Sea · Wellington · New Zealand
Lyall Bay
Best for kiting all year, with 59 to 83 % kite days. Water 13 to 19 °C.
A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.
- Prime 60 % and more
- Good 40 to 59 %
- Possible 20 to 39 %
- Off under 20 %
- No data hatched
- Ringed: this month
Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.
Confidence highHourly model data, 2017 to 2025, checked against the season shape of a nearby weather station, a regional model or a documented season.
Month by month
- Kite days
- 83 % Primeabout 26 of 31 days
- Too light, kiteable, too strong
- Too light 17 %
- Kiteable 83 %
- Too strong 0 %
- Good years
- 9 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
- 10 day trip
- 9 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 8.4 expected (capped at 9 in 10)
- Best hours
- all day, 10:00 to 19:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
- Daylight
- 13.2 h
- Water
- 14 °C, 5/4
- Air
- 14 °Cdaily maximum, 13 °C during kite hours
- Rain
- 12 of 31with 1 mm or more
- In one sentence
In October, Lyall Bay averaged 26 kite days out of 31 (83 %). Water 14 °C, 5/4. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
| Kite days% of days | 71 | 73 | 67 | 67 | 63 | 59 | 63 | 74 | 78 | 83 | 78 | 76 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdictshare plus good years | Prime | Prime | Prime | Prime | Prime | Good | Prime | Prime | Prime | Prime | Prime | Prime |
| 10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite days | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 8 in 10 | 8 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 |
| Good yearsof 9, reached 50 % | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 8 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 8 of 9 | 7 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 8 of 9 |
| Best hourshour of day, most often 12 to 35 kn | 10 to 19 | 10 to 19 | 10 to 19 | 10 to 17 | 10 to 16 | 10 to 16 | 10 to 16 | 10 to 17 | 10 to 17 | 10 to 19 | 10 to 19 | 10 to 19 |
| Daylighth | 14.8 | 13.7 | 12.4 | 11.0 | 9.8 | 9.2 | 9.5 | 10.5 | 11.8 | 13.2 | 14.4 | 15.1 |
| Water°C at the surface | 18 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 17 |
| Air°C, daily maximum | 18 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 17 |
| Rain days1 mm or more | 8 of 31 | 8 of 28 | 11 of 31 | 11 of 30 | 13 of 31 | 14 of 30 | 15 of 31 | 14 of 31 | 13 of 30 | 12 of 31 | 11 of 30 | 11 of 31 |
| Wetsuitfor that water and the air on kite days, + boots and gloves | 3/2 | 4/3 | 4/3 | 5/4 | 5/4 | 5/4 | 5/4 | 6/5+ | 5/4 | 5/4 | 5/4 | 4/3 |
- In January, Lyall Bay averaged 22 kite days out of 31 (71 %). Water 18 °C, 3/2. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in January got at least 5 kite days.
- In February, Lyall Bay averaged 20 kite days out of 28 (73 %). Water 19 °C, 4/3. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in February got at least 5 kite days.
- In March, Lyall Bay averaged 21 kite days out of 31 (67 %). Water 18 °C, 4/3. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in March got at least 5 kite days.
- In April, Lyall Bay averaged 20 kite days out of 30 (67 %). Water 17 °C, 5/4. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in April got at least 5 kite days.
- In May, Lyall Bay averaged 20 kite days out of 31 (63 %). Water 16 °C, 5/4. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in May got at least 5 kite days.
- In June, Lyall Bay averaged 18 kite days out of 30 (59 %). Water 15 °C, 5/4. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in June got at least 5 kite days.
- In July, Lyall Bay averaged 20 kite days out of 31 (63 %). Water 14 °C, 5/4. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in July got at least 5 kite days.
- In August, Lyall Bay averaged 23 kite days out of 31 (74 %). Water 13 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in August got at least 5 kite days.
- In September, Lyall Bay averaged 23 kite days out of 30 (78 %). Water 14 °C, 5/4. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in September got at least 5 kite days.
- In October, Lyall Bay averaged 26 kite days out of 31 (83 %). Water 14 °C, 5/4. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
- In November, Lyall Bay averaged 23 kite days out of 30 (78 %). Water 15 °C, 5/4. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in November got at least 5 kite days.
