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Sea · British Columbia · Canada

Cox Bay

Best for kiting in June, with 53 % kite days. Water 14 °C. Also windy, but cold (water and air under 12 °C or short days): January, April to May and November.

A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.

  1. J52
  2. F45
  3. M46
  4. A53
  5. M60
  6. J53
  7. J42
  8. A40
  9. S33
  10. O44
  11. N51
  12. D47
Kite days by month at Cox Bay: Jan 52 %, Feb 45 %, Mar 46 %, Apr 53 %, May 60 %, Jun 53 %, Jul 42 %, Aug 40 %, Sep 33 %, Oct 44 %, Nov 51 %, Dec 47 %
  • Prime 60 % and more
  • Good 40 to 59 %
  • Possible 20 to 39 %
  • Off under 20 %
  • No data hatched
  • Ringed: this month

Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.

Confidence highHourly model data, 2017 to 2025, checked against the season shape of a nearby weather station, a regional model or a documented season. Shares its model grid cell with 1 nearby spot, so the numbers describe the area, not one beach.

Month by month

MonthKite days% of days, verdict10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite daysWater°C, what to wear
  • Kite days
    44 % Goodabout 14 of 31 days
    Too light, kiteable, too strong
    • Too light 56 %
    • Kiteable 44 %
    • Too strong 0 %
    Good years
    2017: 48 % kite days2018: 29 % kite days2019: 48 % kite days2020: 45 % kite days2021: 55 % kite days2022: 32 % kite days2023: 42 % kite days2024: 52 % kite days2025: 48 % kite days2 of 9 years reached 50 % kite days
    10 day trip
    6 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 4.7 expected
    Best hours
    12:00 to 18:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
    Daylight
    10.8 h
    Water
    12 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves
    Air
    12 °Cdaily maximum, 12 °C during kite hours
    Rain
    16 of 31with 1 mm or more
    In one sentence

    In October, Cox Bay averaged 14 kite days out of 31 (44 %). Water 12 °C, 6/5 with boots and gloves. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.

Good year: at least half the days of that month were kite days. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.

Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds

Trip odds at Cox Bay

How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.

  1. January6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.9 expected
  2. February5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.4 expected
  3. March5 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.8 expected
  4. April7 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.2 expected
  5. May8 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 6.1 expected
  6. June6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.0 expected
  7. July4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.0 expected
  8. August4 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.0 expected
  9. September3 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.4 expected
  10. October (now)6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.7 expected
  11. November6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 4.8 expected
  12. December6 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 5.2 expected

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.

Trip odds by start week

Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.

Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025

Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week

x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.

Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count

Trip odds by start week in Cox Bay: W1 7 in 10, W2 5 in 10, W3 4 in 10, W4 6 in 10, W5 4 in 10, W6 4 in 10, W7 3 in 10, W8 7 in 10, W9 6 in 10, W10 4 in 10, W11 5 in 10, W12 6 in 10, W13 7 in 10, W14 9 in 10, W15 6 in 10, W16 5 in 10, W17 7 in 10, W18 6 in 10, W19 7 in 10, W20 9 in 10, W21 9 in 10, W22 8 in 10, W23 7 in 10, W24 6 in 10, W25 6 in 10, W26 3 in 10, W27 4 in 10, W28 4 in 10, W29 4 in 10, W30 3 in 10, W31 3 in 10, W32 4 in 10, W33 4 in 10, W34 4 in 10, W35 2 in 10, W36 2 in 10, W37 3 in 10, W38 3 in 10, W39 3 in 10, W40 5 in 10, W41 7 in 10, W42 6 in 10, W43 4 in 10, W44 7 in 10, W45 7 in 10, W46 8 in 10, W47 5 in 10, W48 3 in 10, W49 6 in 10, W50 7 in 10, W51 5 in 10, W52 8 in 10

7 in 10

trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).

Zero wind trips: fewer than 1 in 20

about 5.0 kite days expected out of 10

Kite days per trip, 63 trips

Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).

