29 °C (wetsuit: boardshorts).

How many kite days does Isla Holbox get in a year?

About 252 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.

Live forecast

The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.

Live forecast from Windy

The forecast map for Isla Holbox comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.

Spot facts

Region
Quintana Roo
Country
Mexico
Water body
Sea, from Natural Earth map data
Nearest airport
Cancún International Airport (CUN), 75 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
Time zone
UTC-05:00 in October
Coordinates
21.5638, -87.3344
Model
ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Satellite view of Isla Holbox

Conditions, checked against kite guides

Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.

  • Flat water is the main riding area.
  • A flat or sheltered area exists for riding.
  • Good for learning: kite sources describe schools teaching here.
  • Shallow flat water, 20 cm to knee deep depending on tide, with light chop outside. Good for learning. Watch for sea urchins, shells, other boats and current.

Checked 2026-10-08, confidence high (two or more kite sources agree). Sources: se.kiteforum.com, en.wannakitesurf.com.

Nearby kite spots in Quintana Roo

Kite days in October, % of days

  1. Cancun Main Beach

    Mexico · 24 points fewer kite days than Isla Holbox in October

    29 %
    January: 58 % kite days (Good)February: 62 % kite days (Prime)March: 66 % kite days (Prime)April: 62 % kite days (Prime)May: 49 % kite days (Good)June: 38 % kite days (Possible)July: 8 % kite days (Off)August: 11 % kite days (Off)September: 13 % kite days (Off)October: 29 % kite days (Possible)November: 36 % kite days (Possible)December: 44 % kite days (Good)
    Kite days by month at Cancun Main Beach: Jan 58 %, Feb 62 %, Mar 66 %, Apr 62 %, May 49 %, Jun 38 %, Jul 8 %, Aug 11 %, Sep 13 %, Oct 29 %, Nov 36 %, Dec 44 %
  2. Country Club

    Mexico · 24 points fewer kite days than Isla Holbox in October

    29 %
    January: 51 % kite days (Good)February: 51 % kite days (Good)March: 49 % kite days (Good)April: 44 % kite days (Good)May: 31 % kite days (Possible)June: 28 % kite days (Possible)July: 9 % kite days (Off)August: 10 % kite days (Off)September: 10 % kite days (Off)October: 29 % kite days (Possible)November: 36 % kite days (Possible)December: 43 % kite days (Good)
    Kite days by month at Country Club: Jan 51 %, Feb 51 %, Mar 49 %, Apr 44 %, May 31 %, Jun 28 %, Jul 9 %, Aug 10 %, Sep 10 %, Oct 29 %, Nov 36 %, Dec 43 %
  3. Mezcalitos

    Mexico · 43 points fewer kite days than Isla Holbox in October

    10 %
    January: 24 % kite days (Possible)February: 26 % kite days (Possible)March: 31 % kite days (Possible)April: 26 % kite days (Possible)May: 15 % kite days (Off)June: 16 % kite days (Off)July: 2 % kite days (Off)August: 4 % kite days (Off)September: 2 % kite days (Off)October: 10 % kite days (Off)November: 14 % kite days (Off)December: 19 % kite days (Off)
    Kite days by month at Mezcalitos: Jan 24 %, Feb 26 %, Mar 31 %, Apr 26 %, May 15 %, Jun 16 %, Jul 2 %, Aug 4 %, Sep 2 %, Oct 10 %, Nov 14 %, Dec 19 %
  4. Mahahual

    Mexico · 35 points fewer kite days than Isla Holbox in October

    18 %
    January: 36 % kite days (Possible)February: 47 % kite days (Good)March: 50 % kite days (Good)April: 44 % kite days (Good)May: 40 % kite days (Good)June: 50 % kite days (Good)July: 22 % kite days (Possible)August: 15 % kite days (Off)September: 10 % kite days (Off)October: 18 % kite days (Off)November: 19 % kite days (Off)December: 31 % kite days (Possible)
    Kite days by month at Mahahual: Jan 36 %, Feb 47 %, Mar 50 %, Apr 44 %, May 40 %, Jun 50 %, Jul 22 %, Aug 15 %, Sep 10 %, Oct 18 %, Nov 19 %, Dec 31 %

Plan your trip

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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025

Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Confidence: high.

Cite this

In October, 53 % of days at Isla Holbox met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/isla-holbox

Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.