Sea · Muğla · Turkey
Karadere Beach
Kite days peak in March at 32 %.
A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 knots (gusts up to 45) between 10:00 and 19:00, in daylight. Percentages are the share of such days in each month, counted over 9 years.
- Prime 60 % and more
- Good 40 to 59 %
- Possible 20 to 39 %
- Off under 20 %
- No data hatched
- Ringed: this month
Prime also needs a good month in at least 7 of the 9 years, so one freak year cannot make a month Prime. A month with 60 %+ but fewer good years shows as Good.
Confidence highClose model cell, both models agree on the season, 9 full years.
Month by month
- Kite days
- 12 % Offabout 4 of 31 days
- Too light, kiteable, too strong
- Too light 88 %
- Kiteable 12 %
- Too strong 0 %
- 10 day trip
- under 1 in 10 trips got at least 5 kite days, about 1.1 expected
- Best hours
- 14:00 to 16:00when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots
- Daylight
- 11.3 h
- Water
- 26 °C, shorty
- Air
- 24 °Cdaily maximum, 24 °C during kite hours
- Rain
- 4 of 31with 1 mm or more
- In one sentence
In October, Karadere Beach averaged 4 kite days out of 31 (12 %). Water 26 °C, shorty. under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
| Kite days% of days | 28 | 28 | 32 | 28 | 28 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 12 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdictshare plus good years | Possible | Possible | Possible | Possible | Possible | Off | Off | Off | Off | Off | Possible | Possible |
| 10 day tripof 10 trips, 5+ kite days | 2 in 10 | 1 in 10 | 2 in 10 | 2 in 10 | 2 in 10 | 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | 1 in 10 | under 1 in 10 | 2 in 10 | 1 in 10 |
| Good yearsof 0, reached 50 % | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Best hourshour of day, most often 12 to 35 kn | 13 to 16 | 14 to 18 | 13 to 18 | 12 to 18 | 13 to 17 | 12 to 18 | · | 14 to 19 | 13 to 18 | 14 to 16 | 12 to 17 | 13 to 17 |
| Daylighth | 10.0 | 10.8 | 12.0 | 13.1 | 14.1 | 14.6 | 14.4 | 13.5 | 12.4 | 11.3 | 10.3 | 9.7 |
| Water°C at the surface | 20 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 25 | 28 | 30 | 29 | 26 | 24 | 21 |
| Air°C, daily maximum | 16 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 22 | 26 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 24 | 21 | 18 |
| Rain days1 mm or more | 14 of 31 | 8 of 28 | 8 of 31 | 4 of 30 | 3 of 31 | 1 of 30 | 0 of 31 | 0 of 31 | 1 of 30 | 4 of 31 | 8 of 30 | 12 of 31 |
| Wetsuitfor that water and the air on kite days, + boots and gloves | 4/3 | 4/3 | 4/3 | 3/2 | spring | shorty | shorts | shorts | shorts | shorty | spring | 3/2 |
- In January, Karadere Beach averaged 9 kite days out of 31 (28 %). Water 20 °C, 4/3. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in January got at least 5 kite days.
- In February, Karadere Beach averaged 8 kite days out of 28 (28 %). Water 18 °C, 4/3. 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in February got at least 5 kite days.
- In March, Karadere Beach averaged 10 kite days out of 31 (32 %). Water 18 °C, 4/3. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in March got at least 5 kite days.
- In April, Karadere Beach averaged 8 kite days out of 30 (28 %). Water 19 °C, 3/2. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in April got at least 5 kite days.
- In May, Karadere Beach averaged 9 kite days out of 31 (28 %). Water 21 °C, spring suit. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in May got at least 5 kite days.
- In June, Karadere Beach averaged 4 kite days out of 30 (15 %). Water 25 °C, shorty. 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in June got at least 5 kite days.
- In July, Karadere Beach averaged 3 kite days out of 31 (10 %). Water 28 °C, boardshorts. under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in July got at least 5 kite days.
- In August, Karadere Beach averaged 4 kite days out of 31 (13 %). Water 30 °C, boardshorts. under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in August got at least 5 kite days.
- In September, Karadere Beach averaged 5 kite days out of 30 (18 %). Water 29 °C, boardshorts. 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in September got at least 5 kite days.
