Sea · Tasmania · Australia
Tasmania / Trial Harbour
Best for kiting all year, with 51 to 73 % kite days. Water 13 to 18 °C.
A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.
- Prime 60 % and more
- Good 40 to 59 %
- Possible 20 to 39 %
- Off under 20 %
- No data hatched
- Ringed: this month
Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.
Confidence highHourly model data, 2017 to 2025, checked against the season shape of a nearby weather station, a regional model or a documented season.
Month by month
- Kite days
- 58 % Goodabout 18 of 31 days
- Too light, kiteable, too strong
- Too light 42 %
- Kiteable 58 %
- Too strong 0 %
- Good years
- 6 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
- 10 day trip
- 7 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 5.8 expected
- Best hours
- all day, 10:00 to 19:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
- Daylight
- 13.2 h
- Water
- 13 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves
- Air
- 13 °Cdaily maximum, 12 °C during kite hours
- Rain
- 18 of 31with 1 mm or more
- In one sentence
In October, Tasmania / Trial Harbour averaged 18 kite days out of 31 (58 %). Water 13 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
| Kite days% of days | 51 | 58 | 51 | 56 | 58 | 54 | 59 | 67 | 73 | 58 | 61 | 61 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdictshare plus good years | Good | Good | Good | Good | Good | Good | Good | Prime | Prime | Good | Prime | Prime |
| 10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite days | 6 in 10 | 7 in 10 | 6 in 10 | 7 in 10 | 8 in 10 | 6 in 10 | 7 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 7 in 10 | 8 in 10 | 7 in 10 |
| Good yearsof 9, reached 50 % | 6 of 9 | 7 of 9 | 5 of 9 | 6 of 9 | 6 of 9 | 7 of 9 | 5 of 9 | 8 of 9 | 8 of 9 | 6 of 9 | 7 of 9 | 7 of 9 |
| Best hourshour of day, most often 12 to 35 kn | 13 to 18 | 14 to 19 | 13 to 19 | 10 to 17 | 10 to 16 | 10 to 16 | 10 to 16 | 10 to 17 | 10 to 17 | 10 to 19 | 12 to 18 | 11 to 19 |
| Daylighth | 14.8 | 13.8 | 12.4 | 11.0 | 9.8 | 9.2 | 9.4 | 10.5 | 11.8 | 13.2 | 14.5 | 15.2 |
| Water°C at the surface | 18 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 16 |
| Air°C, daily maximum | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 16 |
| Rain days1 mm or more | 12 of 31 | 12 of 28 | 15 of 31 | 18 of 30 | 20 of 31 | 19 of 30 | 21 of 31 | 22 of 31 | 21 of 30 | 18 of 31 | 15 of 30 | 15 of 31 |
| Wetsuitfor that water and the air on kite days, + boots and gloves | 4/3 | 4/3 | 5/4 | 5/4 | 5/4 | 5/4 | 6/5+ | 6/5+ | 6/5+ | 6/5+ | 5/4 | 5/4 |
- In January, Tasmania / Trial Harbour averaged 16 kite days out of 31 (51 %). Water 18 °C, 4/3. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in January got at least 5 kite days.
- In February, Tasmania / Trial Harbour averaged 16 kite days out of 28 (58 %). Water 18 °C, 4/3. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in February got at least 5 kite days.
- In March, Tasmania / Trial Harbour averaged 16 kite days out of 31 (51 %). Water 17 °C, 5/4. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in March got at least 5 kite days.
- In April, Tasmania / Trial Harbour averaged 17 kite days out of 30 (56 %). Water 16 °C, 5/4. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in April got at least 5 kite days.
- In May, Tasmania / Trial Harbour averaged 18 kite days out of 31 (58 %). Water 15 °C, 5/4. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in May got at least 5 kite days.
- In June, Tasmania / Trial Harbour averaged 16 kite days out of 30 (54 %). Water 14 °C, 5/4. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in June got at least 5 kite days.
- In July, Tasmania / Trial Harbour averaged 18 kite days out of 31 (59 %). Water 13 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in July got at least 5 kite days.
- In August, Tasmania / Trial Harbour averaged 21 kite days out of 31 (67 %). Water 13 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in August got at least 5 kite days.
- In September, Tasmania / Trial Harbour averaged 22 kite days out of 30 (73 %). Water 13 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in September got at least 5 kite days.
- In October, Tasmania / Trial Harbour averaged 18 kite days out of 31 (58 %). Water 13 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
- In November, Tasmania / Trial Harbour averaged 18 kite days out of 30 (61 %). Water 14 °C, 5/4. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in November got at least 5 kite days.
- In December, Tasmania / Trial Harbour averaged 19 kite days out of 31 (61 %). Water 16 °C, 5/4. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in December got at least 5 kite days.
Good year: at least half the days of that month were kite days. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.
Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds
Trip odds at Tasmania / Trial Harbour
How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.
