Sea · South Province · New Caledonia
Passe de Dumbéa
Best for kiting all year, with 56 to 79 % kite days. Water 23 to 27 °C.
A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.
- Prime 60 % and more
- Good 40 to 59 %
- Possible 20 to 39 %
- Off under 20 %
- No data hatched
- Ringed: this month
Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.
Confidence highClose model cell, both models agree on the season, 9 full years.
Month by month
- Kite days
- 72 % Primeabout 22 of 31 days
- Too light, kiteable, too strong
- Too light 28 %
- Kiteable 72 %
- Too strong 0 %
- Good years
- 9 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
- 10 day trip
- 9 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 7.2 expected
- Best hours
- 12:00 to 17:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
- Daylight
- 12.6 h
- Water
- 24 °C, shorty
- Air
- 23 °Cdaily maximum, 23 °C during kite hours
- Rain
- 8 of 31with 1 mm or more
- In one sentence
In October, Passe de Dumbéa averaged 22 kite days out of 31 (72 %). Water 24 °C, shorty. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
| Kite days% of days | 75 | 78 | 79 | 72 | 70 | 60 | 56 | 63 | 79 | 72 | 75 | 74 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdictshare plus good years | Prime | Prime | Prime | Prime | Prime | Prime | Good | Prime | Prime | Prime | Prime | Prime |
| 10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite days | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 8 in 10 | 7 in 10 | 8 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 |
| Good yearsof 9, reached 50 % | 9 of 9 | 8 of 9 | 8 of 9 | 8 of 9 | 8 of 9 | 7 of 9 | 6 of 9 | 8 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 8 of 9 |
| Best hourshour of day, most often 12 to 35 kn | 10 to 18 | 10 to 18 | 10 to 17 | 10 to 17 | 10 to 16 | 10 to 16 | 10 to 16 | 10 to 17 | 13 to 17 | 12 to 17 | 12 to 17 | 12 to 18 |
| Daylighth | 13.3 | 12.9 | 12.2 | 11.6 | 11.1 | 10.8 | 10.9 | 11.4 | 12.0 | 12.6 | 13.2 | 13.5 |
| Water°C at the surface | 27 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
| Air°C, daily maximum | 26 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 26 |
| Rain days1 mm or more | 14 of 31 | 16 of 28 | 14 of 31 | 18 of 30 | 14 of 31 | 9 of 30 | 11 of 31 | 8 of 31 | 7 of 30 | 8 of 31 | 8 of 30 | 11 of 31 |
| Wetsuitfor that water and the air on kite days, + boots and gloves | shorts | shorts | shorty | shorts | shorty | shorty | spring | 3/2 | spring | shorty | shorty | shorty |
- In January, Passe de Dumbéa averaged 23 kite days out of 31 (75 %). Water 27 °C, boardshorts. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in January got at least 5 kite days.
- In February, Passe de Dumbéa averaged 22 kite days out of 28 (78 %). Water 27 °C, boardshorts. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in February got at least 5 kite days.
- In March, Passe de Dumbéa averaged 24 kite days out of 31 (79 %). Water 26 °C, shorty. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in March got at least 5 kite days.
- In April, Passe de Dumbéa averaged 21 kite days out of 30 (72 %). Water 27 °C, boardshorts. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in April got at least 5 kite days.
- In May, Passe de Dumbéa averaged 22 kite days out of 31 (70 %). Water 25 °C, shorty. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in May got at least 5 kite days.
- In June, Passe de Dumbéa averaged 18 kite days out of 30 (60 %). Water 25 °C, shorty. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in June got at least 5 kite days.
- In July, Passe de Dumbéa averaged 17 kite days out of 31 (56 %). Water 24 °C, spring suit. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in July got at least 5 kite days.
- In August, Passe de Dumbéa averaged 20 kite days out of 31 (63 %). Water 23 °C, 3/2. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in August got at least 5 kite days.
- In September, Passe de Dumbéa averaged 24 kite days out of 30 (79 %). Water 23 °C, spring suit. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in September got at least 5 kite days.
- In October, Passe de Dumbéa averaged 22 kite days out of 31 (72 %). Water 24 °C, shorty. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
- In November, Passe de Dumbéa averaged 22 kite days out of 30 (75 %). Water 25 °C, shorty. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in November got at least 5 kite days.
- In December, Passe de Dumbéa averaged 23 kite days out of 31 (74 %). Water 26 °C, shorty. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in December got at least 5 kite days.
Good year: at least half the days of that month were kite days. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.
Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds
Trip odds at Passe de Dumbéa
How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.
- January9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.5 expected
- February9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.7 expected
- March9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.9 expected
- April9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.3 expected
- May9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.7 expected
- June8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.1 expected
- July7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.5 expected
- August8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.6 expected
- September9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.8 expected
- October (now)9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.2 expected
- November9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.3 expected
- December9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.6 expected
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Trip odds by start week
Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.
Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025
- 9
- 8
- 9
- 8
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 8
- 9
- 8
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 7
- 8
- 7
- 7
- 9
- 9
- 7
- 5
- 7
- 8
- 8
- 7
- 8
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 8
- 8
- 8
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 8
- 9
- 9
- 9
Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count
8 in 10
trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).
Zero wind trips: fewer than 1 in 20
about 7.0 kite days expected out of 10
Kite days per trip, 63 trips
Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).
How the wind behaves
In March, the windiest month
- Too light 21 %
- Kiteable 79 %
- Too strong 0 %
Too light on 21 %, kiteable on 79 %, too strong on 0 % of days.
Best hours: 10:00 to 17:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.
Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors
Wind steadily from ESE (113°).
Kitesurfing at Passe de Dumbéa: quick answers
When is the best time to kitesurf at Passe de Dumbéa?
The best months are the whole year: from 2017 to 2025, 56 to 79 % of days were kite days in every month.
Is Passe de Dumbéa windy in October?
Yes, very. 72 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 22 days in a typical October. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.
What is the water temperature at Passe de Dumbéa?
The water ranges from 23 °C in August to 27 °C in January. In October it is about 24 °C (wetsuit: shorty).
How many kite days does Passe de Dumbéa get in a year?
About 259 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.
Live forecast
The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.
Live forecast from Windy
The forecast map for Passe de Dumbéa comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.
Spot facts
- Region
- South Province
- Country
- New Caledonia
- Water body
- Sea, from Natural Earth map data
- Nearest airport
- Nouméa Magenta Airport (GEA), 26 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
- Time zone
- UTC+11:00 in October
- Coordinates
- -22.3576, 166.2490
- Model
- ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Conditions, checked against kite guides
Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.
Not yet checked against kite guides. We research spot conditions one by one and show only what a kite source says.
Nearby kite spots in South Province
Kite days in October, % of days
- Ilôt Goeland
New Caledonia · 4 points more kite days than Passe de Dumbéa in October
76 %Kite days by month at Ilôt Goeland: Jan 76 %, Feb 79 %, Mar 83 %, Apr 73 %, May 72 %, Jun 63 %, Jul 58 %, Aug 65 %, Sep 79 %, Oct 76 %, Nov 76 %, Dec 77 % - Anse Vata
New Caledonia · 2 points more kite days than Passe de Dumbéa in October
74 %Kite days by month at Anse Vata: Jan 74 %, Feb 76 %, Mar 78 %, Apr 69 %, May 69 %, Jun 62 %, Jul 55 %, Aug 61 %, Sep 78 %, Oct 74 %, Nov 74 %, Dec 73 % - Plage de Magenta
New Caledonia · 36 points fewer kite days than Passe de Dumbéa in October
36 %Kite days by month at Plage de Magenta: Jan 50 %, Feb 46 %, Mar 34 %, Apr 37 %, May 33 %, Jun 22 %, Jul 23 %, Aug 27 %, Sep 40 %, Oct 36 %, Nov 41 %, Dec 44 % - Ilôt Ténia
New Caledonia · 7 points fewer kite days than Passe de Dumbéa in October
65 %Kite days by month at Ilôt Ténia: Jan 67 %, Feb 71 %, Mar 63 %, Apr 62 %, May 60 %, Jun 52 %, Jul 50 %, Aug 60 %, Sep 74 %, Oct 65 %, Nov 72 %, Dec 67 % - Ouano
New Caledonia · 9 points fewer kite days than Passe de Dumbéa in October
63 %Kite days by month at Ouano: Jan 63 %, Feb 63 %, Mar 53 %, Apr 60 %, May 56 %, Jun 49 %, Jul 49 %, Aug 60 %, Sep 74 %, Oct 63 %, Nov 73 %, Dec 65 % - Poe Beach
New Caledonia · 22 points fewer kite days than Passe de Dumbéa in October
50 %Kite days by month at Poe Beach: Jan 52 %, Feb 49 %, Mar 38 %, Apr 43 %, May 42 %, Jun 35 %, Jul 33 %, Aug 44 %, Sep 58 %, Oct 50 %, Nov 62 %, Dec 46 % - Ile des Pins / Kuto Bay
New Caledonia · 15 points fewer kite days than Passe de Dumbéa in October
57 %Kite days by month at Ile des Pins / Kuto Bay: Jan 58 %, Feb 66 %, Mar 62 %, Apr 62 %, May 64 %, Jun 47 %, Jul 48 %, Aug 54 %, Sep 57 %, Oct 57 %, Nov 48 %, Dec 48 % - Koroxu Bay
New Caledonia · 12 points fewer kite days than Passe de Dumbéa in October
60 %Kite days by month at Koroxu Bay: Jan 64 %, Feb 71 %, Mar 67 %, Apr 65 %, May 68 %, Jun 51 %, Jul 52 %, Aug 60 %, Sep 62 %, Oct 60 %, Nov 51 %, Dec 53 %
Plan your trip
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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025
Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Confidence: high.
Cite this
In October, 72 % of days at Passe de Dumbéa met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/passe-de-dumbea
Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.