- In December, Lyall Bay averaged 24 kite days out of 31 (76 %). Water 17 °C, 4/3. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in December got at least 5 kite days.
Good year: at least half the days of that month were kite days. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.
Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds
Trip odds at Lyall Bay
How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.
- January9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.3 expected
- February9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.2 expected
- March9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.6 expected
- April9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.6 expected
- May9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.3 expected
- June8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.9 expected
- July8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.4 expected
- August9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.6 expected
- September9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.7 expected
- October (now)9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 8.4 expected
- November9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.8 expected
- December9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.3 expected
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Trip odds by start week
Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.
Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 7
- 8
- 8
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 7
- 8
- 7
- 7
- 8
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 7
- 8
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count
9 in 10
trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips, capped at 9 in 10).
Zero wind trips: fewer than 1 in 20
about 8.0 kite days expected out of 10
Kite days per trip, 63 trips
Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).
How the wind behaves
In October, the windiest month
- Too light 17 %
- Kiteable 83 %
- Too strong 0 %
Too light on 17 %, kiteable on 83 %, too strong on 0 % of days.
Best hours: all day, 10:00 to 19:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.
Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors
Wind mostly from NNW (338°), fairly steady direction.
Kitesurfing at Lyall Bay: quick answers
When is the best time to kitesurf at Lyall Bay?
The best months are the whole year: from 2017 to 2025, 59 to 83 % of days were kite days in every month.
Is Lyall Bay windy in October?
Yes, very. 83 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 26 days in a typical October. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.
What is the water temperature at Lyall Bay?
The water ranges from 13 °C in August to 19 °C in February. In October it is about 14 °C (wetsuit: 5/4).
How many kite days does Lyall Bay get in a year?
About 259 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.
Live forecast
The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.
Live forecast from Windy
The forecast map for Lyall Bay comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.
Spot facts
- Region
- Wellington
- Country
- New Zealand
- Water body
- Sea, from Natural Earth map data
- Nearest airport
- Wellington International Airport (WLG), 1 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
- Time zone
- UTC+13:00 in October
- Coordinates
- -41.3347, 174.7992
- Model
- ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Conditions, checked against kite guides
Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.
Not yet checked against kite guides. We research spot conditions one by one and show only what a kite source says.
Nearby kite spots in Wellington
Kite days in October, % of days
- Petone Beach
New Zealand · 11 points fewer kite days than Lyall Bay in October
72 %Kite days by month at Petone Beach: Jan 63 %, Feb 64 %, Mar 56 %, Apr 54 %, May 51 %, Jun 45 %, Jul 52 %, Aug 61 %, Sep 68 %, Oct 72 %, Nov 70 %, Dec 69 % - Whitireia Park Bay
New Zealand · 12 points fewer kite days than Lyall Bay in October
71 %Kite days by month at Whitireia Park Bay: Jan 59 %, Feb 60 %, Mar 58 %, Apr 56 %, May 56 %, Jun 52 %, Jul 56 %, Aug 64 %, Sep 73 %, Oct 71 %, Nov 66 %, Dec 67 % - Castlepoint Beach
New Zealand · 13 points fewer kite days than Lyall Bay in October
70 %Kite days by month at Castlepoint Beach: Jan 76 %, Feb 70 %, Mar 72 %, Apr 59 %, May 57 %, Jun 58 %, Jul 61 %, Aug 68 %, Sep 78 %, Oct 70 %, Nov 74 %, Dec 75 %
Plan your trip
Booking reminder
Remind me when to book Lyall Bay
One mail, about 8 weeks before your month starts, with the kite day odds for that month and the link to this page. No newsletter.
We send one confirmation mail first; the reminder is set only after you click its link, and unconfirmed addresses are deleted after 7 days. Every mail has an unsubscribe link and a delete link. Privacy
kiteCOMPASS Pro
Plan the whole trip, not just the month
Save trips, get Plan B spots for days without wind and compare three places side by side. 29 EUR per year.
kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025
Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Confidence: high.
Cite this
In October, 83 % of days at Lyall Bay met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/lyall-bay
Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.