How the wind behaves

In May, the windiest month

  • Too light 40 %
  • Kiteable 60 %
  • Too strong 0 %

Too light on 40 %, kiteable on 60 %, too strong on 0 % of days.

Best hours: 14:00 to 19:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.

NESW

Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors

Wind mostly from WNW (293°), fairly steady direction.

Kitesurfing at Cox Bay: quick answers

When is the best time to kitesurf at Cox Bay?

The best month is June: from 2017 to 2025, 53 % of its days were kite days.

Is Cox Bay windy in October?

Yes, often. 44 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 14 days in a typical October. 6 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.

What is the water temperature at Cox Bay?

The water ranges from 8 °C in January to 16 °C in August. In October it is about 12 °C (wetsuit: 6/5 with boots and gloves).

How many kite days does Cox Bay get in a year?

About 172 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.

Live forecast

The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.

Live forecast from Windy

The forecast map for Cox Bay comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.

Spot facts

Region
British Columbia
Country
Canada
Water body
Sea, from Natural Earth map data
Nearest airport
Tofino / Long Beach Airport (YAZ), 8 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
Time zone
UTC-07:00 in October
Coordinates
49.1010, -125.8730
Model
ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Satellite view of Cox Bay

Conditions, checked against kite guides

Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.

Not yet checked against kite guides. We research spot conditions one by one and show only what a kite source says.

Nearby kite spots in British Columbia

Kite days in October, % of days

  1. Wickannish

    Canada · 18 points fewer kite days than Cox Bay in October

    26 %
    January: 39 % kite days (Possible)February: 32 % kite days (Possible)March: 28 % kite days (Possible)April: 33 % kite days (Possible)May: 33 % kite days (Possible)June: 30 % kite days (Possible)July: 20 % kite days (Possible)August: 17 % kite days (Off)September: 16 % kite days (Off)October: 26 % kite days (Possible)November: 32 % kite days (Possible)December: 30 % kite days (Possible)
    Kite days by month at Wickannish: Jan 39 %, Feb 32 %, Mar 28 %, Apr 33 %, May 33 %, Jun 30 %, Jul 20 %, Aug 17 %, Sep 16 %, Oct 26 %, Nov 32 %, Dec 30 %
  2. Bamfield

    Canada · 23 points fewer kite days than Cox Bay in October

    21 %
    January: 32 % kite days (Possible)February: 31 % kite days (Possible)March: 26 % kite days (Possible)April: 27 % kite days (Possible)May: 20 % kite days (Possible)June: 14 % kite days (Off)July: 7 % kite days (Off)August: 4 % kite days (Off)September: 12 % kite days (Off)October: 21 % kite days (Possible)November: 31 % kite days (Possible)December: 26 % kite days (Possible)
    Kite days by month at Bamfield: Jan 32 %, Feb 31 %, Mar 26 %, Apr 27 %, May 20 %, Jun 14 %, Jul 7 %, Aug 4 %, Sep 12 %, Oct 21 %, Nov 31 %, Dec 26 %
  3. Lake Nitinat

    Canada · 44 points fewer kite days than Cox Bay in October

    0 %
    January: 0 % kite days (Off)February: 0 % kite days (Off)March: 0 % kite days (Off)April: 0 % kite days (Off)May: 0 % kite days (Off)June: 0 % kite days (Off)July: 0 % kite days (Off)August: 0 % kite days (Off)September: 0 % kite days (Off)October: 0 % kite days (Off)November: 0 % kite days (Off)December: 0 % kite days (Off)
    Kite days by month at Lake Nitinat: Jan 0 %, Feb 0 %, Mar 0 %, Apr 0 %, May 0 %, Jun 0 %, Jul 0 %, Aug 0 %, Sep 0 %, Oct 0 %, Nov 0 %, Dec 0 %
  4. Nootka Island

