Sea · KwaZulu-Natal · South Africa
Warner Beach
Best for kiting all year except June, with 51 to 71 % kite days. Water 21 to 25 °C.
A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.
- Prime 60 % and more
- Good 40 to 59 %
- Possible 20 to 39 %
- Off under 20 %
- No data hatched
- Ringed: this month
Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.
Confidence highHourly model data, 2017 to 2025, checked against the season shape of a nearby weather station, a regional model or a documented season.
Month by month
- Kite days
- 71 % Primeabout 22 of 31 days
- Too light, kiteable, too strong
- Too light 29 %
- Kiteable 71 %
- Too strong 0 %
- Good years
- 9 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
- 10 day trip
- 9 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 6.9 expected (capped at 9 in 10)
- Best hours
- 10:00 to 17:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
- Daylight
- 12.8 h
- Water
- 22 °C, spring suit
- Air
- 22 °Cdaily maximum, 21 °C during kite hours
- Rain
- 12 of 31with 1 mm or more
- In one sentence
In October, Warner Beach averaged 22 kite days out of 31 (71 %). Water 22 °C, spring suit. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
| Kite days% of days | 70 | 66 | 65 | 62 | 53 | 47 | 51 | 65 | 70 | 71 | 65 | 63 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdictshare plus good years | Prime | Prime | Prime | Prime | Good | Good | Good | Prime | Prime | Prime | Prime | Prime |
| 10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite days | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 8 in 10 | 7 in 10 | 5 in 10 | 6 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 | 9 in 10 |
| Good yearsof 9, reached 50 % | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 5 of 9 | 3 of 9 | 4 of 9 | 8 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 9 of 9 |
| Best hourshour of day, most often 12 to 35 kn | 10 to 18 | 10 to 17 | 11 to 17 | 12 to 17 | 12 to 16 | 12 to 16 | 12 to 16 | 12 to 17 | 10 to 17 | 10 to 17 | 10 to 17 | 10 to 18 |
| Daylighth | 13.8 | 13.2 | 12.3 | 11.4 | 10.6 | 10.2 | 10.4 | 11.0 | 11.9 | 12.8 | 13.6 | 14.0 |
| Water°C at the surface | 25 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
| Air°C, daily maximum | 25 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
| Rain days1 mm or more | 12 of 31 | 13 of 28 | 11 of 31 | 12 of 30 | 7 of 31 | 5 of 30 | 5 of 31 | 8 of 31 | 9 of 30 | 12 of 31 | 12 of 30 | 15 of 31 |
| Wetsuitfor that water and the air on kite days, + boots and gloves | shorty | shorty | shorty | shorty | shorty | spring | 3/2 | spring | spring | spring | spring | shorty |
- In January, Warner Beach averaged 22 kite days out of 31 (70 %). Water 25 °C, shorty. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in January got at least 5 kite days.
- In February, Warner Beach averaged 19 kite days out of 28 (66 %). Water 25 °C, shorty. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in February got at least 5 kite days.
- In March, Warner Beach averaged 20 kite days out of 31 (65 %). Water 25 °C, shorty. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in March got at least 5 kite days.
- In April, Warner Beach averaged 18 kite days out of 30 (62 %). Water 24 °C, shorty. 8 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in April got at least 5 kite days.
- In May, Warner Beach averaged 16 kite days out of 31 (53 %). Water 24 °C, shorty. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in May got at least 5 kite days.
- In June, Warner Beach averaged 14 kite days out of 30 (47 %). Water 22 °C, spring suit. 5 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in June got at least 5 kite days.
- In July, Warner Beach averaged 16 kite days out of 31 (51 %). Water 22 °C, 3/2. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in July got at least 5 kite days.
- In August, Warner Beach averaged 20 kite days out of 31 (65 %). Water 21 °C, spring suit. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in August got at least 5 kite days.
- In September, Warner Beach averaged 21 kite days out of 30 (70 %). Water 21 °C, spring suit. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in September got at least 5 kite days.
- In October, Warner Beach averaged 22 kite days out of 31 (71 %). Water 22 °C, spring suit. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
- In November, Warner Beach averaged 20 kite days out of 30 (65 %). Water 23 °C, spring suit. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in November got at least 5 kite days.
- In December, Warner Beach averaged 20 kite days out of 31 (63 %). Water 24 °C, shorty. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in December got at least 5 kite days.
Good year: at least half the days of that month were kite days. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.
Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds
Trip odds at Warner Beach
How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.
- January9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.1 expected
- February9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.5 expected
- March9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.5 expected
- April8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.1 expected
- May7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.2 expected
- June5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.7 expected
- July6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.2 expected
- August9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.6 expected
- September9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 7.2 expected
- October (now)9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.9 expected
- November9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.4 expected
- December9 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.5 expected
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Trip odds by start week
Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.
Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 7
- 8
- 7
- 7
- 7
- 5
- 6
- 5
- 6
- 6
- 4
- 5
- 4
- 7
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 8
- 9
- 9
- 9
- 9
Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count
9 in 10
trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips, capped at 9 in 10).
