Sea · British Columbia · Canada
Calvin Bay
Kite days peak in June at 47 %. Also windy, but cold (water and air under 12 °C or short days): January and March to May.
A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.
- Prime 60 % and more
- Good 40 to 59 %
- Possible 20 to 39 %
- Off under 20 %
- No data hatched
- Ringed: this month
Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.
Confidence highHourly model data, 2017 to 2025, checked against the season shape of a nearby weather station, a regional model or a documented season.
Month by month
- Kite days
- 48 % coldabout 15 of 31 days
- Too light, kiteable, too strong
- Too light 52 %
- Kiteable 48 %
- Too strong 0 %
- Good years
- 5 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
- 10 day trip
- 6 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 5.2 expected
- Best hours
- 11:00 to 18:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
- Daylight
- 10.8 h
- Water
- 12 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves
- Air
- 12 °Cdaily maximum, 11 °C during kite hours
- Rain
- 17 of 31with 1 mm or more
- In one sentence
In October, Calvin Bay averaged 15 kite days out of 31 (48 %). Water 12 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
| Kite days% of days | 56 | 46 | 51 | 59 | 53 | 47 | 37 | 38 | 40 | 48 | 47 | 48 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdictshare plus good years | cold | cold | cold | cold | cold | Good | Possible | Possible | Good | cold | cold | cold |
| 10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite days | 6 in 10 | 5 in 10 | 7 in 10 | 7 in 10 | 7 in 10 | 6 in 10 | 4 in 10 | 4 in 10 | 4 in 10 | 6 in 10 | 5 in 10 | 6 in 10 |
| Good yearsof 9, reached 50 % | 7 of 9 | 3 of 9 | 5 of 9 | 8 of 9 | 6 of 9 | 4 of 9 | 2 of 9 | 2 of 9 | 2 of 9 | 5 of 9 | 5 of 9 | 4 of 9 |
| Best hourshour of day, most often 12 to 35 kn | 10 to 16 | 12 to 17 | 12 to 18 | 12 to 19 | 12 to 19 | 12 to 19 | 14 to 19 | 13 to 19 | 12 to 19 | 11 to 18 | 10 to 16 | 10 to 15 |
| Daylighth | 8.7 | 10.1 | 11.9 | 13.7 | 15.4 | 16.2 | 15.9 | 14.4 | 12.7 | 10.8 | 9.1 | 8.2 |
| Water°C at the surface | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| Air°C, daily maximum | 7 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 7 |
| Rain days1 mm or more | 22 of 31 | 17 of 28 | 19 of 31 | 17 of 30 | 13 of 31 | 12 of 30 | 7 of 31 | 7 of 31 | 13 of 30 | 17 of 31 | 20 of 30 | 22 of 31 |
| Wetsuitfor that water and the air on kite days, + boots and gloves | 6/5+ | 6/5+ | 6/5+ | 6/5+ | 6/5+ | 6/5+ | 4/3 | 4/3 | 5/4 | 6/5+ | 6/5+ | 6/5+ |
- In January, Calvin Bay averaged 17 kite days out of 31 (56 %). Water 9 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in January got at least 5 kite days.
- In February, Calvin Bay averaged 13 kite days out of 28 (46 %). Water 8 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 5 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in February got at least 5 kite days.
- In March, Calvin Bay averaged 16 kite days out of 31 (51 %). Water 8 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in March got at least 5 kite days.
- In April, Calvin Bay averaged 18 kite days out of 30 (59 %). Water 9 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in April got at least 5 kite days.
- In May, Calvin Bay averaged 16 kite days out of 31 (53 %). Water 11 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 7 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in May got at least 5 kite days.
- In June, Calvin Bay averaged 14 kite days out of 30 (47 %). Water 12 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in June got at least 5 kite days.
- In July, Calvin Bay averaged 12 kite days out of 31 (37 %). Water 14 °C, 4/3. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in July got at least 5 kite days.
- In August, Calvin Bay averaged 12 kite days out of 31 (38 %). Water 15 °C, 4/3. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in August got at least 5 kite days.
- In September, Calvin Bay averaged 12 kite days out of 30 (40 %). Water 15 °C, 5/4. 4 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in September got at least 5 kite days.
- In October, Calvin Bay averaged 15 kite days out of 31 (48 %). Water 12 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
- In November, Calvin Bay averaged 14 kite days out of 30 (47 %). Water 11 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 5 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in November got at least 5 kite days.
- In December, Calvin Bay averaged 15 kite days out of 31 (48 %). Water 10 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in December got at least 5 kite days.
Good year: at least half the days of that month were kite days. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.
Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds
Trip odds at Calvin Bay
How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.
- January6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.3 expected
- February5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.7 expected
- March7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.4 expected
- April7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.6 expected
- May7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.4 expected
- June6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.6 expected
- July4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.5 expected
- August4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.7 expected
- September4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.1 expected
- October (now)6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.2 expected
- November5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.4 expected
- December6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.3 expected
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Trip odds by start week
Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.
Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025
- 9
- 7
- 5
- 6
- 5
- 5
- 4
- 7
- 6
- 6
- 6
- 6
- 9
- 8
- 6
- 7
- 7
- 4
- 6
- 8
- 8
- 7
- 9
- 4
- 3
- 5
- 4
- 4
- 3
- 3
- 4
- 4
- 5
- 4
- 1
- 3
- 5
- 6
- 4
- 5
- 8
- 7
- 5
- 8
- 6
- 5
- 4
- 3
- 7
- 7
- 6
- 7
Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count
6 in 10
trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).
Zero wind trips: fewer than 1 in 20
about 4.8 kite days expected out of 10
Kite days per trip, 63 trips
Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).
How the wind behaves
In April, the windiest month
- Too light 41 %
- Kiteable 59 %
- Too strong 0 %
Too light on 41 %, kiteable on 59 %, too strong on 0 % of days.
Best hours: 12:00 to 19:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.
Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors
Wind direction varies, most often WNW (293°).
Kitesurfing at Calvin Bay: quick answers
When is the best time to kitesurf at Calvin Bay?
No month reaches 50 % kite days. The windiest month is April, when 59 % of days were kite days from 2017 to 2025.
Is Calvin Bay windy in October?
Yes, often. 48 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 15 days in a typical October. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.
What is the water temperature at Calvin Bay?
The water ranges from 8 °C in February to 15 °C in August. In October it is about 12 °C (wetsuit: 6/5 with boots and gloves).
How many kite days does Calvin Bay get in a year?
About 173 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.
Live forecast
The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.
Live forecast from Windy
The forecast map for Calvin Bay comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.
Spot facts
- Region
- British Columbia
- Country
- Canada
- Water body
- Sea, from Natural Earth map data
- Nearest airport
- Tofino / Long Beach Airport (YAZ), 101 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
- Time zone
- UTC-07:00 in October
- Coordinates
- 49.6578, -126.8421
- Model
- ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Conditions, checked against kite guides
Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.
Not yet checked against kite guides. We research spot conditions one by one and show only what a kite source says.
Nearby kite spots in British Columbia
Kite days in October, % of days
- Nootka Island
Canada · 21 points fewer kite days than Calvin Bay in October
27 %Kite days by month at Nootka Island: Jan 32 %, Feb 28 %, Mar 33 %, Apr 40 %, May 37 %, Jun 35 %, Jul 23 %, Aug 22 %, Sep 21 %, Oct 27 %, Nov 31 %, Dec 26 % - Cox Bay
Canada · 4 points fewer kite days than Calvin Bay in October
44 %Kite days by month at Cox Bay: Jan 52 %, Feb 45 %, Mar 46 %, Apr 53 %, May 60 %, Jun 53 %, Jul 42 %, Aug 40 %, Sep 33 %, Oct 44 %, Nov 51 %, Dec 47 % - Wickannish
Canada · 22 points fewer kite days than Calvin Bay in October
26 %Kite days by month at Wickannish: Jan 39 %, Feb 32 %, Mar 28 %, Apr 33 %, May 33 %, Jun 30 %, Jul 20 %, Aug 17 %, Sep 16 %, Oct 26 %, Nov 32 %, Dec 30 % - Comox Spit
Canada · 25 points fewer kite days than Calvin Bay in October
23 %Kite days by month at Comox Spit: Jan 33 %, Feb 24 %, Mar 29 %, Apr 27 %, May 10 %, Jun 11 %, Jul 9 %, Aug 8 %, Sep 19 %, Oct 23 %, Nov 30 %, Dec 29 % - Bamfield
Canada · 27 points fewer kite days than Calvin Bay in October
21 %Kite days by month at Bamfield: Jan 32 %, Feb 31 %, Mar 26 %, Apr 27 %, May 20 %, Jun 14 %, Jul 7 %, Aug 4 %, Sep 12 %, Oct 21 %, Nov 31 %, Dec 26 % - Lake Nitinat
Canada · 48 points fewer kite days than Calvin Bay in October
0 %Kite days by month at Lake Nitinat: Jan 0 %, Feb 0 %, Mar 0 %, Apr 0 %, May 0 %, Jun 0 %, Jul 0 %, Aug 0 %, Sep 0 %, Oct 0 %, Nov 0 %, Dec 0 % - Rathtrevor Beach
Canada · 18 points fewer kite days than Calvin Bay in October
30 %Kite days by month at Rathtrevor Beach: Jan 43 %, Feb 34 %, Mar 33 %, Apr 30 %, May 14 %, Jun 17 %, Jul 6 %, Aug 10 %, Sep 20 %, Oct 30 %, Nov 39 %, Dec 38 % - Jordan River
Canada · 26 points fewer kite days than Calvin Bay in October
22 %Kite days by month at Jordan River: Jan 34 %, Feb 42 %, Mar 28 %, Apr 36 %, May 49 %, Jun 48 %, Jul 65 %, Aug 42 %, Sep 20 %, Oct 22 %, Nov 32 %, Dec 29 %
Plan your trip
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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025
Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Confidence: high.
Cite this
In October, 48 % of days at Calvin Bay met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/calvin-bay
Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.