    Canada · 17 points fewer kite days than Cox Bay in October

    27 %
    January: 32 % kite days (Possible)February: 28 % kite days (Possible)March: 33 % kite days (Possible)April: 40 % kite days (Good)May: 37 % kite days (Possible)June: 35 % kite days (Possible)July: 23 % kite days (Possible)August: 22 % kite days (Possible)September: 21 % kite days (Possible)October: 27 % kite days (Possible)November: 31 % kite days (Possible)December: 26 % kite days (Possible)
    Kite days by month at Nootka Island: Jan 32 %, Feb 28 %, Mar 33 %, Apr 40 %, May 37 %, Jun 35 %, Jul 23 %, Aug 22 %, Sep 21 %, Oct 27 %, Nov 31 %, Dec 26 %
  5. Calvin Bay

    Canada · 4 points more kite days than Cox Bay in October

    48 %
    January: 56 % kite days (Good)February: 46 % kite days (Good)March: 51 % kite days (Good)April: 59 % kite days (Good)May: 53 % kite days (Good)June: 47 % kite days (Good)July: 37 % kite days (Possible)August: 38 % kite days (Possible)September: 40 % kite days (Good)October: 48 % kite days (Good)November: 47 % kite days (Good)December: 48 % kite days (Good)
    Kite days by month at Calvin Bay: Jan 56 %, Feb 46 %, Mar 51 %, Apr 59 %, May 53 %, Jun 47 %, Jul 37 %, Aug 38 %, Sep 40 %, Oct 48 %, Nov 47 %, Dec 48 %
  6. Comox Spit

    Canada · 21 points fewer kite days than Cox Bay in October

    23 %
    January: 33 % kite days (Possible)February: 24 % kite days (Possible)March: 29 % kite days (Possible)April: 27 % kite days (Possible)May: 10 % kite days (Off)June: 11 % kite days (Off)July: 9 % kite days (Off)August: 8 % kite days (Off)September: 19 % kite days (Off)October: 23 % kite days (Possible)November: 30 % kite days (Possible)December: 29 % kite days (Possible)
    Kite days by month at Comox Spit: Jan 33 %, Feb 24 %, Mar 29 %, Apr 27 %, May 10 %, Jun 11 %, Jul 9 %, Aug 8 %, Sep 19 %, Oct 23 %, Nov 30 %, Dec 29 %
  7. Rathtrevor Beach

    Canada · 14 points fewer kite days than Cox Bay in October

    30 %
    January: 43 % kite days (Good)February: 34 % kite days (Possible)March: 33 % kite days (Possible)April: 30 % kite days (Possible)May: 14 % kite days (Off)June: 17 % kite days (Off)July: 6 % kite days (Off)August: 10 % kite days (Off)September: 20 % kite days (Possible)October: 30 % kite days (Possible)November: 39 % kite days (Possible)December: 38 % kite days (Possible)
    Kite days by month at Rathtrevor Beach: Jan 43 %, Feb 34 %, Mar 33 %, Apr 30 %, May 14 %, Jun 17 %, Jul 6 %, Aug 10 %, Sep 20 %, Oct 30 %, Nov 39 %, Dec 38 %
  8. Jordan River

    Canada · 22 points fewer kite days than Cox Bay in October

    22 %
    January: 34 % kite days (Possible)February: 42 % kite days (Good)March: 28 % kite days (Possible)April: 36 % kite days (Possible)May: 49 % kite days (Good)June: 48 % kite days (Good)July: 65 % kite days (Prime)August: 42 % kite days (Good)September: 20 % kite days (Possible)October: 22 % kite days (Possible)November: 32 % kite days (Possible)December: 29 % kite days (Possible)
    Kite days by month at Jordan River: Jan 34 %, Feb 42 %, Mar 28 %, Apr 36 %, May 49 %, Jun 48 %, Jul 65 %, Aug 42 %, Sep 20 %, Oct 22 %, Nov 32 %, Dec 29 %

Plan your trip

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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025

Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Shares its model grid cell with 1 nearby spot, so the numbers describe the area, not one beach. Confidence: high.

Cite this

In October, 44 % of days at Cox Bay met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/cox-bay

Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.