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12 kn+. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots between 10:00 and 19:00. How we count.

Sea · Tamaulipas · Mexico

Playa Bagdad

Best for kiting all year except August and September, with 50 to 73 % kite days. Water 18 to 29 °C.

A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.

  1. J59
  2. F64
  3. M69
  4. A73
  5. M72
  6. J65
  7. J53
  8. A44
  9. S37
  10. O50
  11. N55
  12. D52
Kite days by month at Playa Bagdad: Jan 59 %, Feb 64 %, Mar 69 %, Apr 73 %, May 72 %, Jun 65 %, Jul 53 %, Aug 44 %, Sep 37 %, Oct 50 %, Nov 55 %, Dec 52 %
  • Prime 60 % and more
  • Good 40 to 59 %
  • Possible 20 to 39 %
  • Off under 20 %
  • No data hatched
  • Ringed: this month

Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.

Confidence highHourly model data, 2017 to 2025, checked against the season shape of a nearby weather station, a regional model or a documented season.

See the best monthsLive forecastShow on map

Month by month

MonthKite days% of days, verdict10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite daysWater°C, what to wear
  • Kite days
    50 % Goodabout 15 of 31 days
    Too light, kiteable, too strong
    • Too light 50 %
    • Kiteable 50 %
    • Too strong 0 %
    Good years
    2017: 58 % kite days2018: 55 % kite days2019: 55 % kite days2020: 55 % kite days2021: 32 % kite days2022: 48 % kite days2023: 68 % kite days2024: 45 % kite days2025: 29 % kite days5 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
    10 day trip
    6 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 5.1 expected
    Best hours
    11:00 to 18:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
    Daylight
    11.6 h
    Water
    28 °C, boardshorts
    Air
    27 °Cdaily maximum, 27 °C during kite hours
    Rain
    12 of 31with 1 mm or more
    In one sentence

    In October, Playa Bagdad averaged 15 kite days out of 31 (50 %). Water 28 °C, boardshorts. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.

Good year: at least half the days of that month were kite days. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.

Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds

Trip odds at Playa Bagdad

How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.

  1. January9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.1 expected
  2. February9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.4 expected
  3. March9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.0 expected
  4. April9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.5 expected
  5. May8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.8 expected
  6. June8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.6 expected
  7. July5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.9 expected
  8. August6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.6 expected
  9. September3 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.7 expected
  10. October (now)6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.1 expected
  11. November7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.3 expected
  12. December7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.3 expected

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.

Open in the trip planner

Trip odds by start week

Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.

Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025

Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.

Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count

Trip odds by start week in Playa Bagdad: W1 8 in 10, W2 9 in 10, W3 9 in 10, W4 8 in 10, W5 8 in 10, W6 9 in 10, W7 9 in 10, W8 8 in 10, W9 8 in 10, W10 9 in 10, W11 9 in 10, W12 9 in 10, W13 9 in 10, W14 9 in 10, W15 9 in 10, W16 9 in 10, W17 9 in 10, W18 9 in 10, W19 9 in 10, W20 8 in 10, W21 8 in 10, W22 6 in 10, W23 8 in 10, W24 9 in 10, W25 8 in 10, W26 8 in 10, W27 7 in 10, W28 6 in 10, W29 5 in 10, W30 2 in 10, W31 6 in 10, W32 6 in 10, W33 5 in 10, W34 5 in 10, W35 5 in 10, W36 3 in 10, W37 3 in 10, W38 3 in 10, W39 4 in 10, W40 6 in 10, W41 5 in 10, W42 6 in 10, W43 7 in 10, W44 6 in 10, W45 7 in 10, W46 7 in 10, W47 7 in 10, W48 4 in 10, W49 7 in 10, W50 7 in 10, W51 7 in 10, W52 7 in 10

7 in 10

trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).

Zero wind trips: fewer than 1 in 20

about 5.4 kite days expected out of 10

Kite days per trip, 63 trips

Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).

How the wind behaves

In April, the windiest month

  • Too light 27 %
  • Kiteable 73 %
  • Too strong 0 %

Too light on 27 %, kiteable on 73 %, too strong on 0 % of days.

Best hours: 10:00 to 18:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.

NESW

Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors

Wind mostly from SSE (158°), fairly steady direction.

Kitesurfing at Playa Bagdad: quick answers

When is the best time to kitesurf at Playa Bagdad?

The best months are all year except August and September: from 2017 to 2025, 50 to 73 % of days in those months were kite days.

Is Playa Bagdad windy in October?

Yes, often. 50 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 15 days in a typical October. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.

What is the water temperature at Playa Bagdad?

The water ranges from 18 °C in January to 30 °C in August. In October it is about 28 °C (wetsuit: boardshorts).

How many kite days does Playa Bagdad get in a year?

About 210 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.

Live forecast

The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.

Live forecast from Windy

The forecast map for Playa Bagdad comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.

Spot facts

Region
Tamaulipas
Country
Mexico
Water body
Sea, from Natural Earth map data
Nearest airport
General Servando Canales International Airport (MAM), 38 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
Time zone
UTC-06:00 in October
Coordinates
25.8370, -97.1504
Model
ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Satellite view of Playa Bagdad

Conditions, checked against kite guides

Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.

  • Water state unknown: no kite source found.
  • Learning: no kite source says.
  • Windfinder has a wind station page for Playa Bagdad but no spot description; no kite school or guide describing water conditions was found.

Checked 2026-10-08, confidence low (no kite source, or contradictions). Sources: www.windfinder.com.

Nearby kite spots in Tamaulipas

Kite days in October, % of days

  1. Barra del Tordo

    Mexico · 8 points fewer kite days than Playa Bagdad in October

    42 %
    January: 50 % kite days (Good)February: 47 % kite days (Good)March: 48 % kite days (Good)April: 54 % kite days (Good)May: 49 % kite days (Good)June: 36 % kite days (Possible)July: 22 % kite days (Possible)August: 22 % kite days (Possible)September: 25 % kite days (Possible)October: 42 % kite days (Good)November: 48 % kite days (Good)December: 43 % kite days (Good)
    Kite days by month at Barra del Tordo: Jan 50 %, Feb 47 %, Mar 48 %, Apr 54 %, May 49 %, Jun 36 %, Jul 22 %, Aug 22 %, Sep 25 %, Oct 42 %, Nov 48 %, Dec 43 %
  2. Tampico Beach

    Mexico · 20 points fewer kite days than Playa Bagdad in October

    30 %
    January: 36 % kite days (Possible)February: 35 % kite days (Possible)March: 46 % kite days (Good)April: 55 % kite days (Good)May: 45 % kite days (Good)June: 36 % kite days (Possible)July: 17 % kite days (Off)August: 18 % kite days (Off)September: 19 % kite days (Off)October: 30 % kite days (Possible)November: 30 % kite days (Possible)December: 29 % kite days (Possible)
    Kite days by month at Tampico Beach: Jan 36 %, Feb 35 %, Mar 46 %, Apr 55 %, May 45 %, Jun 36 %, Jul 17 %, Aug 18 %, Sep 19 %, Oct 30 %, Nov 30 %, Dec 29 %

Plan your trip

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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025

Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Confidence: high.

Cite this

In October, 50 % of days at Playa Bagdad met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/playa-bagdad

Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.