- January6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.2 expected
- February7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.7 expected
- March6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.0 expected
- April7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.6 expected
- May8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.8 expected
- June6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.1 expected
- July7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.3 expected
- August9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.8 expected
- September9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.2 expected
- October (now)7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.8 expected
- November8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.2 expected
- December7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.8 expected
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Trip odds by start week
Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.
Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025
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Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count
7 in 10
trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).
Zero wind trips: fewer than 1 in 20
about 6.1 kite days expected out of 10
Kite days per trip, 63 trips
Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).
How the wind behaves
In September, the windiest month
- Too light 27 %
- Kiteable 73 %
- Too strong 0 %
Too light on 27 %, kiteable on 73 %, too strong on 0 % of days.
Best hours: 10:00 to 17:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.
Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors
Wind mostly from WNW (293°), fairly steady direction.
Kitesurfing at Tasmania / Trial Harbour: quick answers
When is the best time to kitesurf at Tasmania / Trial Harbour?
The best months are the whole year: from 2017 to 2025, 51 to 73 % of days were kite days in every month.
Is Tasmania / Trial Harbour windy in October?
Yes, often. 58 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 18 days in a typical October. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.
What is the water temperature at Tasmania / Trial Harbour?
The water ranges from 13 °C in July to 18 °C in January. In October it is about 13 °C (wetsuit: 6/5 with boots and gloves).
How many kite days does Tasmania / Trial Harbour get in a year?
About 215 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.
Live forecast
The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.
Live forecast from Windy
The forecast map for Tasmania / Trial Harbour comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.
Spot facts
- Region
- Tasmania
- Country
- Australia
- Water body
- Sea, from Natural Earth map data
- Nearest airport
- Wynyard Airport (BWT), 114 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
- Time zone
- UTC+11:00 in October
- Coordinates
- -41.9314, 145.1742
- Model
- ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Conditions, checked against kite guides
Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.
Not yet checked against kite guides. We research spot conditions one by one and show only what a kite source says.
Nearby kite spots in Tasmania
Kite days in October, % of days
- Temma Harbour
Australia · 9 points more kite days than Tasmania / Trial Harbour in October
67 %Kite days by month at Temma Harbour: Jan 58 %, Feb 66 %, Mar 62 %, Apr 56 %, May 61 %, Jun 59 %, Jul 68 %, Aug 74 %, Sep 75 %, Oct 67 %, Nov 69 %, Dec 63 % - Furries
Australia · 11 points more kite days than Tasmania / Trial Harbour in October
69 %Kite days by month at Furries: Jan 62 %, Feb 70 %, Mar 64 %, Apr 57 %, May 61 %, Jun 60 %, Jul 69 %, Aug 74 %, Sep 75 %, Oct 69 %, Nov 71 %, Dec 65 % - Arthur River
Australia · 3 points fewer kite days than Tasmania / Trial Harbour in October
55 %Kite days by month at Arthur River: Jan 52 %, Feb 55 %, Mar 52 %, Apr 39 %, May 47 %, Jun 44 %, Jul 50 %, Aug 57 %, Sep 61 %, Oct 55 %, Nov 63 %, Dec 57 % - Bluff Reef
Australia · 23 points more kite days than Tasmania / Trial Harbour in October
81 %Kite days by month at Bluff Reef: Jan 82 %, Feb 85 %, Mar 80 %, Apr 77 %, May 78 %, Jun 76 %, Jul 76 %, Aug 85 %, Sep 85 %, Oct 81 %, Nov 83 %, Dec 81 % - Bluff Beach
Australia · 18 points more kite days than Tasmania / Trial Harbour in October
76 %Kite days by month at Bluff Beach: Jan 77 %, Feb 80 %, Mar 77 %, Apr 69 %, May 72 %, Jun 70 %, Jul 76 %, Aug 81 %, Sep 83 %, Oct 76 %, Nov 79 %, Dec 76 % - Nettley Bay
Australia · 12 points more kite days than Tasmania / Trial Harbour in October
70 %Kite days by month at Nettley Bay: Jan 64 %, Feb 72 %, Mar 65 %, Apr 57 %, May 62 %, Jun 57 %, Jul 69 %, Aug 74 %, Sep 76 %, Oct 70 %, Nov 72 %, Dec 68 % - Port Latta
Australia · 1 point more kite days than Tasmania / Trial Harbour in October
59 %Kite days by month at Port Latta: Jan 55 %, Feb 60 %, Mar 50 %, Apr 42 %, May 46 %, Jun 37 %, Jul 47 %, Aug 53 %, Sep 60 %, Oct 59 %, Nov 62 %, Dec 62 % - West Beach
Australia · 12 points more kite days than Tasmania / Trial Harbour in October
70 %Kite days by month at West Beach: Jan 73 %, Feb 76 %, Mar 65 %, Apr 55 %, May 61 %, Jun 50 %, Jul 60 %, Aug 70 %, Sep 73 %, Oct 70 %, Nov 74 %, Dec 76 %
Plan your trip
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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025
Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Confidence: high.
Cite this
In October, 58 % of days at Tasmania / Trial Harbour met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/tasmania-trial-harbour
Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.