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12 kn+. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots between 10:00 and 19:00. How we count.

Sea · Kilifi County · Kenya

Malindi Bay

Best for kiting in January and from April to September, with 53 to 99 % kite days. Water 26 to 30 °C.

A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.

  1. J53
  2. F42
  3. M20
  4. A59
  5. M93
  6. J98
  7. J99
  8. A93
  9. S82
  10. O47
  11. N5
  12. D14
Kite days by month at Malindi Bay: Jan 53 %, Feb 42 %, Mar 20 %, Apr 59 %, May 93 %, Jun 98 %, Jul 99 %, Aug 93 %, Sep 82 %, Oct 47 %, Nov 5 %, Dec 14 %
  • Prime 60 % and more
  • Good 40 to 59 %
  • Possible 20 to 39 %
  • Off under 20 %
  • No data hatched
  • Ringed: this month

Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.

Confidence highHourly model data, 2017 to 2025, checked against the season shape of a nearby weather station, a regional model or a documented season.

See the best monthsLive forecastShow on map

Month by month

MonthKite days% of days, verdict10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite daysWater°C, what to wear
  • Kite days
    47 % Goodabout 15 of 31 days
    Too light, kiteable, too strong
    • Too light 53 %
    • Kiteable 47 %
    • Too strong 0 %
    Good years
    2017: 39 % kite days2018: 52 % kite days2019: 32 % kite days2020: 52 % kite days2021: 48 % kite days2022: 71 % kite days2023: 29 % kite days2024: 52 % kite days2025: 48 % kite days4 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
    10 day trip
    4 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 3.9 expected
    Best hours
    14:00 to 17:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
    Daylight
    12.2 h
    Water
    28 °C, boardshorts
    Air
    27 °Cdaily maximum, 26 °C during kite hours
    Rain
    14 of 31with 1 mm or more
    In one sentence

    In October, Malindi Bay averaged 15 kite days out of 31 (47 %). Water 28 °C, boardshorts. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.

Good year: at least half the days of that month were kite days. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.

Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds

Trip odds at Malindi Bay

How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.

  1. January7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.5 expected
  2. February4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.8 expected
  3. March1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.1 expected
  4. April8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.7 expected
  5. May9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 9.4 expected
  6. June9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 9.9 expected
  7. July9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 9.8 expected
  8. August9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 9.3 expected
  9. September9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.8 expected
  10. October (now)4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.9 expected
  11. Novemberunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 0.4 expected
  12. December1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.8 expected

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.

Open in the trip planner

Trip odds by start week

Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.

Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025

Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.

Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count

Trip odds by start week in Malindi Bay: W1 5 in 10, W2 8 in 10, W3 8 in 10, W4 6 in 10, W5 7 in 10, W6 5 in 10, W7 4 in 10, W8 2 in 10, W9 3 in 10, W10 1 in 10, W11 1 in 10, W12 under 1 in 10, W13 1 in 10, W14 4 in 10, W15 9 in 10, W16 9 in 10, W17 9 in 10, W18 9 in 10, W19 9 in 10, W20 9 in 10, W21 9 in 10, W22 9 in 10, W23 9 in 10, W24 9 in 10, W25 9 in 10, W26 9 in 10, W27 9 in 10, W28 9 in 10, W29 9 in 10, W30 9 in 10, W31 9 in 10, W32 9 in 10, W33 9 in 10, W34 9 in 10, W35 9 in 10, W36 9 in 10, W37 9 in 10, W38 9 in 10, W39 9 in 10, W40 6 in 10, W41 6 in 10, W42 6 in 10, W43 under 1 in 10, W44 under 1 in 10, W45 under 1 in 10, W46 under 1 in 10, W47 under 1 in 10, W48 under 1 in 10, W49 1 in 10, W50 1 in 10, W51 1 in 10, W52 3 in 10

under 1 in 10

trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).

Zero wind trips: 7 in 10

about 0.3 kite days expected out of 10

Kite days per trip, 63 trips

Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).

How the wind behaves

In July, the windiest month

  • Too light 1 %
  • Kiteable 99 %
  • Too strong 0 %

Too light on 1 %, kiteable on 99 %, too strong on 0 % of days.

Best hours: 10:00 to 17:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.

NESW

Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors

Wind steadily from S (180°).

Kitesurfing at Malindi Bay: quick answers

When is the best time to kitesurf at Malindi Bay?

The best months are January and April to September: from 2017 to 2025, 53 to 99 % of days in those months were kite days.