- In October, Karadere Beach averaged 4 kite days out of 31 (12 %). Water 26 °C, shorty. under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days.
- In November, Karadere Beach averaged 7 kite days out of 30 (22 %). Water 24 °C, spring suit. 2 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in November got at least 5 kite days.
- In December, Karadere Beach averaged 7 kite days out of 31 (23 %). Water 21 °C, 3/2. 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in December got at least 5 kite days.
Good years are not shown here: this spot has no complete per year values, because the two models drift apart over the years. x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise. Best hours: the hours from 10:00 on when the wind most often reaches 12 to 35 knots. Rain day: 1 mm or more of rain.
Source: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly model wind, 2017 to 2025; water temperature 2023 to 2025. How we count kite days and trip odds
Trip odds at Karadere Beach
How often a trip of your length got at least half its days with kite wind, 2017 to 2025, capped at 9 in 10.
- January2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.2 expected
- February1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.6 expected
- March2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 3.3 expected
- April2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.8 expected
- May2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.5 expected
- June1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.4 expected
- Julyunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.0 expected
- Augustunder 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.4 expected
- September1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.9 expected
- October (now)under 1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 1.1 expected
- November2 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.5 expected
- December1 in 10 trips of 10 days got at least 5 kite days, about 2.2 expected
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that month between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Trip odds by start week
Pick your start week and trip length. Each cell: of all trips of that length that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, how many in 10 got at least half their days with kite wind.
Trip odds by start week, 10 day trips, 2017 to 2025
- 1
- 1
- 1
- 3
- 2
- 2
- 0
- 1
- 2
- 3
- 2
- 2
- 2
- 3
- 2
- 1
- 2
- 2
- 2
- 2
- 2
- 0
- 0
- 1
- 1
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 1
- 1
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 1
- 1
- 1
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 0
- 2
- 3
- 2
- 2
- 0
- 0
- 1
Colours as in the kite year: 6 in 10 and more like Prime · 4 to 5 in 10 like Good · 2 to 3 in 10 like Possible · under 2 in 10 like Off · No data hatched (fewer than 30 trips) · Ringed: this week · Raised: your start week
x in 10 reads: of all 10 day trips that started in that week between 2017 and 2025, x in 10 got at least 5 kite days. We cap the figure at 9 in 10 because wind is never a promise.
Source: hourly wind from the ECMWF IFS model via Open-Meteo, 2017 to 2025, kiteCOMPASS method v1. How we count
under 1 in 10
trips of 10 days starting in week 45 (e.g. 5 to 11 November) got at least 5 kite days in 2017 to 2025 (63 trips).
Zero wind trips: 3 in 10
about 1.5 kite days expected out of 10
Kite days per trip, 63 trips
Bars right of the line are good trips (5 kite days or more).
How the wind behaves
In March, the windiest month
- Too light 68 %
- Kiteable 32 %
- Too strong 0 %
Too light on 68 %, kiteable on 32 %, too strong on 0 % of days.
Best hours: 13:00 to 18:00, when the wind is most often 12 to 35 knots.
Share of kite days by wind direction, 16 sectors
Wind direction varies, most often WNW (293°).
Kitesurfing at Karadere Beach: quick answers
When is the best time to kitesurf at Karadere Beach?
No month reaches 50 % kite days. The windiest month is March, when 32 % of days were kite days from 2017 to 2025.
Is Karadere Beach windy in October?
Rarely. 12 % of days in October were kite days from 2017 to 2025, about 4 days in a typical October. Fewer than 1 in 10 trips of 10 days starting in October got at least 5 kite days, 2017 to 2025.
What is the water temperature at Karadere Beach?
The water ranges from 18 °C in February to 30 °C in August. In October it is about 26 °C (wetsuit: shorty).
How many kite days does Karadere Beach get in a year?
About 78 days a year were kite days from 2017 to 2025, out of 365. A kite day has at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn.
Live forecast
The numbers above are long term averages. The forecast shows the next days.
Live forecast from Windy
The forecast map for Karadere Beach comes from windy.com (Windyty SE, Prague, Czech Republic) and opens right here on this page. Once you load it, your browser contacts Windy, which receives your IP address and may set its own cookies. Nothing is loaded before you click.
