Sea · Scotland · United Kingdom
Luce Bay
Best for kiting from June to November, with 52 to 81 % kite days. Water 12 to 16 °C. Also windy, but cold (water and air under 12 °C or short days): December to May.
A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.
- Prime 60 % and more
- Good 40 to 59 %
- Possible 20 to 39 %
- Off under 20 %
- No data hatched
- Ringed: this month
Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.
Confidence highHourly model data, 2017 to 2025, checked against the season shape of a nearby weather station, a regional model or a documented season.
Month by month
- Kite days
- 81 % Primeabout 25 of 31 days
- Too light, kiteable, too strong
- Too light 18 %
- Kiteable 81 %
- Too strong 1 %
- Good years
- 9 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
- 10 day trip
- 9 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 8.0 expected
- Best hours
- 10:00 to 17:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
- Daylight
- 10.6 h
- Water
- 14 °C, 5/4
- Air
- 14 °Cdaily maximum, 13 °C during kite hours
- Rain
- 20 of 31with 1 mm or more
- In one sentence
In October, Luce Bay averaged 25 kite days out of 31 (81 %). Water 14 °C, 5/4. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
| Kite days% of days | 72 | 82 | 69 | 61 | 57 | 55 | 52 | 62 | 69 | 81 | 76 | 74 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdictshare plus good years | cold | cold | cold | cold | cold | Good | Good | Good | Prime | Prime | Prime | cold |
| 10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite days | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 7 in 10 | 7 in 10 | 7 in 10 | 6 in 10 | 8 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 |
| Good yearsof 9, reached 50 % | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 8 of 9 | 6 of 9 | 6 of 9 | 6 of 9 | 6 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 |
| Best hourshour of day, most often 12 to 35 kn | 10 to 15 | 10 to 16 | 10 to 18 | 10 to 19 | 10 to 19 | 10 to 19 | 10 to 19 | 10 to 19 | 10 to 19 | 10 to 17 | 10 to 15 | 10 to 15 |
| Daylighth | 7.9 | 9.7 | 11.8 | 14.1 | 16.1 | 17.2 | 16.7 | 14.9 | 12.8 | 10.6 | 8.5 | 7.4 |
| Water°C at the surface | 9 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 10 |
| Air°C, daily maximum | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 10 |
| Rain days1 mm or more | 16 of 31 | 16 of 28 | 16 of 31 | 10 of 30 | 10 of 31 | 12 of 30 | 13 of 31 | 15 of 31 | 15 of 30 | 20 of 31 | 19 of 30 | 19 of 31 |
| Wetsuitfor that water and the air on kite days, + boots and gloves | 6/5+ | 6/5+ | 6/5+ | 6/5+ | 6/5+ | 5/4 | 4/3 | 4/3 | 5/4 | 5/4 | 6/5+ | 6/5+ |
- In January, Luce Bay averaged 22 kite days out of 31 (72 %). Water 9 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in January got at least 5 kite days.
- In February, Luce Bay averaged 23 kite days out of 28 (82 %). Water 8 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in February got at least 5 kite days.
- In March, Luce Bay averaged 21 kite days out of 31 (69 %). Water 8 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in March got at least 5 kite days.
- In April, Luce Bay averaged 18 kite days out of 30 (61 %). Water 10 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in April got at least 5 kite days.
- In May, Luce Bay averaged 18 kite days out of 31 (57 %). Water 12 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in May got at least 5 kite days.
- In June, Luce Bay averaged 17 kite days out of 30 (55 %). Water 14 °C, 5/4. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in June got at least 5 kite days.
- In July, Luce Bay averaged 16 kite days out of 31 (52 %). Water 15 °C, 4/3. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in July got at least 5 kite days.
- In August, Luce Bay averaged 19 kite days out of 31 (62 %). Water 16 °C, 4/3. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in August got at least 5 kite days.
- In September, Luce Bay averaged 21 kite days out of 30 (69 %). Water 16 °C, 5/4. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in September got at least 5 kite days.
- In October, Luce Bay averaged 25 kite days out of 31 (81 %). Water 14 °C, 5/4. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
- In November, Luce Bay averaged 23 kite days out of 30 (76 %). Water 12 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in November got at least 5 kite days.
- In December, Luce Bay averaged 23 kite days out of 31 (74 %). Water 10 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in December got at least 5 kite days.
Good year: at least half the days of that month were kite days. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.
Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds
Trip odds at Luce Bay
How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.
- January9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.5 expected
- February9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.6 expected
- March9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.2 expected
- April7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.9 expected
- May7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.5 expected
- June7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.7 expected
- July6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.2 expected
- August8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.2 expected
- September9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.3 expected
- October (now)9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 8.0 expected
- November9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.5 expected
- December9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.5 expected
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Trip odds by start week
Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.
Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 8
- 8
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 8
- 8
- 6
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- 6
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- 4
- 5
- 6
- 9
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- 8
- 8
- 8
- 9
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- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 8
Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count
9 in 10
trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).
Zero wind trips: fewer than 1 in 20
about 7.5 kite days expected out of 10
Kite days per trip, 63 trips
Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).
How the wind behaves
In February, the windiest month
- Too light 17 %
- Kiteable 82 %
- Too strong 1 %
Too light on 17 %, kiteable on 82 %, too strong on 1 % of days.
Best hours: 10:00 to 16:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.
Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors
Wind direction varies, most often WSW (248°).
Kitesurfing at Luce Bay: quick answers
When is the best time to kitesurf at Luce Bay?
The best months are June to November: from 2017 to 2025, 52 to 81 % of days in those months were kite days.
Is Luce Bay windy in October?
Yes, very. 81 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 25 days in a typical October. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.
What is the water temperature at Luce Bay?
The water ranges from 8 °C in February to 16 °C in August. In October it is about 14 °C (wetsuit: 5/4).
How many kite days does Luce Bay get in a year?
About 246 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.
Live forecast
The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.
Live forecast from Windy
The forecast map for Luce Bay comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.
Spot facts
- Region
- Scotland
- Country
- United Kingdom
- Water body
- Sea, from Natural Earth map data
- Nearest airport
- George Best Belfast City Airport (BHD), 63 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
- Time zone
- UTC+01:00 in October
- Coordinates
- 54.8108, -4.9577
- Model
- ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Conditions, checked against kite guides
Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.
Not yet checked against kite guides. We research spot conditions one by one and show only what a kite source says.
Nearby kite spots in Scotland
Kite days in October, % of days
- Troon
United Kingdom · 17 points fewer kite days than Luce Bay in October
64 %Kite days by month at Troon: Jan 54 %, Feb 72 %, Mar 53 %, Apr 42 %, May 37 %, Jun 41 %, Jul 35 %, Aug 45 %, Sep 50 %, Oct 64 %, Nov 51 %, Dec 54 % - Barassie
United Kingdom · 21 points fewer kite days than Luce Bay in October
60 %Kite days by month at Barassie: Jan 53 %, Feb 70 %, Mar 53 %, Apr 43 %, May 37 %, Jun 39 %, Jul 31 %, Aug 43 %, Sep 49 %, Oct 60 %, Nov 48 %, Dec 54 % - Westport
United Kingdom · 14 points fewer kite days than Luce Bay in October
67 %Kite days by month at Westport: Jan 58 %, Feb 76 %, Mar 58 %, Apr 52 %, May 41 %, Jun 43 %, Jul 40 %, Aug 46 %, Sep 58 %, Oct 67 %, Nov 64 %, Dec 55 % - Largs
United Kingdom · 16 points fewer kite days than Luce Bay in October
65 %Kite days by month at Largs: Jan 53 %, Feb 76 %, Mar 53 %, Apr 48 %, May 37 %, Jun 39 %, Jul 39 %, Aug 42 %, Sep 53 %, Oct 65 %, Nov 54 %, Dec 57 % - Helensburgh
United Kingdom · 55 points fewer kite days than Luce Bay in October
26 %Kite days by month at Helensburgh: Jan 19 %, Feb 38 %, Mar 28 %, Apr 22 %, May 13 %, Jun 18 %, Jul 12 %, Aug 19 %, Sep 22 %, Oct 26 %, Nov 17 %, Dec 19 % - Rhu Spit
United Kingdom · 58 points fewer kite days than Luce Bay in October
23 %Kite days by month at Rhu Spit: Jan 17 %, Feb 38 %, Mar 28 %, Apr 22 %, May 14 %, Jun 15 %, Jul 10 %, Aug 18 %, Sep 18 %, Oct 23 %, Nov 16 %, Dec 18 % - Longniddry
United Kingdom · 21 points fewer kite days than Luce Bay in October
60 %Kite days by month at Longniddry: Jan 58 %, Feb 67 %, Mar 53 %, Apr 53 %, May 46 %, Jun 50 %, Jul 39 %, Aug 48 %, Sep 47 %, Oct 60 %, Nov 50 %, Dec 50 % - Gullane
United Kingdom · 14 points fewer kite days than Luce Bay in October
67 %Kite days by month at Gullane: Jan 65 %, Feb 70 %, Mar 61 %, Apr 62 %, May 55 %, Jun 56 %, Jul 48 %, Aug 54 %, Sep 54 %, Oct 67 %, Nov 57 %, Dec 56 %
Plan your trip
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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025
Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Confidence: high.
Cite this
In October, 81 % of days at Luce Bay met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/luce-bay
Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.