Is Malindi Bay windy in October?

Yes, often. 47 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 15 days in a typical October. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.

What is the water temperature at Malindi Bay?

The water ranges from 26 °C in August to 30 °C in March. In October it is about 28 °C (wetsuit: boardshorts).

How many kite days does Malindi Bay get in a year?

About 215 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.

Live forecast

The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.

Live forecast from Windy

The forecast map for Malindi Bay comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.

Spot facts

Region
Kilifi County
Country
Kenya
Water body
Sea, from Natural Earth map data
Nearest airport
Malindi International Airport (MYD), 5 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
Time zone
UTC+03:00 in October
Coordinates
-3.1967, 40.1250
Model
ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Satellite view of Malindi Bay

Conditions, checked against kite guides

Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.

  • Water state unknown: no kite source found.
  • Learning: no kite source says.
  • No kite source describing this spot was found. Surf-forecast rates wind and kite 2.3/5 and a reviewer calls it fickle; Kitejungle and Windfinder Malindi pages had no conditions.

Checked 2026-10-08, confidence low (no kite source, or contradictions). Sources: www.surf-forecast.com.

Nearby kite spots in Kilifi County

Kite days in October, % of days

  1. Malindi Town

    Kenya · 7 points fewer kite days than Malindi Bay in October

    40 %
    January: 51 % kite days (Good)February: 42 % kite days (Good)March: 20 % kite days (Possible)April: 57 % kite days (Good)May: 93 % kite days (Prime)June: 98 % kite days (Prime)July: 98 % kite days (Prime)August: 91 % kite days (Prime)September: 77 % kite days (Prime)October: 40 % kite days (Good)November: 6 % kite days (Off)December: 14 % kite days (Off)
    Kite days by month at Malindi Town: Jan 51 %, Feb 42 %, Mar 20 %, Apr 57 %, May 93 %, Jun 98 %, Jul 98 %, Aug 91 %, Sep 77 %, Oct 40 %, Nov 6 %, Dec 14 %
  2. Che Shale

    Kenya · 3 points more kite days than Malindi Bay in October

    50 %
    January: 41 % kite days (Good)February: 34 % kite days (Possible)March: 18 % kite days (Off)April: 52 % kite days (Good)May: 85 % kite days (Prime)June: 96 % kite days (Prime)July: 98 % kite days (Prime)August: 90 % kite days (Prime)September: 80 % kite days (Prime)October: 50 % kite days (Good)November: 4 % kite days (Off)December: 11 % kite days (Off)
    Kite days by month at Che Shale: Jan 41 %, Feb 34 %, Mar 18 %, Apr 52 %, May 85 %, Jun 96 %, Jul 98 %, Aug 90 %, Sep 80 %, Oct 50 %, Nov 4 %, Dec 11 %
  3. Watamu Reef

    Kenya · 38 points fewer kite days than Malindi Bay in October

    9 %
    January: 15 % kite days (Off)February: 17 % kite days (Off)March: 3 % kite days (Off)April: 27 % kite days (Possible)May: 58 % kite days (Good)June: 76 % kite days (Prime)July: 73 % kite days (Prime)August: 44 % kite days (Good)September: 27 % kite days (Possible)October: 9 % kite days (Off)November: 0 % kite days (Off)December: 2 % kite days (Off)
    Kite days by month at Watamu Reef: Jan 15 %, Feb 17 %, Mar 3 %, Apr 27 %, May 58 %, Jun 76 %, Jul 73 %, Aug 44 %, Sep 27 %, Oct 9 %, Nov 0 %, Dec 2 %
  4. Kilifi Creek

    Kenya · 2 points fewer kite days than Malindi Bay in October

    45 %
    January: 66 % kite days (Prime)February: 55 % kite days (Good)March: 30 % kite days (Possible)April: 61 % kite days (Prime)May: 90 % kite days (Prime)June: 97 % kite days (Prime)July: 99 % kite days (Prime)August: 89 % kite days (Prime)September: 76 % kite days (Prime)October: 45 % kite days (Good)November: 7 % kite days (Off)December: 18 % kite days (Off)
    Kite days by month at Kilifi Creek: Jan 66 %, Feb 55 %, Mar 30 %, Apr 61 %, May 90 %, Jun 97 %, Jul 99 %, Aug 89 %, Sep 76 %, Oct 45 %, Nov 7 %, Dec 18 %

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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025

Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Confidence: high.

Cite this

In October, 47 % of days at Malindi Bay met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/malindi-bay

Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.