Spot facts
- Region
- Muğla
- Country
- Turkey
- Water body
- Sea, from Natural Earth map data
- Nearest airport
- Dalaman International Airport (DLM), 58 km straight line. Flights are not sold here; this is for planning only.
- Time zone
- UTC+03:00 in October
- Coordinates
- 36.3277, 29.2268
- Model
- ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly
Conditions, checked against kite guides
Water state, flat areas, waves and whether schools teach here, from kite sources, not from satellite images.
Not yet checked against kite guides. We research spot conditions one by one and show only what a kite source says.
Nearby kite spots in Muğla
Kite days in October, % of days
- Ozlen Beach
Turkey · 7 points more kite days than Karadere Beach in October
19 %Kite days by month at Ozlen Beach: Jan 40 %, Feb 41 %, Mar 40 %, Apr 33 %, May 33 %, Jun 19 %, Jul 10 %, Aug 15 %, Sep 22 %, Oct 19 %, Nov 32 %, Dec 34 % - Calis Beach
Turkey · 11 points fewer kite days than Karadere Beach in October
1 %Kite days by month at Calis Beach: Jan 6 %, Feb 4 %, Mar 5 %, Apr 5 %, May 3 %, Jun 4 %, Jul 5 %, Aug 1 %, Sep 4 %, Oct 1 %, Nov 2 %, Dec 3 % - Sarigerme
Turkey · 5 points more kite days than Karadere Beach in October
17 %Kite days by month at Sarigerme: Jan 34 %, Feb 32 %, Mar 32 %, Apr 33 %, May 33 %, Jun 30 %, Jul 27 %, Aug 31 %, Sep 30 %, Oct 17 %, Nov 21 %, Dec 26 % - Gokova
Turkey · 12 points fewer kite days than Karadere Beach in October
0 %Kite days by month at Gokova: Jan 1 %, Feb 2 %, Mar 0 %, Apr 0 %, May 0 %, Jun 1 %, Jul 1 %, Aug 1 %, Sep 2 %, Oct 0 %, Nov 0 %, Dec 0 % - Datça
Turkey · 13 points more kite days than Karadere Beach in October
25 %Kite days by month at Datça: Jan 49 %, Feb 49 %, Mar 43 %, Apr 42 %, May 35 %, Jun 42 %, Jul 51 %, Aug 34 %, Sep 37 %, Oct 25 %, Nov 34 %, Dec 46 % - Datca Ferry Port
Turkey · 18 points more kite days than Karadere Beach in October
30 %Kite days by month at Datca Ferry Port: Jan 41 %, Feb 45 %, Mar 41 %, Apr 41 %, May 39 %, Jun 56 %, Jul 67 %, Aug 52 %, Sep 50 %, Oct 30 %, Nov 30 %, Dec 37 % - Bitez
Turkey · 6 points more kite days than Karadere Beach in October
18 %Kite days by month at Bitez: Jan 36 %, Feb 36 %, Mar 35 %, Apr 31 %, May 28 %, Jun 36 %, Jul 54 %, Aug 30 %, Sep 32 %, Oct 18 %, Nov 25 %, Dec 31 % - Fener
Turkey · 18 points more kite days than Karadere Beach in October
30 %Kite days by month at Fener: Jan 50 %, Feb 48 %, Mar 40 %, Apr 37 %, May 33 %, Jun 51 %, Jul 66 %, Aug 50 %, Sep 51 %, Oct 30 %, Nov 30 %, Dec 42 %
Plan your trip
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kiteCOMPASS · method k3h-10to19-v1 · 2017 to 2025
Model wind: ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025. Water temperature: 2023 to 2025. Kite day: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn. Confidence: high.
Cite this
In October, 12 % of days at Karadere Beach met the kiteCOMPASS kite day rule: at least 3 hours of 12 to 35 kn model wind between 10:00 and 19:00 in daylight, with gusts up to 45 kn (ECMWF IFS 9 km via Open-Meteo, hourly, 2017 to 2025). https://kitecompass.app/spot/karadere-beach
Numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: name kiteCOMPASS and link to this page.