Zero wind trips: fewer than 1 in 20
about 6.8 kite days expected out of 10
Kite days per trip, 63 trips
Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).
How the wind behaves
In October, the windiest month
- Too light 29 %
- Kiteable 71 %
- Too strong 0 %
Too light on 29 %, kiteable on 71 %, too strong on 0 % of days.
Best hours: 10:00 to 17:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.
Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors
Wind direction varies, most often NE (45°).
Kitesurfing at Warner Beach: quick answers
When is the best time to kitesurf at Warner Beach?
The best months are all year except June: from 2017 to 2025, 51 to 71 % of days in those months were kite days.
Is Warner Beach windy in October?
Yes, very. 71 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 22 days in a typical October. 9 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.
What is the water temperature at Warner Beach?
The water ranges from 21 °C in August to 25 °C in January. In October it is about 22 °C (wetsuit: spring suit).
How many kite days does Warner Beach get in a year?
About 227 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.
Live forecast
The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.
Live forecast from Windy
The forecast map for Warner Beach comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.
Spot facts
- Region
- KwaZulu-Natal
- Country
- South Africa
- Water body
- Sea, from Natural Earth map data
- Nearest airport
- King Shaka International Airport (DUR), 57 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
- Time zone
- UTC+02:00 in October
- Coordinates
- -30.0786, 30.8719
- Model
- ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Conditions, checked against kite guides
Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.
- Waves are the main riding area.
- Breaking waves are normal in the season.
- Not for learning: kite sources call it advanced.
- Baggies at Warner Beach is a reef and sand point break used by windsurfers and kiters, with a big shorebreak and a rip near the rocks.
Checked 2026-10-08, confidence medium (one kite source, or two that partly disagree). Sources: www.surfnerd.com, lekkeslaap.co.za, www.mondo.surf.
Nearby kite spots in KwaZulu-Natal
Kite days in October, % of days
- Durban Bluff
South Africa · 2 points fewer kite days than Warner Beach in October
69 %Kite days by month at Durban Bluff: Jan 68 %, Feb 66 %, Mar 63 %, Apr 60 %, May 51 %, Jun 43 %, Jul 50 %, Aug 61 %, Sep 70 %, Oct 69 %, Nov 62 %, Dec 62 % - Scottsburg
South Africa · 2 points fewer kite days than Warner Beach in October
69 %Kite days by month at Scottsburg: Jan 68 %, Feb 64 %, Mar 61 %, Apr 58 %, May 46 %, Jun 36 %, Jul 43 %, Aug 61 %, Sep 65 %, Oct 69 %, Nov 62 %, Dec 61 % - Bayhead
South Africa · 8 points fewer kite days than Warner Beach in October
63 %Kite days by month at Bayhead: Jan 63 %, Feb 58 %, Mar 58 %, Apr 52 %, May 44 %, Jun 35 %, Jul 43 %, Aug 56 %, Sep 60 %, Oct 63 %, Nov 60 %, Dec 57 % - La Mercy Lagoon
South Africa · 7 points fewer kite days than Warner Beach in October
64 %Kite days by month at La Mercy Lagoon: Jan 65 %, Feb 57 %, Mar 56 %, Apr 49 %, May 41 %, Jun 33 %, Jul 40 %, Aug 56 %, Sep 59 %, Oct 64 %, Nov 60 %, Dec 58 % - Umzumbe
South Africa · 5 points more kite days than Warner Beach in October
76 %Kite days by month at Umzumbe: Jan 75 %, Feb 72 %, Mar 71 %, Apr 67 %, May 60 %, Jun 50 %, Jul 56 %, Aug 71 %, Sep 70 %, Oct 76 %, Nov 69 %, Dec 73 % - Tinley Manor Beach
South Africa · 3 points more kite days than Warner Beach in October
74 %Kite days by month at Tinley Manor Beach: Jan 73 %, Feb 68 %, Mar 67 %, Apr 56 %, May 54 %, Jun 44 %, Jul 52 %, Aug 68 %, Sep 68 %, Oct 74 %, Nov 69 %, Dec 67 % - Tinley Manor Beach Point
South Africa · 3 points more kite days than Warner Beach in October
74 %Kite days by month at Tinley Manor Beach Point: Jan 72 %, Feb 65 %, Mar 66 %, Apr 56 %, May 53 %, Jun 43 %, Jul 53 %, Aug 67 %, Sep 67 %, Oct 74 %, Nov 69 %, Dec 68 % - Margate Beach
South Africa · 2 points more kite days than Warner Beach in October
73 %Kite days by month at Margate Beach: Jan 71 %, Feb 67 %, Mar 66 %, Apr 60 %, May 47 %, Jun 43 %, Jul 50 %, Aug 63 %, Sep 65 %, Oct 73 %, Nov 64 %, Dec 68 %
Plan your trip
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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025
Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Confidence: high.
Cite this
In October, 71 % of days at Warner Beach met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/warner-beach
Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.